NBA predictions Fri, Oct 16
Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NBA game, plus player box-score lines. Methodology →
12 games on this slate · 29–14 last 30 days →
Games
Celtics
76ers
Heat
Magic
Raptors
Pistons
Bucks
Pacers
Hawks
Mavericks
Timberwolves
Bulls
Hornets
Grizzlies
Wizards
Pelicans
Kings
Spurs
Trail Blazers
Warriors
Jazz
Suns
Nuggets
Lakers
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BOS -0.6
- First line
- PHI -4.5
- Latest
- PHI -4.5
PHI -4.5 at -115
- Model
- 51.8%
- First line
- 36.3%
- Latest
- 36.3%
Moneyline PHI -198 / BOS +164 (vig removed)
- Model
- 227.6
- First line
- 225.5
- Latest
- 225.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ORL -1.5
- First line
- ORL -2.5
- Latest
- ORL -2.5
ORL -2.5 at -115
- Model
- 54.1%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline ORL -142 / MIA +120 (vig removed)
- Model
- 232.4
- First line
- 234.5
- Latest
- 234.5
Over -108 / Under -112
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- DET -3.6
- First line
- DET -9.5
- Latest
- DET -9.5
DET -9.5 at -115
- Model
- 59.7%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 77.2%
Moneyline DET -410 / TOR +320 (vig removed)
- Model
- 227.6
- First line
- 216.5
- Latest
- 216.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- IND -1.4
- First line
- IND -7.5
- Latest
- IND -7.5
IND -7.5 at -115
- Model
- 53.8%
- First line
- 73.4%
- Latest
- 73.4%
Moneyline IND -325 / MIL +260 (vig removed)
- Model
- 229.7
- First line
- 235.5
- Latest
- 235.5
Over -108 / Under -112
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ATL -0.3
- First line
- DAL -1.5
- Latest
- DAL -1.5
DAL -1.5 at -108
- Model
- 50.9%
- First line
- 48.9%
- Latest
- 48.9%
Moneyline DAL -115 / ATL -105 (vig removed)
- Model
- 231.5
- First line
- 233.5
- Latest
- 233.5
Over -115 / Under -105
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MIN -0.6
- First line
- MIN -1.5
- Latest
- MIN -1.5
MIN -1.5 at -115
- Model
- 51.7%
- First line
- 53.2%
- Latest
- 53.2%
Moneyline CHI +105 / MIN -125 (vig removed)
- Model
- 232.5
- First line
- 234.5
- Latest
- 234.5
Over -108 / Under -112
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- CHA -1.5
- First line
- CHA -1.5
- Latest
- CHA -1.5
CHA -1.5 at -112
- Model
- 54.0%
- First line
- 53.2%
- Latest
- 53.2%
Moneyline MEM +105 / CHA -125 (vig removed)
- Model
- 230.5
- First line
- 231.5
- Latest
- 231.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NOP -4.1
- First line
- WAS -2.5
- Latest
- WAS -2.5
WAS -2.5 at -108
- Model
- 61.1%
- First line
- 45.7%
- Latest
- 45.7%
Moneyline NOP +110 / WAS -130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 233.2
- First line
- 230.5
- Latest
- 230.5
Over -105 / Under -115
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- SAS -7.3
- First line
- SAS -16.5
- Latest
- SAS -16.5
SAS -16.5 at -112
- Model
- 69.2%
- First line
- 87.2%
- Latest
- 87.2%
Moneyline SAS -1000 / SAC +650 (vig removed)
- Model
- 230.8
- First line
- 230.5
- Latest
- 230.5
Over -105 / Under -115
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- GSW -1.8
- First line
- POR -3.5
- Latest
- POR -3.5
POR -3.5 at -110
- Model
- 55.0%
- First line
- 40.0%
- Latest
- 40.0%
Moneyline GSW +140 / POR -166 (vig removed)
- Model
- 229.6
- First line
- 225.5
- Latest
- 225.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- PHX -4.7
- First line
- PHX -4.5
- Latest
- PHX -4.5
PHX -4.5 at -112
- Model
- 62.7%
- First line
- 61.6%
- Latest
- 61.6%
Moneyline PHX -180 / UTA +150 (vig removed)
- Model
- 231.4
- First line
- 225.5
- Latest
- 225.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- LAL -0.8
- First line
- LAL -5.5
- Latest
- LAL -5.5
LAL -5.5 at -110
- Model
- 52.2%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline LAL -218 / DEN +180 (vig removed)
- Model
- 232.1
- First line
- 230.5
- Latest
- 230.5
Over -112 / Under -108
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Fri 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →