NHL predictions Mon, Oct 5

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. How it works →

4 games on this slate · model went 3–1 · 56–30 last 30 days →

‹ ›

Updated 6d ago

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 5

Flyers

1 33.1% · proj 2.7

Lightning

4 66.9% · proj 3.8

Projected total 6.5

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 5

Senators

4 53.2% · proj 3.1

Bruins

1 46.8% · proj 2.9

Projected total 6.0

✗ Favorite lost Final · Mon, Oct 5

Jets

3 34.0% · proj 2.7

Penguins

2 66.0% · proj 3.7

Projected total 6.4

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 5

Sharks

0 34.7% · proj 2.7

Stars

5 65.3% · proj 3.7

Projected total 6.4

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Nikita Kucherov	44%	0.58	82%	2.94	78%	21:12	4:42
Jake Guentzel	42%	0.54	68%	2.70	74%	20:44	4:33
Brandon Hagel	39%	0.50	68%	2.95	78%	21:05	3:50
Brayden Point	36%	0.44	62%	2.22	64%	19:21	4:17
Anthony Cirelli	25%	0.29	48%	1.75	52%	17:56	1:10
Owen Tippett	24%	0.28	42%	2.51	70%	15:59	1:53
Trevor Zegras	22%	0.25	48%	1.86	55%	18:07	3:04
Travis Konecny	21%	0.24	49%	1.95	57%	16:41	2:47
Tyson Foerster	21%	0.23	36%	1.91	56%	17:01	2:26
Matvei Michkov	19%	0.21	42%	1.88	55%	14:27	2:35
Christian Dvorak	18%	0.20	41%	1.70	50%	16:57	1:53
Porter Martone	18%	0.20	39%	1.86	55%	13:59	1:54
Gage Goncalves	16%	0.18	36%	1.20	34%	14:20	1:04
Ilya Mikheyev	16%	0.17	30%	1.33	38%	13:54	0:02
Pontus Holmberg	15%	0.16	30%	1.25	35%	13:20	0:48
Noah Cates	14%	0.15	32%	1.35	39%	13:44	1:28
Zemgus Girgensons	13%	0.14	23%	1.14	31%	13:45	0:01
Sean Couturier	12%	0.13	31%	1.34	38%	15:03	0:10
Noel Acciari	12%	0.13	24%	1.30	37%	14:48	0:04
Denver Barkey	12%	0.13	30%	1.15	32%	13:28	0:51
Conor Geekie	12%	0.13	24%	1.00	27%	10:36	0:41
Carl Grundstrom	11%	0.11	20%	1.26	36%	11:07	0:00
Jeffrey Viel	10%	0.10	20%	0.94	24%	9:01	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
John Carlson	17%	0.18	59%	2.12	61%	22:19	5:55
Travis Sanheim	9%	0.09	31%	1.35	39%	23:25	0:30
Victor Hedman	8%	0.08	34%	1.25	35%	16:36	1:13
Charle-Edouard D'Astous	7%	0.07	31%	1.13	31%	17:37	1:16
J.J. Moser	7%	0.07	26%	1.16	32%	20:00	0:07
Rasmus Ristolainen	7%	0.07	27%	1.39	40%	19:12	1:28
Jamie Drysdale	7%	0.07	28%	1.19	33%	20:38	2:43
Cam York	6%	0.07	24%	1.05	28%	21:18	0:45
Ryan McDonagh	5%	0.05	26%	0.84	21%	18:17	0:06
Erik Cernak	4%	0.04	17%	0.89	22%	17:39	0:02
Nick Seeler	4%	0.04	14%	1.02	27%	16:37	0:04
David Jiricek	3%	0.03	16%	0.90	23%	14:28	0:21

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
David Pastrnak	35%	0.44	69%	3.09	80%	20:12	2:45
Tim Stützle	30%	0.35	61%	2.34	67%	20:41	3:37
Drake Batherson	28%	0.33	54%	2.12	62%	17:28	3:30
JJ Peterka	28%	0.33	50%	2.12	62%	18:43	2:31
Shane Pinto	27%	0.32	47%	2.27	65%	19:34	2:10
Dylan Cozens	27%	0.32	50%	2.45	69%	17:26	3:19
Morgan Geekie	27%	0.31	47%	1.83	54%	17:35	2:10
William Eklund	22%	0.25	48%	2.04	59%	17:18	3:09
Pavel Zacha	20%	0.23	45%	1.50	44%	16:37	2:14
Elias Lindholm	20%	0.23	42%	1.55	46%	17:11	1:34
Fraser Minten	18%	0.20	35%	1.47	43%	15:50	1:09
Warren Foegele	18%	0.19	30%	1.63	48%	13:08	1:03
Michael Amadio	17%	0.19	35%	1.43	42%	17:49	0:06
Claude Giroux	17%	0.18	44%	1.76	52%	16:26	2:24
James Hagens	17%	0.18	34%	1.41	41%	14:00	0:54
Fabian Zetterlund	16%	0.18	30%	1.56	46%	12:41	1:28
Casey Mittelstadt	15%	0.16	38%	1.18	33%	15:26	1:25
Matthew Poitras	14%	0.15	32%	1.27	36%	12:45	1:01
Stephen Halliday	13%	0.14	29%	1.25	35%	10:08	2:04
Nick Cousins	12%	0.12	25%	1.20	34%	12:02	0:04
Marat Khusnutdinov	11%	0.12	27%	0.92	23%	14:27	0:11
Mark Kastelic	11%	0.12	22%	1.05	28%	11:31	0:01
Tanner Jeannot	10%	0.10	21%	0.85	21%	11:07	0:03
Hayden Hodgson	7%	0.07	15%	0.72	16%	7:20	0:01

