NHL predictions Fri, Oct 9

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. How it works →

4 games on this slate · model went 2–2 · 56–30 last 30 days →

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Updated 2d ago

✗ Favorite lost Final · Fri, Oct 9

Kraken

6 38.1% · proj 2.7

Red Wings

3 61.9% · proj 3.5

Projected total 6.2

✓ Favorite won Final · Fri, Oct 9

Rangers

1 47.5% · proj 3.1

Capitals

3 52.5% · proj 3.2

Projected total 6.3

✓ Favorite won Final · Fri, Oct 9

Penguins

2 47.7% · proj 3.2

Blue Jackets

3 52.3% · proj 3.3

Projected total 6.5

✗ Favorite lost Final · Fri, Oct 9

Ducks

5 46.3% · proj 3.2

Jets

1 53.7% · proj 3.4

Projected total 6.6

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Alex DeBrincat	42%	0.55	68%	3.43	84%	19:54	3:40
Dylan Larkin	36%	0.45	62%	2.94	78%	20:13	3:03
Viktor Arvidsson	36%	0.45	61%	2.93	78%	18:10	4:11
Lucas Raymond	31%	0.37	67%	2.42	68%	20:01	3:37
Bobby McMann	25%	0.29	42%	2.51	70%	16:50	1:40
Jared McCann	23%	0.26	48%	2.26	65%	15:41	2:42
Jordan Eberle	22%	0.25	44%	1.85	54%	16:38	2:10
Andrew Copp	21%	0.24	50%	1.78	52%	19:11	1:59
Mackie Samoskevich	20%	0.22	36%	1.89	56%	14:40	0:58
Emmitt Finnie	20%	0.22	38%	1.63	48%	16:28	1:18
Matty Beniers	20%	0.22	41%	1.58	46%	17:12	2:03
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård	18%	0.20	36%	1.84	54%	13:35	1:01
Shane Wright	16%	0.18	34%	1.32	38%	13:54	1:34
Berkly Catton	16%	0.18	33%	1.42	41%	14:10	1:28
Kaapo Kakko	15%	0.16	38%	1.28	37%	14:13	1:42
Michael Rasmussen	15%	0.16	29%	1.26	36%	14:42	0:44
Chandler Stephenson	14%	0.15	41%	1.14	31%	17:45	2:07
Ryan Winterton	12%	0.13	27%	1.45	42%	13:06	0:01
Nate Danielson	12%	0.13	28%	1.12	31%	10:05	1:14
Frederick Gaudreau	10%	0.11	25%	1.12	31%	15:21	0:02
Keegan Kolesar	10%	0.11	24%	0.96	25%	12:25	0:03
Carter Mazur	10%	0.11	24%	1.01	27%	10:20	0:04
Ben Meyers	10%	0.10	21%	1.05	28%	11:44	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Brandon Montour	14%	0.15	36%	2.35	67%	22:08	1:42
Moritz Seider	13%	0.14	54%	2.25	65%	25:21	3:45
Vince Dunn	10%	0.11	38%	1.82	54%	21:07	1:59
Justin Faulk	9%	0.10	35%	1.71	50%	20:17	1:37
Axel Sandin-Pellikka	6%	0.06	25%	1.05	28%	14:43	1:48
Ben Chiarot	5%	0.06	18%	1.24	35%	19:45	0:07
Adam Larsson	5%	0.05	22%	1.24	35%	21:19	0:01
Ryker Evans	4%	0.04	21%	0.89	22%	20:20	0:10
Anton Johansson	4%	0.04	20%	0.79	19%	16:50	0:02
Ville Ottavainen	4%	0.04	19%	0.89	23%	15:04	0:00
Joshua Mahura	4%	0.04	17%	0.87	22%	15:48	0:02
Albert Johansson	3%	0.03	13%	0.80	19%	15:42	0:03
William Wallinder	2%	0.02	12%	0.55	11%	9:17	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Mika Zibanejad	32%	0.39	61%	2.56	71%	20:58	3:30
Pavel Dorofeyev	32%	0.39	49%	2.73	74%	16:39	3:20
Alexis Lafrenière	29%	0.34	53%	2.27	65%	18:57	3:26
Alex Tuch	29%	0.34	51%	2.28	65%	18:16	1:51
Alex Ovechkin	28%	0.33	51%	2.57	71%	15:39	4:00
J.T. Miller	25%	0.29	56%	1.92	56%	18:13	2:58
Tom Wilson	24%	0.28	48%	1.94	57%	18:42	2:15
Aliaksei Protas	20%	0.23	44%	1.81	53%	17:06	0:06
Ryan Leonard	20%	0.22	40%	1.94	57%	14:17	1:56
Dylan Strome	20%	0.22	51%	1.65	49%	16:16	2:38
Will Cuylle	20%	0.22	36%	1.85	55%	15:42	1:12
Gabriel Perreault	19%	0.22	39%	1.48	43%	15:32	1:19
Pierre-Luc Dubois	19%	0.22	48%	1.61	47%	16:17	2:18
Boone Jenner	18%	0.20	38%	1.90	56%	16:23	0:01
Jordan Kyrou	18%	0.20	39%	1.89	55%	13:08	1:46
Anthony Beauvillier	17%	0.18	29%	1.71	50%	14:20	0:04
Justin Sourdif	16%	0.18	36%	1.40	40%	14:43	1:17
Ilya Protas	15%	0.16	38%	1.37	40%	13:02	1:57
Eeli Tolvanen	15%	0.16	30%	1.50	44%	13:50	1:13
Oliver Bjorkstrand	13%	0.14	29%	1.30	37%	10:57	1:07
Noah Laba	12%	0.13	27%	1.07	29%	14:19	0:14
Tye Kartye	12%	0.13	28%	1.15	32%	14:27	0:04
Cole Beaudoin	9%	0.10	21%	1.02	27%	9:57	0:13
Jaroslav Chmelar	9%	0.09	19%	0.92	24%	8:52	0:09

