The Forecast Card

All sports · Monday, October 12

Card for Mon, Oct 12

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
22
Settled
10–11
Units
+6.61
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. MLB 5:00 PM ET
    LAD @ MIL MIL +118 Moneyline Set at line MIL 43.9% · model 45.7%
    46%win chance 44%market
    ✓ Won +1.18 LAD 4, MIL 7
  2. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    CLE @ TB CLE +139 Moneyline Set at line CLE 40.0% · model 48.9%
    49%win chance 40%market
    ✓ Won +1.39 CLE 7, TB 3

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.