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Thomas Chabot	13%	0.13	45%	2.04	59%	24:31	2:51
Jordan Spence	10%	0.11	40%	1.76	52%	22:23	1:48
Carter Yakemchuk	7%	0.07	30%	1.23	35%	15:57	2:30
Hampus Lindholm	7%	0.07	30%	1.26	36%	20:56	1:14
Mason Lohrei	7%	0.07	29%	0.95	25%	18:58	1:18
Tyler Kleven	5%	0.05	21%	1.41	41%	19:04	0:12
Nikita Zadorov	5%	0.05	24%	1.14	31%	19:34	0:03
Frederic Brunet	5%	0.05	21%	0.96	25%	14:19	0:51
Connor Clifton	5%	0.05	20%	0.96	25%	19:10	0:06
Nikolas Matinpalo	4%	0.04	15%	0.97	25%	17:34	0:01
Cameron Crotty	4%	0.04	17%	0.95	25%	15:29	0:00
Will Borgen	4%	0.04	18%	0.89	23%	18:37	0:01

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Rickard Rakell	35%	0.44	59%	2.50	70%	18:30	3:21
Kyle Connor	35%	0.43	61%	3.25	82%	20:38	3:24
Sidney Crosby	34%	0.41	66%	2.38	68%	18:32	3:23
Evgeni Malkin	30%	0.36	63%	2.30	66%	17:46	3:13
Egor Chinakhov	30%	0.35	51%	2.29	65%	16:34	2:07
Mark Scheifele	28%	0.33	59%	2.10	61%	20:34	3:27
Tommy Novak	25%	0.29	48%	1.82	53%	15:38	1:59
Gabriel Vilardi	24%	0.27	48%	1.82	54%	17:31	3:20
Ben Kindel	22%	0.25	40%	1.83	54%	14:34	1:49
Nicholas Robertson	21%	0.23	36%	1.76	52%	13:50	0:19
Cole Perfetti	20%	0.22	41%	2.04	60%	16:14	2:17
Andrei Kuzmenko	18%	0.20	38%	1.27	36%	12:41	2:23
Connor Dewar	16%	0.18	31%	1.43	41%	14:39	0:02
Ville Koivunen	16%	0.17	34%	1.25	36%	13:47	1:14
Hendrix Lapierre	14%	0.15	35%	1.05	28%	11:20	1:31
Viggo Björck	14%	0.15	30%	1.55	45%	14:14	1:21
Alex Iafallo	13%	0.14	26%	1.37	40%	14:58	0:21
Nino Niederreiter	13%	0.14	26%	1.35	39%	12:47	1:25
Morgan Barron	13%	0.14	24%	1.50	44%	14:06	0:02
Adam Lowry	13%	0.14	29%	1.19	33%	15:17	0:03
Blake Lizotte	13%	0.13	28%	1.11	30%	14:00	0:04
Brad Lambert	11%	0.11	24%	1.20	34%	11:29	1:09
Vladislav Namestnikov	10%	0.11	24%	1.12	31%	12:29	1:15
Isak Rosen	10%	0.11	22%	1.03	28%	11:24	1:09