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jakob Chychrun	18%	0.20	46%	2.40	68%	23:30	2:32
Adam Fox	12%	0.13	57%	1.57	46%	22:38	3:30
Cole Hutson	8%	0.09	35%	1.60	47%	18:06	2:03
Vladislav Gavrikov	8%	0.08	29%	1.38	40%	22:35	0:35
Sean Durzi	7%	0.08	30%	1.24	35%	19:57	1:13
Martin Fehervary	5%	0.05	25%	0.94	24%	20:08	0:02
Braden Schneider	5%	0.05	19%	1.20	34%	18:43	0:14
Timothy Liljegren	4%	0.04	18%	0.93	24%	17:46	0:05
Marcus Pettersson	4%	0.04	22%	0.86	21%	19:51	0:07
Alberts Smits	4%	0.04	17%	0.71	16%	14:51	0:06
Vincent Desharnais	3%	0.03	14%	0.71	16%	19:25	0:00
Dylan McIlrath	2%	0.02	10%	0.54	10%	9:55	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Adam Fantilli	35%	0.43	59%	2.57	71%	19:35	3:00
Bryan Rust	31%	0.37	55%	2.42	68%	18:46	3:31
Rickard Rakell	30%	0.35	51%	2.46	69%	18:44	3:17
Sidney Crosby	28%	0.33	59%	2.40	68%	18:33	3:23
Matthew Knies	27%	0.32	56%	1.79	53%	17:49	2:39
Charlie Coyle	26%	0.30	55%	1.72	51%	18:21	3:02
Valeri Nichushkin	25%	0.29	50%	1.96	57%	16:51	1:10
Evgeni Malkin	24%	0.28	54%	2.24	64%	17:23	2:57
Egor Chinakhov	23%	0.27	43%	2.13	62%	15:42	2:07
Tommy Novak	21%	0.23	42%	1.82	54%	15:10	2:09
Sean Monahan	21%	0.23	44%	1.57	46%	16:07	1:11
Ben Kindel	20%	0.23	38%	1.92	56%	15:51	2:06
Mathieu Olivier	17%	0.18	31%	1.38	40%	13:29	0:01
Cole Sillinger	17%	0.18	38%	1.61	47%	14:31	0:04
Kent Johnson	17%	0.18	37%	1.42	41%	13:33	1:39
Conor Garland	16%	0.18	35%	1.43	42%	12:51	1:01
Dmitri Voronkov	15%	0.16	30%	1.17	33%	11:11	0:58
Nicholas Robertson	15%	0.16	27%	1.56	46%	12:23	0:09
Danton Heinen	13%	0.14	29%	1.04	28%	11:41	0:00
Ville Koivunen	13%	0.13	29%	1.22	34%	13:30	1:04
Connor Dewar	13%	0.13	25%	1.39	40%	13:44	0:02
Hendrix Lapierre	11%	0.12	29%	1.04	28%	11:30	1:15
Blake Lizotte	10%	0.10	23%	1.07	29%	12:56	0:03
Ryan Lomberg	9%	0.10	19%	0.93	24%	9:11	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Zach Werenski	29%	0.34	72%	3.37	83%	28:18	3:22
Erik Karlsson	13%	0.14	50%	2.19	63%	22:27	3:43
Denton Mateychuk	9%	0.09	33%	1.27	36%	21:44	0:48
Kris Letang	7%	0.07	33%	1.56	46%	19:50	1:36
Declan Carlile	5%	0.05	17%	1.14	32%	17:43	0:01
