All sports · Tuesday, October 13

Card for Tue, Oct 13

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
19–15–1
Units
+1.74
  1. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Khachanov @ De Minaur Khachanov +112 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 45.0% · model 51.6%
    52%win chance 45%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Khachanov 7, De Minaur 12
  2. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Chwalinska @ Sherif Chwalinska -470 Moneyline Set at line Chwalinska 78.7% · model 81.9%
    82%win chance 79%market
    ✓ Won +0.21 Chwalinska 12, Sherif 5
  3. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Cirstea @ Guo Cirstea -780 Moneyline Set at line Cirstea 84.6% · model 85.6%
    86%win chance 85%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Cirstea 17, Guo 15
  4. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Shnaider @ Boulter Shnaider -441 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 77.8% · model 89.2%
    89%win chance 78%market
    ✓ Won +0.23 Shnaider 12, Boulter 4
  5. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Sonmez @ Putintseva Putintseva -140 Moneyline Set at line Putintseva 55.6% · model 60.0%
    60%win chance 56%market
    ✓ Won +0.71 Sonmez 15, Putintseva 19
  6. ATP 1:30 AM ET
    Mensik @ Gea Gea +148 Moneyline Set at line Gea 38.4% · model 44.9%
    45%win chance 38%market
    ✓ Won +1.48 Mensik 10, Gea 13
  7. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Mertens @ Snigur Snigur +165 Moneyline Set at line Snigur 36.0% · model 40.3%
    40%win chance 36%market
    ✓ Won +1.65 Mertens 9, Snigur 13
  8. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Bartunkova @ Tagger Bartunkova -242 Moneyline Set at line Bartunkova 67.5% · model 77.3%
    77%win chance 68%market
    ✓ Won +0.41 Bartunkova 15, Tagger 13
  9. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Ostapenko @ Kasatkina Ostapenko -146 Moneyline Set at line Ostapenko 56.6% · model 58.4%
    58%win chance 57%market
    ✓ Won +0.68 Ostapenko 12, Kasatkina 2
  10. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Kostyuk @ Sakkari Kostyuk -195 Moneyline Set at line Kostyuk 63.0% · model 66.6%
    67%win chance 63%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kostyuk 10, Sakkari 16
  11. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Bublik @ Zverev Zverev -269 Moneyline Set at line Zverev 69.5% · model 72.0%
    72%win chance 70%market
    ✓ Won +0.37 Bublik 18, Zverev 18
  12. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Davidovich Fokina @ Hurkacz Davidovich Fokina +104 Moneyline Set at line Davidovich Fokina 46.7% · model 53.2%
    53%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.04 Davidovich Fokina 14, Hurkacz 15
  13. NHL 6:15 PM ET
    FLA @ CBJ CBJ -130 Moneyline Set at line CBJ 54.3% · model 59.0%
    59%win chance 54%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 FLA 7, CBJ 3
  14. NHL 6:30 PM ET
    BUF @ MTL MTL -155 Moneyline Set at line MTL 58.3% · model 61.9%
    62%win chance 58%market
    ✓ Won +0.65 BUF 3, MTL 4
  15. NHL 6:45 PM ET
    WSH @ CAR CAR -155 Moneyline Set at line CAR 58.3% · model 65.8%
    66%win chance 58%market
    ✓ Won +0.65 WSH 2, CAR 4
  16. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    DEL @ MTSU DEL -1.5 Spread Set at line DEL -1.5 · model DEL -1.7
    51%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DEL 30, MTSU 33
  17. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    SEA @ PHI SEA +102 Moneyline Set at line SEA 47.4% · model 49.9%
    50%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.02 SEA 3, PHI 2
  18. NHL 7:15 PM ET
    TBL @ NYR NYR +136 Moneyline Set at line NYR 40.7% · model 51.2%
    51%win chance 41%market
    ✓ Won +1.36 TBL 1, NYR 4
  19. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    STL @ OTT OTT -115 Moneyline Set at line OTT 51.1% · model 63.7%
    64%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 STL 7, OTT 2
  20. NHL 7:45 PM ET
    VAN @ NYI NYI -218 Moneyline Set at line NYI 65.7% · model 74.0%
    74%win chance 66%market
    ✓ Won +0.46 VAN 2, NYI 3
  21. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    FIU @ JXST JXST -3.0 Spread Set at line JXST -3.0 · model JXST -5.2
    56%win chance 51%market
    Push FIU 24, JXST 27
  22. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    CLE @ TB CLE +110 Moneyline Set at line CLE 45.6% · model 57.2%
    57%win chance 46%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 1, TB 3
  23. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    PIT @ CHI PIT -162 Moneyline Set at line PIT 59.3% · model 59.9%
    60%win chance 59%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PIT 3, CHI 5
  24. NHL 8:15 PM ET
    MIN @ WPG MIN -105 Moneyline Set at line MIN 48.9% · model 52.4%
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIN 2, WPG 5
  25. NHL 8:30 PM ET
    COL @ DAL DAL -105 Moneyline Set at line DAL 48.9% · model 56.8%
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 COL 3, DAL 2
  26. NHL 8:45 PM ET
    VGK @ NSH VGK -125 Moneyline Set at line VGK 53.2% · model 56.9%
    57%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.80 VGK 5, NSH 2
  27. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    TOR @ UTA UTA -162 Moneyline Set at line UTA 59.3% · model 68.1%
    68%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 TOR 4, UTA 5
  28. NHL 9:45 PM ET
    CGY @ ANA ANA -175 Moneyline Set at line ANA 60.9% · model 69.0%
    69%win chance 61%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CGY 4, ANA 2
  29. NHL 10:30 PM ET
    EDM @ LAK LAK +110 Moneyline Set at line LAK 45.7% · model 47.0%
    47%win chance 46%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EDM 4, LAK 1
  30. NHL 11:00 PM ET
    BOS @ SJS BOS -120 Moneyline Set at line BOS 52.2% · model 58.8%
    59%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.83 BOS 6, SJS 3
  31. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Bencic @ Kartal Kartal +176 Moneyline Set at line Kartal 34.6% · model 35.1%
    35%win chance 35%market
    ✓ Won +1.76 Bencic 5, Kartal 13
  32. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Swiatek @ Frech Frech +880 Moneyline Set at line Frech 9.8% · model 14.2%
    14%win chance 10%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Swiatek 12, Frech 3
  33. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Samsonova @ Svitolina Samsonova +233 Moneyline Set at line Samsonova 28.6% · model 32.1%
    32%win chance 29%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Samsonova 11, Svitolina 17
  34. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Chwalinska @ Bouzkova Chwalinska +181 Moneyline Set at line Chwalinska 34.0% · model 35.3%
    35%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.81 Chwalinska 13, Bouzkova 8
  35. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Jodar @ Van De Zandschulp Van De Zandschulp +157 Moneyline Set at line Van De Zandschulp 37.1% · model 45.7%
    46%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Jodar 18, Van De Zandschulp 13

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.