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Erik Karlsson	16%	0.17	57%	2.17	63%	21:37	3:43
Josh Morrissey	11%	0.12	47%	2.04	60%	23:45	3:19
Kris Letang	9%	0.09	39%	1.55	45%	19:56	1:42
Neal Pionk	7%	0.07	28%	1.79	53%	22:37	1:29
Samuel Girard	6%	0.06	31%	1.07	29%	19:30	0:17
Declan Carlile	6%	0.06	19%	1.15	32%	17:57	0:02
Trevor van Riemsdyk	5%	0.05	23%	0.89	22%	19:05	0:01
Dylan Samberg	5%	0.05	20%	1.30	37%	21:16	0:03
Kaedan Korczak	4%	0.05	24%	0.91	23%	17:01	0:00
Mario Ferraro	4%	0.04	15%	1.03	27%	19:20	0:00
Dylan DeMelo	3%	0.03	18%	0.90	23%	21:01	0:04
Tyrel Bauer	1%	0.01	7%	0.44	7%	7:20	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jason Robertson	43%	0.57	71%	3.34	83%	19:39	4:11
Wyatt Johnston	41%	0.53	67%	2.75	75%	20:20	3:47
Mikko Rantanen	36%	0.45	71%	2.46	69%	20:41	4:21
Macklin Celebrini	33%	0.40	64%	3.07	80%	20:29	3:05
Roope Hintz	28%	0.33	56%	2.19	63%	16:13	3:07
Will Smith	24%	0.28	49%	2.08	61%	17:42	2:54
Tyler Seguin	22%	0.25	45%	1.70	50%	14:05	1:43
Mason Marchment	19%	0.21	39%	1.59	47%	15:08	1:14
Kiefer Sherwood	18%	0.20	33%	1.85	55%	14:57	0:45
Justin Hryckowian	18%	0.20	38%	1.38	40%	15:10	1:23
Igor Chernyshov	18%	0.20	37%	1.55	45%	14:37	1:33
Jamie Benn	18%	0.20	41%	1.39	40%	12:42	1:22
Tyler Toffoli	17%	0.19	34%	1.75	52%	13:00	2:01
Alexander Wennberg	16%	0.17	39%	1.24	35%	19:37	3:06
Collin Graf	15%	0.16	31%	1.35	39%	16:16	0:08
Sam Steel	14%	0.16	33%	1.29	37%	14:54	0:10
Ivar Stenberg	14%	0.15	32%	1.28	37%	14:25	0:59
Arttu Hyry	13%	0.14	26%	1.27	36%	12:10	0:03
Michael Misa	13%	0.14	30%	1.30	37%	12:46	0:54
Oskar Back	9%	0.10	21%	0.80	19%	12:07	0:01
Joel Kiviranta	9%	0.10	18%	0.96	25%	9:58	0:00
Radek Faksa	9%	0.10	23%	0.87	22%	11:34	0:01
Zack Ostapchuk	7%	0.08	15%	0.82	20%	10:42	0:05
Barclay Goodrow	7%	0.07	14%	0.83	20%	11:48	0:06

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Thomas Harley	14%	0.15	46%	1.83	54%	23:22	2:26
Miro Heiskanen	13%	0.14	51%	1.86	55%	23:18	3:21
Luca Cagnoni	8%	0.09	33%	1.64	48%	18:50	3:12
Darnell Nurse	7%	0.07	22%	1.63	48%	20:00	0:01
Jacob Trouba	6%	0.06	23%	1.57	46%	21:31	0:04
Esa Lindell	6%	0.06	29%	1.08	29%	21:09	0:42
Dmitry Orlov	6%	0.06	29%	1.15	32%	19:00	1:36
Michael Kesselring	5%	0.06	20%	1.39	40%	18:25	0:00
Nils Lundkvist	5%	0.05	21%	1.14	31%	16:43	0:12
Sam Dickinson	5%	0.05	21%	1.06	29%	17:47	0:27
Tyler Myers	5%	0.05	20%	1.09	30%	16:51	0:02
Lian Bichsel	4%	0.04	15%	0.74	17%	16:04	0:00

Anytime goal board

Nikita Kucherov44%
Jason Robertson43%
Jake Guentzel42%
Wyatt Johnston41%
Brandon Hagel39%