Carson Soucy	5%	0.05	17%	0.94	24%	17:47	0:03
Samuel Girard	5%	0.05	25%	1.02	27%	18:42	0:14
Emil Andrae	4%	0.04	19%	0.66	14%	14:54	0:08
Trevor van Riemsdyk	4%	0.04	19%	0.84	20%	18:05	0:00
Erik Gudbranson	4%	0.04	19%	0.86	21%	17:32	0:01
Kaedan Korczak	3%	0.03	19%	0.83	20%	16:00	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Kyle Connor	44%	0.58	73%	3.31	83%	21:30	3:04
Cutter Gauthier	39%	0.49	61%	3.65	86%	19:22	4:13
Mark Scheifele	35%	0.43	72%	2.10	61%	21:51	3:06
Beckett Sennecke	33%	0.39	60%	2.62	72%	20:07	3:37
Leo Carlsson	32%	0.38	62%	2.40	68%	20:38	4:21
Gabriel Vilardi	29%	0.34	57%	1.77	52%	17:11	3:01
Cole Perfetti	28%	0.33	54%	2.16	62%	17:48	2:13
Mikael Granlund	28%	0.32	59%	2.13	62%	21:13	4:11
Alex Killorn	19%	0.21	36%	1.74	51%	16:29	1:36
Morgan Barron	18%	0.20	34%	1.53	45%	15:14	0:01
Alex Iafallo	17%	0.19	35%	1.38	40%	15:01	0:31
Viggo Björck	17%	0.19	37%	1.45	42%	14:16	1:11
Adam Lowry	17%	0.19	38%	1.21	34%	15:46	0:02
A.J. Greer	15%	0.17	32%	1.49	43%	13:01	0:28
Ryan Poehling	15%	0.17	37%	1.34	38%	15:40	1:06
Cole Koepke	14%	0.15	27%	1.29	37%	11:49	0:01
Vladislav Namestnikov	13%	0.14	31%	1.14	31%	12:42	1:13
Brad Lambert	13%	0.14	30%	1.09	30%	11:36	0:52
Isak Rosen	13%	0.14	28%	1.04	28%	11:32	1:07
Tim Washe	12%	0.13	27%	1.07	29%	14:38	0:21
Nikita Nesterenko	11%	0.11	26%	1.04	28%	11:59	0:03
Nikita Klepov	10%	0.11	26%	1.08	29%	10:27	0:48
Judd Caulfield	10%	0.10	23%	1.00	26%	11:17	0:00
Jeff Malott	9%	0.10	19%	0.97	25%	9:14	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jackson Lacombe	15%	0.16	54%	1.90	56%	27:22	3:50
Neal Pionk	9%	0.10	37%	1.78	52%	23:04	1:26
Dylan Samberg	7%	0.07	30%	1.36	39%	22:49	0:09
Pavel Mintyukov	7%	0.07	24%	1.11	30%	19:40	0:25
Tristan Luneau	6%	0.06	26%	1.03	27%	21:00	0:25
Mario Ferraro	5%	0.05	23%	1.11	30%	20:39	0:01
Dylan DeMelo	5%	0.05	26%	0.91	23%	21:52	0:03
Noah Warren	4%	0.04	18%	0.94	24%	15:24	0:00
Travis Mitchell	4%	0.04	16%	0.82	20%	15:28	0:00
Tyson Hinds	4%	0.04	16%	1.22	34%	14:00	0:00
Haydn Fleury	4%	0.04	16%	0.74	17%	14:42	0:05
Tyrel Bauer	2%	0.02	10%	0.44	7%	7:36	0:00

