The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 22

Card for Thu, Oct 22

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
17–16
Units
-6.44
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 1:00 AM ET
    Paolini @ Jovic Jovic -217 Moneyline Set at line Jovic 65.2% · model 69.1%
    69%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.46 Paolini 7, Jovic 12
  2. WTA 1:30 AM ET
    Siniakova @ Linette Siniakova -213 Moneyline Set at line Siniakova 64.1% · model 73.6%
    74%win chance 64%market
    ✓ Won +0.47 Siniakova 12, Linette 5
  3. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Bellucci @ Atmane Bellucci -112 Moneyline Set at line Bellucci 50.0% · model 52.3%
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bellucci 19, Atmane 20
  4. WTA 2:30 AM ET
    Bencic @ Kawa Bencic -980 Moneyline Set at line Bencic 86.7% · model 90.3%
    90%win chance 87%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bencic 7, Kawa 13
  5. ATP 4:00 AM ET
    Khachanov @ Machac Khachanov -256 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 67.9% · model 73.1%
    73%win chance 68%market
    ✓ Won +0.39 Khachanov 17, Machac 14
  6. WTA 4:00 AM ET
    Shnaider @ Eala Shnaider -162 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 59.0% · model 64.9%
    65%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 Shnaider 13, Eala 9
  7. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Shimabukuro @ Medvedev Medvedev -1667 Moneyline Set at line Medvedev 89.2% · model 92.8%
    93%win chance 89%market
    ✓ Won +0.06 Shimabukuro 3, Medvedev 12
  8. WTA 7:00 AM ET
    Kudermetova @ Rybakina Rybakina -950 Moneyline Set at line Rybakina 86.4% · model 87.1%
    87%win chance 86%market
    No action Kudermetova 0, Rybakina 5
  9. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Lehecka @ Collignon Lehecka -333 Moneyline Set at line Lehecka 72.6% · model 74.2%
    74%win chance 73%market
    ✓ Won +0.30 Lehecka 12, Collignon 6
  10. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Altmaier @ Gojo Altmaier -101 Moneyline Set at line Altmaier 47.3% · model 49.4%
    49%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +0.99 Altmaier 12, Gojo 7
  11. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Van Assche @ Vacherot Vacherot -149 Moneyline Set at line Vacherot 56.6% · model 58.1%
    58%win chance 57%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Van Assche 14, Vacherot 14
  12. ATP 9:00 AM ET
    Michelsen @ Goffin Michelsen -1429 Moneyline Set at line Michelsen 87.6% · model 90.4%
    90%win chance 88%market
    ✓ Won +0.07 Michelsen 12, Goffin 7
  13. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Fritz @ Herbert Fritz -588 Moneyline Set at line Fritz 80.6% · model 92.5%
    93%win chance 81%market
    ✓ Won +0.17 Fritz 13, Herbert 7
  14. ATP 10:30 AM ET
    Marozsan @ Bublik Marozsan +227 Moneyline Set at line Marozsan 28.9% · model 35.5%
    36%win chance 29%market
    No action
  15. ATP 11:00 AM ET
    Bergs @ Dzumhur Bergs -455 Moneyline Set at line Bergs 77.1% · model 77.8%
    78%win chance 77%market
    ✓ Won +0.22 Bergs 12, Dzumhur 6
  16. ATP 1:00 PM ET
    Wawrinka @ Cobolli Wawrinka +215 Moneyline Set at line Wawrinka 30.0% · model 33.4%
    33%win chance 30%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Wawrinka 6, Cobolli 12
  17. ATP 2:30 PM ET
    Nakashima @ Jacquet Nakashima -213 Moneyline Set at line Nakashima 64.4% · model 75.3%
    75%win chance 64%market
    ✓ Won +0.47 Nakashima 12, Jacquet 7
  18. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    JMU @ APP JMU -10.5 Spread Set at line JMU -10.5 · model JMU -16.9
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 JMU 31, APP 34
  19. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    LIB @ KENN LIB -8.5 Spread Set at line LIB -8.5 · model LIB -14.2
    65%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 LIB 34, KENN 6
  20. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    CLE @ PHI CLE +3.5 Spread Set at line PHI -3.5 · model PHI -1.3
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 106, PHI 114
  21. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NSH @ BOS NSH +124 Moneyline Set at line NSH 42.8% · model 43.2% · at the close
    43%win chance 43%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NSH 0, BOS 6
  22. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NYR @ TOR NYR -112 Moneyline Set at line NYR 50.4% · model 55.8% · at the close
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NYR 4, TOR 5
  23. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    SJS @ OTT OTT -135 Moneyline Set at line OTT 55.1% · model 62.2% · at the close
    62%win chance 55%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SJS 6, OTT 2
  24. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    ANA @ NJD ANA +180 Moneyline Set at line ANA 34.3% · model 37.2% · at the close
    37%win chance 34%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ANA 1, NJD 4
  25. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    FLA @ PIT FLA -112 Moneyline Set at line FLA 50.4% · model 51.7% · at the close
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 FLA 0, PIT 4
  26. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ECU @ MEM ECU +9.5 Spread Set at line MEM -9.5 · model MEM -8.8
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 ECU 34, MEM 41
  27. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    LAK @ NYI NYI -105 Moneyline Set at line NYI 48.9% · model 54.8% · at the close
    55%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LAK 3, NYI 2
  28. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    VGK @ STL VGK -125 Moneyline Set at line VGK 53.2% · model 54.1% · at the close
    54%win chance 53%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 VGK 2, STL 6
  29. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    WPG @ DAL DAL -205 Moneyline Set at line DAL 64.5% · model 67.8% · at the close
    68%win chance 64%market
    ✓ Won +0.49 WPG 2, DAL 3
  30. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    NE @ CHI CHI -3.0 Spread Set at line CHI -3.0 · model CHI -4.0 · before kickoff
    54%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.98 NE 24, CHI 30
  31. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    MIN @ CGY MIN -205 Moneyline Set at line MIN 64.5% · model 65.5% · at the close
    66%win chance 64%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIN 1, CGY 2
  32. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    CAR @ EDM CAR -135 Moneyline Set at line CAR 55.1% · model 56.4% · at the close
    56%win chance 55%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CAR 5, EDM 6
  33. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    DEN @ OKC DEN +8.5 Spread Set at line OKC -8.5 · model OKC -4.6
    60%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DEN 84, OKC 96
  34. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    UTA @ SEA SEA +142 Moneyline Set at line SEA 39.6% · model 44.2% · at the close
    44%win chance 40%market
    ✓ Won +1.42 UTA 3, SEA 5
  35. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    DET @ VAN DET -170 Moneyline Set at line DET 60.4% · model 68.9% · at the close
    69%win chance 60%market
    ✓ Won +0.59 DET 5, VAN 2

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.