Forwards

Rank by


PHI @ TBL	43.8%	0.58	82.1%	51.3%	68.2%	2.94	77.8%	55.4%	21:12	4:42
PHI @ TBL	41.8%	0.54	68.4%	32.0%	45.8%	2.70	73.8%	49.9%	20:44	4:33
PHI @ TBL	39.3%	0.50	68.1%	31.7%	47.5%	2.95	78.0%	55.6%	21:05	3:50
SJS @ DAL	43.4%	0.57	71.4%	35.6%	49.4%	3.34	83.1%	63.4%	19:39	4:11
SJS @ DAL	36.0%	0.45	71.4%	35.6%	55.3%	2.46	69.2%	44.1%	20:41	4:21
WPG @ PIT	34.7%	0.43	61.0%	24.3%	40.2%	3.25	82.0%	61.7%	20:38	3:24
SJS @ DAL	41.4%	0.53	66.6%	30.0%	43.0%	2.75	74.7%	51.2%	20:20	3:47
SJS @ DAL	32.8%	0.40	63.8%	27.0%	46.1%	3.07	79.6%	58.0%	20:29	3:05
OTT @ BOS	35.5%	0.44	69.4%	33.2%	52.6%	3.09	79.9%	58.5%	20:12	2:45
OTT @ BOS	29.5%	0.35	61.5%	24.7%	45.4%	2.34	66.7%	41.1%	20:41	3:37
WPG @ PIT	27.8%	0.33	59.4%	22.8%	43.8%	2.10	61.0%	34.9%	20:34	3:27
PHI @ TBL	35.5%	0.44	61.8%	25.0%	40.7%	2.22	63.9%	37.9%	19:21	4:17
WPG @ PIT	33.6%	0.41	65.9%	29.3%	48.7%	2.38	67.6%	42.1%	18:32	3:23
WPG @ PIT	35.3%	0.44	58.8%	22.3%	36.3%	2.50	70.1%	45.2%	18:30	3:21
OTT @ BOS	27.4%	0.32	47.5%	13.6%	27.6%	2.27	65.0%	39.2%	19:34	2:10
WPG @ PIT	30.0%	0.36	62.8%	26.0%	46.8%	2.30	65.7%	40.0%	17:46	3:13
OTT @ BOS	27.1%	0.32	50.4%	15.6%	31.9%	2.45	69.0%	43.8%	17:26	3:19
OTT @ BOS	28.1%	0.33	50.1%	15.4%	30.6%	2.12	61.6%	35.5%	18:43	2:31
OTT @ BOS	28.1%	0.33	54.2%	18.5%	36.4%	2.12	61.6%	35.5%	17:28	3:30
SJS @ DAL	15.7%	0.17	39.4%	9.1%	28.2%	1.24	35.0%	13.3%	19:37	3:06
PHI @ TBL	22.1%	0.25	47.8%	13.9%	33.0%	1.86	54.6%	28.6%	18:07	3:04
SJS @ DAL	24.2%	0.28	48.6%	14.4%	32.1%	2.08	60.6%	34.4%	17:42	2:54
WPG @ PIT	23.7%	0.27	47.9%	13.9%	31.7%	1.82	53.7%	27.7%	17:31	3:20
OTT @ BOS	22.1%	0.25	48.4%	14.2%	33.7%	2.04	59.5%	33.3%	17:18	3:09
SJS @ DAL	28.2%	0.33	56.1%	20.0%	38.8%	2.19	63.3%	37.3%	16:13	3:07
OTT @ BOS	26.9%	0.31	46.9%	13.3%	27.4%	1.83	53.8%	27.8%	17:35	2:10
PHI @ TBL	21.2%	0.24	49.1%	14.7%	35.4%	1.95	57.1%	31.0%	16:41	2:47
WPG @ PIT	29.5%	0.35	51.4%	16.3%	31.0%	2.29	65.5%	39.7%	16:34	2:07
PHI @ TBL	20.8%	0.23	35.7%	7.3%	18.8%	1.91	56.0%	29.9%	17:01	2:26
PHI @ TBL	25.4%	0.29	47.5%	13.7%	29.7%	1.75	51.7%	25.9%	17:56	1:10
PHI @ TBL	24.1%	0.28	41.8%	10.3%	23.4%	2.51	70.2%	45.3%	15:59	1:53
