NBA predictions Wed, Nov 4

Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NBA game, plus player box-score lines. Methodology →

14 games on this slate · 10–5 since Nov 2 (model V5) →

Power rankings: every team's model rating →

‹ ›
Updated 4h ago

Games

#12 76ers
32.9% 105.5
#2 Pistons
67.1% 111.5
ModelClose
Spread DET -5.9 DET -2.5
DET win 67.1% 55.3%
Total 217.0 219.5
Model vs line DET -2.5 3.5 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · DET +1.7 pts

#22 Hawks
57.2% 114.9
#25 Wizards
42.8% 112.4
ModelMarket
Spread ATL -2.5 ATL -1.5
ATL win 57.2% 53.2%
Total 227.4 229.5
Model vs line ATL -2.5 Model moved

Set at line ATL -2.5

Model now ATL -2.5, leans WAS

Biggest factor: Home court · WAS +1.8 pts

#27 Bucks
19.3% 107.6
#7 Celtics
80.7% 119.4
ModelMarket
Spread BOS -11.7 BOS -12.5
BOS win 80.7% 81.0%
Total 227.0 221.5
Model vs line BOS -11.5 0.9 pt gap

Set at line BOS -11.5

Biggest factor: Home court · BOS +1.8 pts

#16 Hornets
59.1% 106.8
#26 Nets
40.9% 103.8
ModelMarket
Spread CHA -3.0 CHA -3.5
CHA win 59.1% 60.5%
Total 210.6 213.5
Model vs line BKN +3.5 0.5 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · BKN +1.6 pts

#30 Bulls
20.0% 107.4
#9 Knicks
80.0% 118.8
ModelMarket
Spread NYK -11.4 NYK -11.5
NYK win 80.0% 82.3%
Total 226.2 233.5
Model vs line CHI +11.5 0.3 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · NYK +1.8 pts

#24 Pacers
30.1% 111.3
#11 Grizzlies
69.9% 118.4
ModelMarket
Spread MEM -7.2 MEM -5.5
MEM win 69.9% 67.5%
Total 229.7 227.5
Model vs line MEM -6.5 0.7 pt gap

Set at line MEM -6.5

Biggest factor: Home court · MEM +1.8 pts

#29 Jazz
30.4% 112.9
#21 Pelicans
69.6% 120.0
ModelMarket
Spread NOP -7.1 NOP -5.5
NOP win 69.6% 64.3%
Total 232.9 231.5
Model vs line NOP -5.5 2.0 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · NOP +1.8 pts

#6 Cavaliers
45.1% 110.9
#14 Thunder
54.9% 112.5
ModelMarket
Spread OKC -1.7 OKC -3.5
OKC win 54.9% 59.3%
Total 223.4 226.5
Model vs line CLE +3.5 1.8 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · OKC +1.8 pts

#4 Timberwolves
41.1% 111.0
#3 Rockets
58.9% 114.1
ModelMarket
Spread HOU -3.0 HOU -6.5
HOU win 58.9% 70.6%
Total 225.1 219.5
Model vs line MIN +7.5 4.3 pt gap

Set at line HOU -7.5

Biggest factor: Home court · HOU +1.8 pts

#5 Raptors
55.0% 114.9
#18 Nuggets
45.0% 113.2
ModelMarket
Spread TOR -1.7 DEN -4.5
TOR win 55.0% 35.7%
Total 228.1 231.5
Model vs line TOR +4.5 6.2 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · DEN +1.8 pts

#8 Trail Blazers
56.6% 114.4
#19 Suns
43.4% 112.2
ModelMarket
Spread POR -2.2 POR -2.5
POR win 56.6% 57.3%
Total 226.5 227.5
Model vs line PHX +3.5 1.2 pt gap

Set at line POR -3.5

Biggest factor: Home court · PHX +1.8 pts

#17 Mavericks
24.1% 107.5
#1 Spurs
75.9% 117.0
ModelMarket
Spread SAS -9.5 SAS -12.5
SAS win 75.9% 82.8%
Total 224.5 226.5
Model vs line DAL +12.5 3.1 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · SAS +1.8 pts

#10 Lakers
74.0% 121.6
#28 Kings
26.0% 112.8
ModelMarket
Spread LAL -8.8 LAL -12.5
LAL win 74.0% 83.2%
Total 234.4 233.5
Model vs line SAC +12.5 3.6 pt gap

Biggest factor: Home court · SAC +1.9 pts

#15 Heat
50.6% 116.0
#20 Clippers
49.4% 115.8
ModelMarket
Spread MIA -0.2 MIA -5.5
MIA win 50.6% 65.7%
Total 231.8 233.5
Model vs line LAC +4.5 4.4 pt gap

Set at line MIA -4.5

Biggest factor: Home court · LAC +1.8 pts