Anytime goal board

Kyle Connor44%
Alex DeBrincat42%
Cutter Gauthier39%
Dylan Larkin36%
Viktor Arvidsson36%

Forwards

Rank by


ANA @ WPG	44.0%	0.58	72.7%	37.3%	51.3%	3.31	82.8%	62.9%	21:30	3:04
ANA @ WPG	38.7%	0.49	61.1%	24.4%	36.6%	3.65	86.4%	69.0%	19:22	4:13
SEA @ DET	42.4%	0.55	67.9%	31.4%	44.2%	3.43	84.2%	65.1%	19:54	3:40
ANA @ WPG	31.7%	0.38	62.1%	25.3%	44.5%	2.40	67.9%	42.6%	20:38	4:21
ANA @ WPG	35.2%	0.43	71.9%	36.2%	56.6%	2.10	61.1%	34.9%	21:51	3:06
ANA @ WPG	27.6%	0.32	59.4%	22.8%	44.0%	2.13	61.9%	35.8%	21:13	4:11
NYR @ WSH	32.4%	0.39	61.0%	24.3%	42.3%	2.56	71.1%	46.5%	20:58	3:30
SEA @ DET	36.2%	0.45	61.9%	25.2%	40.3%	2.94	77.8%	55.4%	20:13	3:03
ANA @ WPG	32.6%	0.39	59.8%	23.2%	40.3%	2.62	72.3%	48.0%	20:07	3:37
SEA @ DET	30.7%	0.37	66.7%	30.1%	52.0%	2.42	68.5%	43.2%	20:01	3:37
SEA @ DET	36.1%	0.45	61.1%	24.4%	39.2%	2.93	77.5%	55.0%	18:10	4:11
PIT @ CBJ	34.9%	0.43	59.2%	22.6%	37.3%	2.57	71.4%	46.9%	19:35	3:00
PIT @ CBJ	31.0%	0.37	55.3%	19.3%	35.2%	2.42	68.4%	43.1%	18:46	3:31
NYR @ WSH	29.0%	0.34	53.1%	17.6%	34.0%	2.27	65.1%	39.3%	18:57	3:26
PIT @ CBJ	28.2%	0.33	58.8%	22.2%	42.6%	2.40	68.0%	42.7%	18:33	3:23
PIT @ CBJ	29.5%	0.35	51.4%	16.3%	31.0%	2.46	69.2%	44.1%	18:44	3:17
NYR @ WSH	25.2%	0.29	55.5%	19.5%	40.5%	1.92	56.4%	30.2%	18:13	2:58
NYR @ WSH	32.3%	0.39	49.4%	14.9%	25.3%	2.73	74.3%	50.6%	16:39	3:20
PIT @ CBJ	25.9%	0.30	54.6%	18.8%	38.7%	1.72	50.8%	25.1%	18:21	3:02
PIT @ CBJ	24.4%	0.28	54.3%	18.5%	39.5%	2.24	64.5%	38.6%	17:23	2:57
NYR @ WSH	24.3%	0.28	48.4%	14.3%	31.8%	1.94	56.8%	30.7%	18:42	2:15
SEA @ DET	21.5%	0.24	50.0%	15.3%	36.3%	1.78	52.3%	26.4%	19:11	1:59
NYR @ WSH	28.5%	0.34	50.8%	15.9%	31.1%	2.28	65.3%	39.6%	18:16	1:51
NYR @ WSH	28.3%	0.33	50.8%	15.9%	31.3%	2.57	71.4%	46.7%	15:39	4:00
ANA @ WPG	28.1%	0.33	54.0%	18.3%	36.1%	2.16	62.4%	36.4%	17:48	2:13
PIT @ CBJ	27.2%	0.32	56.4%	20.2%	40.1%	1.79	52.7%	26.8%	17:49	2:39
ANA @ WPG	28.7%	0.34	57.0%	20.7%	39.7%	1.77	52.2%	26.3%	17:11	3:01
SEA @ DET	25.4%	0.29	41.7%	10.2%	21.8%	2.51	70.3%	45.4%	16:50	1:40
SEA @ DET	22.9%	0.26	48.3%	14.2%	32.9%	2.26	64.9%	39.1%	15:41	2:42
SEA @ DET	22.1%	0.25	43.9%	11.5%	27.9%	1.85	54.5%	28.4%	16:38	2:10
