Card for Thu, Oct 15

Bets

22

Settled

10–11

Units

-3.37

1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
   Guo @ Svitolina Guo +720 Moneyline Set at line Guo 11.6% · model 13.7%
   14%win chance 12%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Guo 5, Svitolina 12
2. WTA 2:00 AM ET
   Kartal @ Paolini Kartal +108 Moneyline Set at line Kartal 45.8% · model 64.1%
   64%win chance 46%market
   ✓ Won +1.08 Kartal 12, Paolini 2
3. ATP 2:30 AM ET
   Davidovich Fokina @ Gea Davidovich Fokina -116 Moneyline Set at line Davidovich Fokina 51.2% · model 54.4%
   54%win chance 51%market
   No action Davidovich Fokina 4, Gea 1
4. ATP 6:00 AM ET
   De Minaur @ Zverev Zverev -209 Moneyline Set at line Zverev 64.5% · model 66.1%
   66%win chance 65%market
   ✓ Won +0.48 De Minaur 8, Zverev 12
5. MLB 1:00 PM ET
   TB @ CLE CLE -127 Moneyline Set at line CLE 53.4% · model 59.5%
   60%win chance 53%market
   ✓ Won +0.79 TB 2, CLE 3
6. NHL 7:00 PM ET
   BUF @ TOR TOR -118 Moneyline Set at line TOR 51.7% · model 55.2%
   55%win chance 52%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 BUF 5, TOR 4
7. NHL 7:00 PM ET
   NYI @ OTT OTT -162 Moneyline Set at line OTT 59.3% · model 63.3%
   63%win chance 59%market
   ✓ Won +0.62 NYI 1, OTT 2
8. NHL 7:00 PM ET
   SEA @ TBL SEA +210 Moneyline Set at line SEA 30.9% · model 36.5%
   37%win chance 31%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 SEA 3, TBL 4
9. NHL 7:00 PM ET
   VAN @ FLA FLA -298 Moneyline Set at line FLA 71.8% · model 77.7%
   78%win chance 72%market
   ✓ Won +0.34 VAN 2, FLA 3
10. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NYR @ NJD NYR +120 Moneyline Set at line NYR 43.7% · model 46.3%
    46%win chance 44%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NYR 1, NJD 7
11. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ECU @ UAB ECU -5.5 Spread Set at line ECU -5.5 · model ECU -8.0
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ECU 17, UAB 30
12. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    GASO @ ODU ODU +3.5 Spread Set at line GASO -3.5 · model ODU -2.6
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 GASO 23, ODU 15
13. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    PHI @ DET DET -142 Moneyline Set at line DET 56.3% · model 69.8%
    70%win chance 56%market
    ✓ Won +0.70 PHI 1, DET 2
14. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    CSU @ TXST TXST -12.5 Spread Set at line TXST -12.5 · model TXST -18.6
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 CSU 27, TXST 66
15. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    MIL @ LAD LAD -157 Moneyline Set at line LAD 58.4% · model 61.7%
    62%win chance 58%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIL 6, LAD 4
16. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    WPG @ CHI WPG -135 Moneyline Set at line WPG 55.1% · model 56.1%
    56%win chance 55%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 WPG 3, CHI 4
17. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    SJS @ NSH NSH -142 Moneyline Set at line NSH 56.3% · model 61.4%
    61%win chance 56%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SJS 3, NSH 2
18. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    STL @ MIN MIN -142 Moneyline Set at line MIN 56.3% · model 62.1%
    62%win chance 56%market
    ✓ Won +0.70 STL 4, MIN 5
19. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    SEA @ DEN DEN +2.5 Spread Set at line SEA -2.5 · model SEA -1.2
    55%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 SEA 14, DEN 17
20. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    UTA @ EDM UTA +102 Moneyline Set at line UTA 47.4% · model 48.1%
    48%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.02 UTA 4, EDM 2
21. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    CGY @ VGK CGY +250 Moneyline Set at line CGY 27.4% · model 27.9%
    28%win chance 27%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CGY 2, VGK 6
22. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Ostapenko @ Shnaider Shnaider -242 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 67.5% · model 72.1%
    72%win chance 67%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Ostapenko 13, Shnaider 7

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.