WPG @ PIT	20.1%	0.22	41.2%	10.0%	26.4%	2.04	59.6%	33.4%	16:14	2:17
OTT @ BOS	16.8%	0.18	43.9%	11.4%	32.5%	1.76	51.8%	26.0%	16:26	2:24
PHI @ TBL	18.4%	0.20	41.2%	10.0%	27.9%	1.70	50.0%	24.5%	16:57	1:53
OTT @ BOS	20.5%	0.23	44.8%	12.0%	30.6%	1.50	43.7%	19.3%	16:37	2:14
OTT @ BOS	20.2%	0.23	42.2%	10.5%	27.6%	1.55	45.6%	20.8%	17:11	1:34
WPG @ PIT	25.0%	0.29	48.5%	14.3%	31.3%	1.82	53.5%	27.5%	15:38	1:59
PHI @ TBL	18.9%	0.21	41.8%	10.3%	28.2%	1.88	55.2%	29.1%	14:27	2:35
OTT @ BOS	17.1%	0.19	34.6%	6.8%	21.1%	1.43	41.6%	17.7%	17:49	0:06
WPG @ PIT	21.9%	0.25	39.6%	9.1%	22.6%	1.83	53.7%	27.7%	14:34	1:49
OTT @ BOS	17.9%	0.20	35.2%	7.1%	21.0%	1.47	42.7%	18.6%	15:50	1:09
SJS @ DAL	18.7%	0.21	38.9%	8.8%	24.8%	1.59	46.7%	21.6%	15:08	1:14
PHI @ TBL	17.9%	0.20	38.6%	8.7%	25.3%	1.86	54.6%	28.5%	13:59	1:54
SJS @ DAL	18.4%	0.20	37.5%	8.1%	23.4%	1.38	39.8%	16.5%	15:10	1:23
SJS @ DAL	22.1%	0.25	44.7%	11.9%	29.0%	1.70	50.0%	24.4%	14:05	1:43
OTT @ BOS	15.0%	0.16	37.5%	8.1%	26.4%	1.18	32.9%	12.0%	15:26	1:25
SJS @ DAL	17.9%	0.20	37.2%	8.0%	23.6%	1.55	45.4%	20.6%	14:37	1:33
SJS @ DAL	18.4%	0.20	32.5%	6.0%	17.3%	1.85	54.5%	28.5%	14:57	0:45
SJS @ DAL	14.8%	0.16	31.2%	5.5%	19.2%	1.35	38.9%	15.9%	16:16	0:08
WPG @ PIT	13.9%	0.15	29.9%	5.0%	18.6%	1.55	45.4%	20.6%	14:14	1:21
SJS @ DAL	17.2%	0.19	33.5%	6.4%	19.7%	1.75	51.7%	25.9%	13:00	2:01
PHI @ TBL	16.2%	0.18	36.4%	7.6%	24.1%	1.20	33.5%	12.3%	14:20	1:04
SJS @ DAL	14.2%	0.15	31.6%	5.6%	20.3%	1.28	36.5%	14.3%	14:25	0:59
WPG @ PIT	13.3%	0.14	26.5%	3.9%	15.2%	1.37	39.5%	16.3%	14:58	0:21
PHI @ TBL	13.8%	0.15	32.1%	5.8%	21.2%	1.35	38.9%	15.9%	13:44	1:28
WPG @ PIT	18.2%	0.20	38.4%	8.6%	24.7%	1.27	36.0%	13.9%	12:41	2:23
PHI @ TBL	12.4%	0.13	30.6%	5.3%	20.8%	1.34	38.5%	15.6%	15:03	0:10
OTT @ BOS	16.6%	0.18	34.1%	6.6%	20.9%	1.41	40.7%	17.1%	14:00	0:54
SJS @ DAL	14.5%	0.16	32.9%	6.1%	21.5%	1.29	36.7%	14.3%	14:54	0:10
WPG @ PIT	12.8%	0.14	28.7%	4.6%	18.2%	1.19	33.3%	12.2%	15:17	0:03
WPG @ PIT	20.5%	0.23	35.7%	7.3%	19.0%	1.76	51.8%	26.0%	13:50	0:19
WPG @ PIT	16.0%	0.17	33.9%	6.6%	21.4%	1.25	35.5%	13.6%	13:47	1:14
WPG @ PIT	16.2%	0.18	31.4%	5.5%	18.2%	1.43	41.5%	17.7%	14:39	0:02
