Card for Mon, Oct 12

Bets

22

Settled

10–11

Units

+6.61

1. ATP 12:00 AM ET
   Auger Aliassime @ Carreno-Busta Carreno-Busta +247 Moneyline Set at line Carreno-Busta 27.5% · model 30.4%
   30%win chance 27%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Auger Aliassime 16, Carreno-Busta 10
2. ATP 12:00 AM ET
   Ruud @ Tien Ruud +135 Moneyline Set at line Ruud 40.6% · model 52.2%
   52%win chance 41%market
   ✓ Won +1.35 Ruud 13, Tien 10
3. WTA 12:30 AM ET
   Bouzkova @ Tauson Bouzkova -239 Moneyline Set at line Bouzkova 67.2% · model 69.4%
   69%win chance 67%market
   No action Bouzkova 8, Tauson 1
4. WTA 12:30 AM ET
   Ito @ Tjen Tjen -311 Moneyline Set at line Tjen 72.2% · model 84.6%
   85%win chance 72%market
   ✓ Won +0.32 Ito 4, Tjen 12
5. ATP 1:30 AM ET
   Jodar @ Lehecka Lehecka -153 Moneyline Set at line Lehecka 57.6% · model 68.0%
   68%win chance 58%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Jodar 17, Lehecka 16
6. ATP 1:30 AM ET
   Fritz @ Tsitsipas Fritz -176 Moneyline Set at line Fritz 60.9% · model 64.4%
   64%win chance 61%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Fritz 14, Tsitsipas 16
7. WTA 2:00 AM ET
   Vekic @ Sakkari Sakkari -165 Moneyline Set at line Sakkari 59.4% · model 63.2%
   63%win chance 59%market
   ✓ Won +0.61 Vekic 6, Sakkari 12
8. WTA 2:00 AM ET
   Frech @ Sawangkaew Frech -132 Moneyline Set at line Frech 54.3% · model 58.4%
   58%win chance 54%market
   ✓ Won +0.76 Frech 13, Sawangkaew 9
9. ATP 3:00 AM ET
   Svrcina @ Medvedev Svrcina +486 Moneyline Set at line Svrcina 16.3% · model 20.3%
   20%win chance 16%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Svrcina 5, Medvedev 12
10. WTA 3:30 AM ET
    Starodubtseva @ McNally Starodubtseva +147 Moneyline Set at line Starodubtseva 38.6% · model 46.9%
    47%win chance 39%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Starodubtseva 16, McNally 15
11. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Alcaraz @ Bergs Bergs +920 Moneyline Set at line Bergs 9.4% · model 14.5%
    14%win chance 9%market
    ✓ Won +9.20 Alcaraz 11, Bergs 14
12. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Vacherot @ Paul Paul -150 Moneyline Set at line Paul 57.2% · model 62.0%
    62%win chance 57%market
    ✓ Won +0.67 Vacherot 6, Paul 12
13. WTA 9:00 AM ET
    Shi @ Eala Eala -401 Moneyline Set at line Eala 76.4% · model 90.2%
    90%win chance 76%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Shi 16, Eala 12
14. NHL 1:00 PM ET
    FLA @ BUF FLA -112 Moneyline Set at line FLA 50.4% · model 52.6%
    53%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 FLA 3, BUF 5
15. MLB 5:00 PM ET
    LAD @ MIL MIL +118 Moneyline Set at line MIL 43.9% · model 45.7%
    46%win chance 44%market
    ✓ Won +1.18 LAD 4, MIL 7
16. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    OTT @ NJD OTT +114 Moneyline Set at line OTT 44.9% · model 49.2%
    49%win chance 45%market
    ✓ Won +1.14 OTT 4, NJD 1
17. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    CLE @ TB CLE +139 Moneyline Set at line CLE 40.0% · model 48.9%
    49%win chance 40%market
    ✓ Won +1.39 CLE 7, TB 3
18. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    BUF @ LA BUF +3.0 Spread Set at line LA -3.0 · model LA -1.2
    57%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +1.00 BUF 37, LA 34
19. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Bucsa @ Yastremska Bucsa +108 Moneyline Set at line Bucsa 45.9% · model 55.2%
    55%win chance 46%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bucsa 14, Yastremska 17
20. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Samsonova @ Siniakova Siniakova +102 Moneyline Set at line Siniakova 47.2% · model 56.7%
    57%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Samsonova 17, Siniakova 10
21. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Volynets @ Birrell Birrell +158 Moneyline Set at line Birrell 37.0% · model 44.5%
    45%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Volynets 19, Birrell 16
22. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Khachanov @ De Minaur Khachanov +112 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 45.0% · model 51.6%
    52%win chance 45%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Khachanov 7, De Minaur 12

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.