NYR @ WSH	19.8%	0.22	50.5%	15.7%	38.3%	1.65	48.5%	23.2%	16:16	2:38
SEA @ DET	19.7%	0.22	40.5%	9.6%	25.9%	1.58	46.3%	21.3%	17:12	2:03
SEA @ DET	13.6%	0.15	41.1%	9.9%	31.8%	1.14	31.4%	11.1%	17:45	2:07
PIT @ CBJ	25.5%	0.29	49.6%	15.1%	32.4%	1.96	57.4%	31.3%	16:51	1:10
NYR @ WSH	19.5%	0.22	48.2%	14.1%	35.7%	1.61	47.3%	22.1%	16:17	2:18
PIT @ CBJ	23.5%	0.27	43.0%	10.9%	25.5%	2.13	61.9%	35.8%	15:42	2:07
PIT @ CBJ	20.2%	0.23	37.8%	8.3%	22.1%	1.92	56.4%	30.3%	15:51	2:06
ANA @ WPG	19.0%	0.21	36.5%	7.6%	21.5%	1.74	51.2%	25.4%	16:29	1:36
SEA @ DET	19.9%	0.22	38.2%	8.5%	22.9%	1.63	47.9%	22.7%	16:28	1:18
PIT @ CBJ	20.8%	0.23	41.8%	10.3%	26.5%	1.82	53.5%	27.5%	15:10	2:09
NYR @ WSH	20.2%	0.23	43.8%	11.4%	29.6%	1.81	53.4%	27.4%	17:06	0:06
PIT @ CBJ	20.6%	0.23	44.3%	11.7%	29.8%	1.57	46.2%	21.3%	16:07	1:11
NYR @ WSH	19.8%	0.22	36.3%	7.6%	20.6%	1.85	54.6%	28.5%	15:42	1:12
NYR @ WSH	18.2%	0.20	37.8%	8.3%	24.0%	1.90	55.8%	29.6%	16:23	0:01
NYR @ WSH	19.8%	0.22	39.8%	9.2%	24.9%	1.94	56.9%	30.7%	14:17	1:56
NYR @ WSH	19.5%	0.22	38.8%	8.7%	23.9%	1.48	43.0%	18.8%	15:32	1:19
ANA @ WPG	15.2%	0.17	37.4%	8.1%	26.2%	1.34	38.3%	15.5%	15:40	1:06
SEA @ DET	19.9%	0.22	35.5%	7.2%	19.5%	1.89	55.6%	29.4%	14:40	0:58
NYR @ WSH	16.1%	0.18	35.8%	7.3%	23.5%	1.40	40.5%	17.0%	14:43	1:17
SEA @ DET	14.8%	0.16	38.2%	8.4%	27.4%	1.28	36.6%	14.3%	14:13	1:42
NYR @ WSH	18.1%	0.20	39.1%	8.9%	25.6%	1.89	55.5%	29.4%	13:08	1:46
ANA @ WPG	17.1%	0.19	37.1%	8.0%	24.1%	1.45	42.3%	18.3%	14:16	1:11
SEA @ DET	16.1%	0.18	32.6%	6.0%	19.6%	1.42	41.1%	17.4%	14:10	1:28
ANA @ WPG	17.0%	0.19	37.6%	8.1%	24.8%	1.21	34.0%	12.6%	15:46	0:02
ANA @ WPG	17.3%	0.19	34.9%	6.9%	21.2%	1.38	39.8%	16.5%	15:01	0:31
ANA @ WPG	17.8%	0.20	33.5%	6.4%	19.1%	1.53	44.6%	20.0%	15:14	0:01
SEA @ DET	18.1%	0.20	36.0%	7.4%	21.8%	1.84	54.1%	28.0%	13:35	1:01
SEA @ DET	16.4%	0.18	33.6%	6.4%	20.6%	1.32	37.7%	15.0%	13:54	1:34
PIT @ CBJ	16.5%	0.18	37.0%	7.9%	24.5%	1.42	41.3%	17.5%	13:33	1:39
NYR @ WSH	14.7%	0.16	29.7%	4.9%	17.5%	1.50	43.7%	19.3%	13:50	1:13
SEA @ DET	14.5%	0.16	29.2%	4.8%	17.2%	1.26	35.5%	13.6%	14:42	0:44
PIT @ CBJ	16.6%	0.18	38.1%	8.4%	25.8%	1.61	47.2%	22.1%	14:31	0:04
