The Forecast Card

All sports · Friday, October 23

Card for Fri, Oct 23

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
37
Settled
21–16
Units
-0.87
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NBA 4:00 PM ET
    CHI @ MIL MIL -1.5 Spread Set at line MIL -1.5 · model MIL -4.2
    57%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CHI 132, MIL 125
  2. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    NYK @ BOS BOS -2.5 Spread Set at line BOS -2.5 · model BOS -2.6
    50%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 NYK 103, BOS 107
  3. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    ATL @ CHA CHA +2.5 Spread Set at line ATL -2.5 · model CHA -3.0
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ATL 128, CHA 81
  4. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    DAL @ IND DAL +7.5 Spread Set at line IND -7.5 · model IND -3.1
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 DAL 121, IND 105
  5. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    MIN @ ORL MIN +1.5 Spread Set at line ORL -1.5 · model MIN -0.7
    56%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 MIN 115, ORL 93
  6. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ WAS WAS +8.5 Spread Set at line TOR -8.5 · model TOR -4.2
    61%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TOR 112, WAS 102
  7. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    DET @ MIA DET -1.5 Spread Set at line DET -1.5 · model DET -2.1
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 DET 128, MIA 111
  8. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    HOU @ SAS HOU +5.5 Spread Set at line SAS -5.5 · model SAS -0.6
    63%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 HOU 114, SAS 110
  9. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    NOP @ UTA UTA +1.5 Spread Set at line NOP -1.5 · model NOP -0.2
    54%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 NOP 119, UTA 120
  10. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    MEM @ GSW MEM +4.5 Spread Set at line GSW -4.5 · model GSW -0.6
    60%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 MEM 111, GSW 108
  11. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    LAC @ LAL LAC +9.5 Spread Set at line LAL -9.5 · model LAL -1.9
    69%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 LAC 117, LAL 125
  12. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    POR @ SAC SAC +9.5 Spread Set at line POR -9.5 · model POR -5.5
    61%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 POR 128, SAC 120

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.