OTT @ BOS	17.5%	0.19	30.3%	5.2%	15.5%	1.63	47.8%	22.6%	13:08	1:03
PHI @ TBL	12.2%	0.13	23.5%	3.0%	12.9%	1.30	37.2%	14.7%	14:48	0:04
OTT @ BOS	16.3%	0.18	30.4%	5.2%	16.9%	1.56	45.6%	20.8%	12:41	1:28
SJS @ DAL	17.8%	0.20	40.5%	9.6%	27.7%	1.39	40.0%	16.7%	12:42	1:22
WPG @ PIT	13.1%	0.14	24.5%	3.3%	13.1%	1.50	43.9%	19.5%	14:06	0:02
WPG @ PIT	13.1%	0.14	25.9%	3.7%	14.8%	1.35	38.8%	15.8%	12:47	1:25
PHI @ TBL	15.2%	0.16	30.0%	5.0%	17.4%	1.25	35.3%	13.5%	13:20	0:48
PHI @ TBL	12.1%	0.13	29.7%	4.9%	20.0%	1.15	31.7%	11.2%	13:28	0:51
PHI @ TBL	15.7%	0.17	30.0%	5.0%	17.0%	1.33	38.0%	15.2%	13:54	0:02
OTT @ BOS	11.4%	0.12	26.5%	3.9%	17.1%	0.92	23.4%	6.8%	14:27	0:11
OTT @ BOS	13.7%	0.15	32.1%	5.8%	21.3%	1.27	36.0%	13.9%	12:45	1:01
WPG @ PIT	12.6%	0.13	27.9%	4.3%	17.5%	1.11	30.3%	10.4%	14:00	0:04
SJS @ DAL	13.0%	0.14	29.7%	4.9%	19.2%	1.30	37.0%	14.5%	12:46	0:54
PHI @ TBL	12.8%	0.14	22.9%	2.9%	11.6%	1.14	31.5%	11.1%	13:45	0:01
WPG @ PIT	10.3%	0.11	24.1%	3.2%	15.4%	1.12	30.7%	10.6%	12:29	1:15
WPG @ PIT	14.0%	0.15	35.3%	7.1%	24.7%	1.05	28.1%	9.2%	11:20	1:31
WPG @ PIT	10.6%	0.11	23.9%	3.1%	14.8%	1.20	33.8%	12.5%	11:29	1:09
OTT @ BOS	12.7%	0.14	28.9%	4.7%	18.6%	1.25	35.3%	13.4%	10:08	2:04
SJS @ DAL	13.3%	0.14	26.2%	3.8%	14.8%	1.27	36.1%	14.0%	12:10	0:03
WPG @ PIT	10.1%	0.11	21.5%	2.5%	12.7%	1.03	27.7%	9.0%	11:24	1:09
OTT @ BOS	11.6%	0.12	24.8%	3.4%	14.9%	1.20	33.7%	12.4%	12:02	0:04
SJS @ DAL	9.4%	0.10	20.9%	2.3%	12.7%	0.80	19.2%	5.0%	12:07	0:01
OTT @ BOS	10.9%	0.12	21.6%	2.5%	12.0%	1.05	28.1%	9.2%	11:31	0:01
PHI @ TBL	10.8%	0.11	19.6%	2.1%	9.9%	1.26	35.7%	13.7%	11:07	0:00
SJS @ DAL	7.1%	0.07	14.0%	1.0%	7.4%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	11:48	0:06
SJS @ DAL	9.1%	0.10	23.0%	2.9%	15.3%	0.87	21.7%	6.0%	11:34	0:01
PHI @ TBL	11.8%	0.13	23.8%	3.1%	13.7%	1.00	26.5%	8.4%	10:36	0:41
OTT @ BOS	9.9%	0.10	21.0%	2.4%	12.3%	0.85	20.8%	5.7%	11:07	0:03
SJS @ DAL	7.3%	0.08	14.5%	1.1%	7.8%	0.82	19.8%	5.2%	10:42	0:05
SJS @ DAL	9.3%	0.10	18.2%	1.8%	9.8%	0.96	24.9%	7.5%	9:58	0:00
PHI @ TBL	9.8%	0.10	19.6%	2.1%	10.8%	0.94	24.1%	7.2%	9:01	0:02
OTT @ BOS	6.6%	0.07	14.7%	1.1%	8.6%	0.72	16.2%	3.8%	7:20	0:01

Defense

Rank by


PHI @ TBL	16.7%	0.18	59.4%	22.8%	51.2%	2.12	61.5%	35.4%	22:19	5:55
OTT @ BOS	12.6%	0.13	44.6%	11.9%	36.7%	2.04	59.5%	33.3%	24:31	2:51
WPG @ PIT	11.5%	0.12	46.5%	13.0%	39.6%	2.04	59.6%	33.4%	23:45	3:19
SJS @ DAL	13.2%	0.14	50.8%	15.9%	43.3%	1.86	54.8%	28.7%	23:18	3:21
WPG @ PIT	15.5%	0.17	56.7%	20.4%	48.7%	2.17	62.8%	36.7%	21:37	3:43
SJS @ DAL	13.5%	0.15	46.0%	12.7%	37.6%	1.83	53.8%	27.8%	23:22	2:26
OTT @ BOS	10.2%	0.11	39.5%	9.1%	32.7%	1.76	51.8%	26.0%	22:23	1:48
WPG @ PIT	7.0%	0.07	27.9%	4.3%	22.5%	1.79	52.8%	26.9%	22:37	1:29
PHI @ TBL	8.6%	0.09	30.5%	5.2%	24.0%	1.35	38.8%	15.8%	23:25	0:30
PHI @ TBL	6.9%	0.07	28.4%	4.5%	23.1%	1.19	33.2%	12.2%	20:38	2:43
SJS @ DAL	8.4%	0.09	33.1%	6.2%	26.9%	1.64	48.3%	22.9%	18:50	3:12
WPG @ PIT	8.9%	0.09	39.1%	8.9%	33.1%	1.55	45.4%	20.7%	19:56	1:42
OTT @ BOS	6.9%	0.07	29.5%	4.9%	24.3%	1.26	35.8%	13.7%	20:56	1:14
SJS @ DAL	6.2%	0.06	23.5%	3.0%	18.4%	1.57	46.1%	21.2%	21:31	0:04
PHI @ TBL	6.4%	0.07	23.8%	3.1%	18.6%	1.05	28.3%	9.3%	21:18	0:45
SJS @ DAL	6.2%	0.06	29.3%	4.8%	24.6%	1.08	29.4%	9.9%	21:09	0:42
WPG @ PIT	4.9%	0.05	20.2%	2.2%	16.1%	1.30	37.2%	14.7%	21:16	0:03
PHI @ TBL	7.0%	0.07	26.9%	4.0%	21.4%	1.39	40.3%	16.8%	19:12	1:28
SJS @ DAL	6.9%	0.07	22.5%	2.7%	16.8%	1.63	48.0%	22.8%	20:00	0:01
SJS @ DAL	5.9%	0.06	29.3%	4.8%	24.9%	1.15	31.8%	11.3%	19:00	1:36
WPG @ PIT	3.4%	0.03	18.5%	1.8%	15.6%	0.90	22.9%	6.6%	21:01	0:04
PHI @ TBL	7.1%	0.07	25.5%	3.6%	19.9%	1.16	32.1%	11.5%	20:00	0:07
OTT @ BOS	6.7%	0.07	29.2%	4.8%	24.1%	0.95	24.7%	7.5%	18:58	1:18
WPG @ PIT	6.2%	0.06	30.6%	5.2%	26.0%	1.07	28.9%	9.6%	19:30	0:17
OTT @ BOS	5.3%	0.05	20.9%	2.3%	16.5%	1.41	40.8%	17.2%	19:04	0:12
OTT @ BOS	5.1%	0.05	23.5%	3.0%	19.4%	1.14	31.3%	11.0%	19:34	0:03
PHI @ TBL	7.2%	0.07	30.7%	5.3%	25.3%	1.13	31.2%	11.0%	17:37	1:16
WPG @ PIT	3.7%	0.04	15.3%	1.2%	12.0%	1.03	27.4%	8.8%	19:20	0:00
OTT @ BOS	4.8%	0.05	20.5%	2.3%	16.5%	0.96	24.9%	7.5%	19:10	0:06
OTT @ BOS	7.0%	0.07	29.7%	4.9%	24.5%	1.23	34.8%	13.1%	15:57	2:30
SJS @ DAL	5.5%	0.06	19.8%	2.1%	15.2%	1.39	40.1%	16.7%	18:25	0:00
WPG @ PIT	5.2%	0.05	23.1%	2.9%	18.8%	0.89	22.4%	6.3%	19:05	0:01
PHI @ TBL	7.7%	0.08	34.0%	6.6%	28.5%	1.25	35.5%	13.6%	16:36	1:13
OTT @ BOS	3.8%	0.04	17.7%	1.7%	14.5%	0.89	22.6%	6.4%	18:37	0:01
SJS @ DAL	5.1%	0.05	20.9%	2.3%	16.6%	1.06	28.7%	9.5%	17:47	0:27
PHI @ TBL	4.8%	0.05	25.8%	3.6%	22.0%	0.84	20.7%	5.6%	18:17	0:06
WPG @ PIT	5.7%	0.06	19.3%	2.0%	14.3%	1.15	31.8%	11.3%	17:57	0:02
PHI @ TBL	3.9%	0.04	17.3%	1.6%	13.9%	0.89	22.3%	6.3%	17:39	0:02
OTT @ BOS	4.1%	0.04	15.1%	1.2%	11.6%	0.97	25.2%	7.7%	17:34	0:01
SJS @ DAL	5.2%	0.05	21.5%	2.5%	17.2%	1.14	31.4%	11.1%	16:43	0:12
SJS @ DAL	5.1%	0.05	20.4%	2.2%	16.2%	1.09	29.7%	10.1%	16:51	0:02
WPG @ PIT	4.4%	0.05	23.7%	3.1%	20.2%	0.91	23.0%	6.7%	17:01	0:00
PHI @ TBL	3.8%	0.04	14.4%	1.1%	11.0%	1.02	27.0%	8.6%	16:37	0:04
SJS @ DAL	3.7%	0.04	15.2%	1.2%	11.9%	0.74	16.9%	4.1%	16:04	0:00
OTT @ BOS	3.8%	0.04	17.0%	1.5%	13.7%	0.95	24.5%	7.4%	15:29	0:00
OTT @ BOS	4.9%	0.05	21.4%	2.5%	17.3%	0.96	24.9%	7.5%	14:19	0:51
PHI @ TBL	3.2%	0.03	15.7%	1.3%	12.9%	0.90	22.7%	6.5%	14:28	0:21
WPG @ PIT	1.3%	0.01	7.0%	0.3%	5.8%	0.44	7.3%	1.1%	7:20	0:00

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.84 expected scorers, 1.9% that all three score.