NYR @ WSH	14.9%	0.16	37.5%	8.1%	26.5%	1.37	39.6%	16.3%	13:02	1:57
NYR @ WSH	16.6%	0.18	29.0%	4.7%	14.8%	1.71	50.3%	24.7%	14:20	0:04
SEA @ DET	10.4%	0.11	25.4%	3.5%	16.7%	1.12	30.7%	10.7%	15:21	0:02
ANA @ WPG	12.3%	0.13	26.8%	4.0%	16.5%	1.07	29.1%	9.8%	14:38	0:21
PIT @ CBJ	12.6%	0.13	28.6%	4.5%	18.3%	1.22	34.3%	12.8%	13:30	1:04
PIT @ CBJ	16.4%	0.18	35.5%	7.2%	22.9%	1.43	41.5%	17.7%	12:51	1:01
NYR @ WSH	12.3%	0.13	27.6%	4.2%	17.4%	1.15	31.9%	11.4%	14:27	0:04
NYR @ WSH	12.4%	0.13	27.5%	4.2%	17.2%	1.07	28.8%	9.6%	14:19	0:14
ANA @ WPG	15.5%	0.17	31.7%	5.7%	19.2%	1.49	43.5%	19.1%	13:01	0:28
PIT @ CBJ	12.6%	0.13	25.3%	3.5%	14.6%	1.39	40.1%	16.7%	13:44	0:02
ANA @ WPG	13.4%	0.14	31.4%	5.5%	20.8%	1.14	31.5%	11.1%	12:42	1:13
PIT @ CBJ	16.7%	0.18	30.9%	5.4%	17.0%	1.38	39.9%	16.6%	13:29	0:01
SEA @ DET	12.2%	0.13	27.3%	4.1%	17.2%	1.45	42.3%	18.2%	13:06	0:01
PIT @ CBJ	14.9%	0.16	27.0%	4.0%	14.2%	1.56	45.8%	20.9%	12:23	0:09
PIT @ CBJ	9.7%	0.10	22.9%	2.9%	14.6%	1.07	29.1%	9.7%	12:56	0:03
PIT @ CBJ	11.5%	0.12	29.5%	4.8%	20.3%	1.04	27.7%	9.0%	11:30	1:15
ANA @ WPG	13.3%	0.14	28.3%	4.4%	17.3%	1.04	27.7%	9.0%	11:32	1:07
ANA @ WPG	13.3%	0.14	29.9%	5.0%	19.2%	1.09	29.8%	10.2%	11:36	0:52
NYR @ WSH	13.0%	0.14	28.6%	4.5%	17.9%	1.30	37.0%	14.6%	10:57	1:07
PIT @ CBJ	15.0%	0.16	30.3%	5.1%	18.0%	1.17	32.5%	11.7%	11:11	0:58
SEA @ DET	10.1%	0.11	23.9%	3.1%	15.3%	0.96	24.8%	7.5%	12:25	0:03
ANA @ WPG	14.2%	0.15	26.8%	4.0%	14.7%	1.29	36.7%	14.3%	11:49	0:01
ANA @ WPG	10.8%	0.11	26.2%	3.8%	17.3%	1.04	28.0%	9.1%	11:59	0:03
PIT @ CBJ	12.9%	0.14	28.9%	4.6%	18.3%	1.04	28.0%	9.2%	11:41	0:00
SEA @ DET	10.0%	0.10	21.3%	2.4%	12.6%	1.05	28.4%	9.4%	11:44	0:02
SEA @ DET	12.1%	0.13	28.5%	4.5%	18.7%	1.12	30.9%	10.8%	10:05	1:14
ANA @ WPG	10.4%	0.11	25.5%	3.6%	16.9%	1.08	29.3%	9.9%	10:27	0:48
ANA @ WPG	9.7%	0.10	23.4%	3.0%	15.1%	1.00	26.3%	8.3%	11:17	0:00
SEA @ DET	10.0%	0.11	24.3%	3.2%	15.9%	1.01	26.9%	8.6%	10:20	0:04
NYR @ WSH	9.2%	0.10	21.5%	2.5%	13.5%	1.02	27.0%	8.6%	9:57	0:13
ANA @ WPG	9.3%	0.10	19.2%	2.0%	10.9%	0.97	25.4%	7.8%	9:14	0:00
PIT @ CBJ	9.1%	0.10	19.0%	1.9%	10.9%	0.93	24.1%	7.1%	9:11	0:00
NYR @ WSH	8.7%	0.09	18.8%	1.9%	11.0%	0.92	23.7%	7.0%	8:52	0:09

