Card for Mon, Oct 12

Bets

22

Settled

10–11

Units

+6.61

1. ATP 12:00 AM ET
   Auger Aliassime @ Carreno-Busta Carreno-Busta +247 Moneyline Set at line Carreno-Busta 27.5% · model 30.4%
   30%win chance 27%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Auger Aliassime 16, Carreno-Busta 10
2. ATP 12:00 AM ET
   Ruud @ Tien Ruud +135 Moneyline Set at line Ruud 40.6% · model 52.2%
   52%win chance 41%market
   ✓ Won +1.35 Ruud 13, Tien 10
3. ATP 1:30 AM ET
   Jodar @ Lehecka Lehecka -153 Moneyline Set at line Lehecka 57.6% · model 68.0%
   68%win chance 58%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Jodar 17, Lehecka 16
4. ATP 1:30 AM ET
   Fritz @ Tsitsipas Fritz -176 Moneyline Set at line Fritz 60.9% · model 64.4%
   64%win chance 61%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Fritz 14, Tsitsipas 16
5. ATP 3:00 AM ET
   Svrcina @ Medvedev Svrcina +486 Moneyline Set at line Svrcina 16.3% · model 20.3%
   20%win chance 16%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Svrcina 5, Medvedev 12
6. ATP 6:00 AM ET
   Alcaraz @ Bergs Bergs +920 Moneyline Set at line Bergs 9.4% · model 14.5%
   14%win chance 9%market
   ✓ Won +9.20 Alcaraz 11, Bergs 14
7. ATP 7:30 AM ET
   Vacherot @ Paul Paul -150 Moneyline Set at line Paul 57.2% · model 62.0%
   62%win chance 57%market
   ✓ Won +0.67 Vacherot 6, Paul 12
8. ATP 12:00 AM ET
   Khachanov @ De Minaur Khachanov +112 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 45.0% · model 51.6%
   52%win chance 45%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Khachanov 7, De Minaur 12

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.