The Forecast Card

All sports · Friday, October 23

Card for Fri, Oct 23

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
37
Settled
21–16
Units
-0.87
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    DUKE @ UVA DUKE +2.5 Spread Set at line UVA -2.5 · model UVA -1.1
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 DUKE 19, UVA 16
  2. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    MASS @ CONN MASS +16.5 Spread Set at line CONN -16.5 · model CONN -12.8
    60%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MASS 16, CONN 35
  3. CFB 8:30 PM ET
    ARMY @ TLSA ARMY +1.5 Spread Set at line TLSA -1.5 · model ARMY -3.3
    62%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.82 ARMY 38, TLSA 35
  4. CFB 9:00 PM ET
    AF @ WYO AF -7.0 Spread Set at line AF -7.0 · model AF -7.7
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 AF 14, WYO 28
  5. CFB 10:30 PM ET
    NCSU @ STAN NCSU -7.5 Spread Set at line NCSU -7.5 · model NCSU -9.9
    56%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NCSU 28, STAN 31

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.