Defense

Rank by


PIT @ CBJ	28.7%	0.34	72.4%	36.8%	61.2%	3.37	83.5%	64.0%	28:18	3:22
ANA @ WPG	14.9%	0.16	54.4%	18.6%	46.5%	1.90	55.8%	29.6%	27:22	3:50
SEA @ DET	12.8%	0.14	54.4%	18.6%	47.7%	2.25	64.7%	38.8%	25:21	3:45
NYR @ WSH	18.5%	0.20	45.6%	12.5%	33.3%	2.40	67.9%	42.6%	23:30	2:32
PIT @ CBJ	13.0%	0.14	50.5%	15.7%	43.1%	2.19	63.3%	37.3%	22:27	3:43
NYR @ WSH	12.2%	0.13	57.0%	20.7%	51.1%	1.57	46.2%	21.3%	22:38	3:30
SEA @ DET	14.2%	0.15	35.8%	7.3%	25.2%	2.35	66.9%	41.3%	22:08	1:42
ANA @ WPG	9.3%	0.10	37.2%	8.0%	30.7%	1.78	52.5%	26.6%	23:04	1:26
SEA @ DET	10.0%	0.11	37.9%	8.3%	30.9%	1.82	53.7%	27.7%	21:07	1:59
NYR @ WSH	7.5%	0.08	28.6%	4.6%	22.8%	1.38	39.9%	16.5%	22:35	0:35
ANA @ WPG	6.8%	0.07	29.9%	5.0%	24.9%	1.36	39.2%	16.0%	22:49	0:09
SEA @ DET	9.4%	0.10	35.3%	7.1%	28.5%	1.71	50.3%	24.7%	20:17	1:37
PIT @ CBJ	8.5%	0.09	32.9%	6.1%	26.7%	1.27	36.0%	13.9%	21:44	0:48
PIT @ CBJ	7.2%	0.07	33.1%	6.2%	27.9%	1.56	45.8%	20.9%	19:50	1:36
ANA @ WPG	4.6%	0.05	25.8%	3.7%	22.3%	0.91	23.0%	6.6%	21:52	0:03
NYR @ WSH	7.4%	0.08	30.0%	5.0%	24.4%	1.24	35.0%	13.3%	19:57	1:13
SEA @ DET	5.1%	0.05	21.5%	2.5%	17.3%	1.24	35.2%	13.4%	21:19	0:01
ANA @ WPG	6.2%	0.06	26.4%	3.8%	21.5%	1.03	27.5%	8.9%	21:00	0:25
NYR @ WSH	8.4%	0.09	34.8%	6.9%	28.9%	1.60	47.1%	22.0%	18:06	2:03
ANA @ WPG	5.3%	0.05	22.5%	2.7%	18.1%	1.11	30.2%	10.4%	20:39	0:01
ANA @ WPG	6.7%	0.07	24.2%	3.2%	18.8%	1.11	30.3%	10.5%	19:40	0:25
SEA @ DET	4.2%	0.04	21.2%	2.4%	17.8%	0.89	22.4%	6.4%	20:20	0:10
SEA @ DET	5.5%	0.06	18.2%	1.8%	13.5%	1.24	35.0%	13.3%	19:45	0:07
NYR @ WSH	4.8%	0.05	24.8%	3.4%	21.0%	0.94	24.3%	7.2%	20:08	0:02
NYR @ WSH	4.0%	0.04	21.7%	2.6%	18.5%	0.86	21.4%	5.9%	19:51	0:07
NYR @ WSH	4.7%	0.05	19.4%	2.0%	15.4%	1.20	33.6%	12.4%	18:43	0:14
PIT @ CBJ	4.8%	0.05	25.4%	3.5%	21.6%	1.02	27.2%	8.7%	18:42	0:14
NYR @ WSH	2.6%	0.03	14.1%	1.0%	11.8%	0.71	16.0%	3.7%	19:25	0:00
PIT @ CBJ	5.0%	0.05	17.0%	1.5%	12.6%	1.14	31.5%	11.1%	17:43	0:01
PIT @ CBJ	3.9%	0.04	18.6%	1.9%	15.3%	0.84	20.5%	5.5%	18:05	0:00
NYR @ WSH	4.1%	0.04	18.2%	1.8%	14.7%	0.93	23.8%	7.0%	17:46	0:05
PIT @ CBJ	4.9%	0.05	17.0%	1.5%	12.7%	0.94	24.3%	7.3%	17:47	0:03
PIT @ CBJ	3.9%	0.04	18.7%	1.9%	15.4%	0.86	21.4%	5.9%	17:32	0:01
SEA @ DET	5.8%	0.06	24.7%	3.3%	20.1%	1.05	28.2%	9.3%	14:43	1:48
SEA @ DET	4.2%	0.04	19.7%	2.1%	16.2%	0.79	18.7%	4.8%	16:50	0:02
PIT @ CBJ	3.4%	0.03	19.3%	2.0%	16.4%	0.83	20.2%	5.4%	16:00	0:00
SEA @ DET	3.5%	0.04	17.2%	1.6%	14.1%	0.87	21.6%	6.0%	15:48	0:02
SEA @ DET	3.3%	0.03	13.3%	0.9%	10.4%	0.80	19.1%	4.9%	15:42	0:03
ANA @ WPG	4.3%	0.04	18.2%	1.8%	14.5%	0.94	24.1%	7.2%	15:24	0:00
ANA @ WPG	4.0%	0.04	16.5%	1.4%	13.0%	0.82	20.0%	5.3%	15:28	0:00
SEA @ DET	3.8%	0.04	18.6%	1.8%	15.4%	0.89	22.6%	6.4%	15:04	0:00
PIT @ CBJ	4.1%	0.04	18.6%	1.9%	15.2%	0.66	14.4%	3.1%	14:54	0:08
NYR @ WSH	3.9%	0.04	16.8%	1.5%	13.4%	0.71	16.2%	3.8%	14:51	0:06
ANA @ WPG	3.7%	0.04	15.9%	1.3%	12.7%	0.74	16.9%	4.1%	14:42	0:05
ANA @ WPG	3.8%	0.04	15.6%	1.3%	12.3%	1.22	34.4%	12.9%	14:00	0:00
NYR @ WSH	2.0%	0.02	10.4%	0.6%	8.6%	0.54	10.3%	1.8%	9:55	0:00
SEA @ DET	2.0%	0.02	11.8%	0.7%	10.0%	0.55	10.6%	1.9%	9:17	0:00
ANA @ WPG	1.8%	0.02	9.9%	0.5%	8.3%	0.44	7.4%	1.1%	7:36	0:00

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.91 expected scorers, 2.3% that all three score.