Group 1

Jake Guentzel TBL vs PHI · 2.7 SOG · 20:44 TOI Best42%
Mikko Rantanen DAL vs SJS · 2.5 SOG · 20:41 TOI 36%
Brayden Point TBL vs PHI · 2.2 SOG · 19:21 TOI 36%
David Pastrnak BOS vs OTT · 3.1 SOG · 20:12 TOI 35%
Rickard Rakell PIT vs WPG · 2.5 SOG · 18:30 TOI 35%
Sidney Crosby PIT vs WPG · 2.4 SOG · 18:32 TOI 34%
Evgeni Malkin PIT vs WPG · 2.3 SOG · 17:46 TOI 30%
Roope Hintz DAL vs SJS · 2.2 SOG · 16:13 TOI 28%
Drake Batherson OTT @ BOS · 2.1 SOG · 17:28 TOI 28%
JJ Peterka BOS vs OTT · 2.1 SOG · 18:43 TOI 28%
Mark Scheifele WPG @ PIT · 2.1 SOG · 20:34 TOI 28%
Morgan Geekie BOS vs OTT · 1.8 SOG · 17:35 TOI 27%
William Eklund OTT @ BOS · 2.0 SOG · 17:18 TOI 22%
Tyler Seguin DAL vs SJS · 1.7 SOG · 14:05 TOI 22%
Pavel Zacha BOS vs OTT · 1.5 SOG · 16:37 TOI 20%
Cole Perfetti WPG @ PIT · 2.0 SOG · 16:14 TOI 20%

Group 2

Owen Tippett PHI @ TBL · 2.5 SOG · 15:59 TOI Best24%
Travis Konecny PHI @ TBL · 1.9 SOG · 16:41 TOI 21%
Tyson Foerster PHI @ TBL · 1.9 SOG · 17:01 TOI 21%
Nick Robertson PIT vs WPG · 1.8 SOG · 13:50 TOI 21%
Mason Marchment SJS @ DAL · 1.6 SOG · 15:08 TOI 19%
Justin Hryckowian DAL vs SJS · 1.4 SOG · 15:10 TOI 18%
Andrei Kuzmenko PIT vs WPG · 1.3 SOG · 12:41 TOI 18%
Igor Chernyshov SJS @ DAL · 1.5 SOG · 14:37 TOI 18%
Jamie Benn DAL vs SJS · 1.4 SOG · 12:42 TOI 18%
Tyler Toffoli SJS @ DAL · 1.8 SOG · 13:00 TOI 17%
John Carlson TBL vs PHI · 2.1 SOG · 22:19 TOI 17%
Gage Goncalves TBL vs PHI · 1.2 SOG · 14:20 TOI 16%
Ilya Mikheyev TBL vs PHI · 1.3 SOG · 13:54 TOI 16%
Sam Steel DAL vs SJS · 1.3 SOG · 14:54 TOI 14%
Miro Heiskanen DAL vs SJS · 1.9 SOG · 23:18 TOI 13%
Michael Misa SJS @ DAL · 1.3 SOG · 12:46 TOI 13%
Thomas Chabot OTT @ BOS · 2.0 SOG · 24:31 TOI 13%
Vladislav Namestnikov WPG @ PIT · 1.1 SOG · 12:29 TOI 10%
Carter Yakemchuk OTT @ BOS · 1.2 SOG · 15:57 TOI 7%

Group 3

Kiefer Sherwood SJS @ DAL · 1.9 SOG · 14:57 TOI Best18%
Michael Amadio OTT @ BOS · 1.4 SOG · 17:49 TOI 17%
Connor Dewar PIT vs WPG · 1.4 SOG · 14:39 TOI 16%
Hendrix Lapierre PIT vs WPG · 1.0 SOG · 11:20 TOI 14%
Zemgus Girgensons TBL vs PHI · 1.1 SOG · 13:45 TOI 13%
Stephen Halliday OTT @ BOS · 1.2 SOG · 10:08 TOI 13%
Blake Lizotte PIT vs WPG · 1.1 SOG · 14:00 TOI 13%
Sean Couturier PHI @ TBL · 1.3 SOG · 15:03 TOI 12%
Noel Acciari PHI @ TBL · 1.3 SOG · 14:48 TOI 12%
Conor Geekie TBL vs PHI · 1.0 SOG · 10:36 TOI 12%
Brad Lambert WPG @ PIT · 1.2 SOG · 11:29 TOI 11%
Isak Rosen WPG @ PIT · 1.0 SOG · 11:24 TOI 10%
Oskar Back DAL vs SJS · 0.8 SOG · 12:07 TOI 9%
Radek Faksa DAL vs SJS · 0.9 SOG · 11:34 TOI 9%
Jamie Drysdale PHI @ TBL · 1.2 SOG · 20:38 TOI 7%
Hampus Lindholm BOS vs OTT · 1.3 SOG · 20:56 TOI 7%
Mason Lohrei BOS vs OTT · 1.0 SOG · 18:58 TOI 7%
Colin Blackwell DAL vs SJS Not in projected lineup
Filip Hallander PIT vs WPG Not in projected lineup
Sean Kuraly BOS vs OTT Not in projected lineup

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

NHL predictions Mon, Oct 5

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Tims Hockey Challenge

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