Group 1

Kyle Connor WPG vs ANA · 3.3 SOG · 21:30 TOI Best44%
Alex DeBrincat DET vs SEA · 3.4 SOG · 19:54 TOI 42%
Cutter Gauthier ANA @ WPG · 3.7 SOG · 19:22 TOI 39%
Viktor Arvidsson DET vs SEA · 2.9 SOG · 18:10 TOI 36%
Mark Scheifele WPG vs ANA · 2.1 SOG · 21:51 TOI 35%
Adam Fantilli CBJ vs PIT · 2.6 SOG · 19:35 TOI 35%
Beckett Sennecke ANA @ WPG · 2.6 SOG · 20:07 TOI 33%
Mika Zibanejad NYR @ WSH · 2.6 SOG · 20:58 TOI 32%
Pavel Dorofeyev NYR @ WSH · 2.7 SOG · 16:39 TOI 32%
Leo Carlsson ANA @ WPG · 2.4 SOG · 20:38 TOI 32%
Lucas Raymond DET vs SEA · 2.4 SOG · 20:01 TOI 31%
Alexis Lafreniere NYR @ WSH · 2.3 SOG · 18:57 TOI 29%
Gabriel Vilardi WPG vs ANA · 1.8 SOG · 17:11 TOI 29%
Alex Ovechkin WSH vs NYR · 2.6 SOG · 15:39 TOI 28%
Cole Perfetti WPG vs ANA · 2.2 SOG · 17:48 TOI 28%
Tom Wilson WSH vs NYR · 1.9 SOG · 18:42 TOI 24%
Jared McCann SEA @ DET · 2.3 SOG · 15:41 TOI 23%
Jordan Eberle SEA @ DET · 1.9 SOG · 16:38 TOI 22%
Kent Johnson CBJ vs PIT · 1.4 SOG · 13:33 TOI 17%

Group 2

Zach Werenski CBJ vs PIT · 3.4 SOG · 28:18 TOI Best29%
Mikael Granlund ANA @ WPG · 2.1 SOG · 21:13 TOI 28%
Charlie Coyle CBJ vs PIT · 1.7 SOG · 18:21 TOI 26%
Valeri Nichushkin CBJ vs PIT · 2.0 SOG · 16:51 TOI 25%
J.T. Miller NYR @ WSH · 1.9 SOG · 18:13 TOI 25%
Ryan Leonard WSH vs NYR · 1.9 SOG · 14:17 TOI 20%
Will Cuylle NYR @ WSH · 1.9 SOG · 15:42 TOI 20%
Alex Killorn ANA @ WPG · 1.7 SOG · 16:29 TOI 19%
Alex Iafallo WPG vs ANA · 1.4 SOG · 15:01 TOI 17%
Conor Garland CBJ vs PIT · 1.4 SOG · 12:51 TOI 16%
A.J. Greer ANA @ WPG · 1.5 SOG · 13:01 TOI 15%
Ryan Poehling ANA @ WPG · 1.3 SOG · 15:40 TOI 15%
Dmitri Voronkov CBJ vs PIT · 1.2 SOG · 11:11 TOI 15%
Ilya Protas WSH vs NYR · 1.4 SOG · 13:02 TOI 15%
Jackson LaCombe ANA @ WPG · 1.9 SOG · 27:22 TOI 15%
Chandler Stephenson SEA @ DET · 1.1 SOG · 17:45 TOI 14%
Isak Rosen WPG vs ANA · 1.0 SOG · 11:32 TOI 13%
Erik Karlsson PIT @ CBJ · 2.2 SOG · 22:27 TOI 13%
Neal Pionk WPG vs ANA · 1.8 SOG · 23:04 TOI 9%

Group 3

Morgan Barron WPG vs ANA · 1.5 SOG · 15:14 TOI Best18%
Adam Lowry WPG vs ANA · 1.2 SOG · 15:46 TOI 17%
Justin Sourdif WSH vs NYR · 1.4 SOG · 14:43 TOI 16%
Nick Robertson PIT @ CBJ · 1.6 SOG · 12:23 TOI 15%
Cole Koepke WPG vs ANA · 1.3 SOG · 11:49 TOI 14%
Vladislav Namestnikov WPG vs ANA · 1.1 SOG · 12:42 TOI 13%
Brad Lambert WPG vs ANA · 1.1 SOG · 11:36 TOI 13%
Connor Dewar PIT @ CBJ · 1.4 SOG · 13:44 TOI 13%
Noah Laba NYR @ WSH · 1.1 SOG · 14:19 TOI 12%
Tye Kartye NYR @ WSH · 1.2 SOG · 14:27 TOI 12%
Nate Danielson DET vs SEA · 1.1 SOG · 10:05 TOI 12%
Nikita Nesterenko ANA @ WPG · 1.0 SOG · 11:59 TOI 11%
Freddy Gaudreau SEA @ DET · 1.1 SOG · 15:21 TOI 10%
Carter Mazur DET vs SEA · 1.0 SOG · 10:20 TOI 10%
Justin Faulk DET vs SEA · 1.7 SOG · 20:17 TOI 9%
Jeff Malott ANA @ WPG · 1.0 SOG · 9:14 TOI 9%
Jaroslav Chmelar NYR @ WSH · 0.9 SOG · 8:52 TOI 9%
Denton Mateychuk CBJ vs PIT · 1.3 SOG · 21:44 TOI 9%
Cole Hutson WSH vs NYR · 1.6 SOG · 18:06 TOI 8%
Tristan Luneau ANA @ WPG · 1.0 SOG · 21:00 TOI 6%

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

NHL predictions Fri, Oct 9

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Group 1

Group 2

Group 3

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Players

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Tims Hockey Challenge

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3