The Forecast Card

All sports · Saturday, October 10

Card for Sat, Oct 10

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
50
Settled
30–20
Units
+7.34
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    RICE @ ECU ECU -10.0 Spread Set at line ECU -10.0 · model ECU -15.0
    63%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 RICE 12, ECU 28
  2. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    ODU @ APP ODU +8.5 Spread Set at line APP -8.5 · model ODU -2.3
    76%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 ODU 10, APP 3
  3. NHL 1:00 PM ET
    PHI @ BOS BOS -148 Moneyline Set at line BOS 57.2% · model 64.6%
    65%win chance 57%market
    ✓ Won +0.68 PHI 1, BOS 5
  4. CFB 2:00 PM ET
    M-OH @ MASS MASS +6.5 Spread Set at line M-OH -6.5 · model M-OH -5.9
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 M-OH 20, MASS 19
  5. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TEX @ OU OU +7.5 Spread Set at line TEX -7.5 · model TEX -5.2
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 TEX 24, OU 27
  6. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    MISS @ VAN VAN +9.5 Spread Set at line MISS -9.5 · model MISS -4.1
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MISS 52, VAN 17
  7. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    HOU @ KSU KSU -2.5 Spread Set at line KSU -2.5 · model KSU -9.2
    67%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 HOU 35, KSU 16
  8. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    DUKE @ GT GT +4.5 Spread Set at line DUKE -4.5 · model DUKE -2.0
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 DUKE 25, GT 28
  9. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    STAN @ ND STAN +40.5 Spread Set at line ND -40.5 · model ND -35.1
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 STAN 7, ND 58
  10. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    VT @ CAL CAL +10.0 Spread Set at line VT -10.0 · model VT -8.2
    55%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 VT 20, CAL 25
  11. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    ILL @ MSU MSU +2.5 Spread Set at line ILL -2.5 · model MSU -0.2
    57%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +1.00 ILL 38, MSU 37
  12. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    UCLA @ ORE UCLA +10.5 Spread Set at line ORE -10.5 · model ORE -7.0
    59%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 UCLA 17, ORE 15
  13. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    CLT @ UNT UNT -27.5 Spread Set at line UNT -27.5 · model UNT -30.1
    57%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 CLT 10, UNT 50
  14. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TLSA @ NAVY NAVY -3.0 Spread Set at line NAVY -3.0 · model NAVY -8.9
    65%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 TLSA 26, NAVY 34
  15. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    EMU @ AKR EMU -5.5 Spread Set at line EMU -5.5 · model EMU -7.3
    55%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EMU 25, AKR 23
  16. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BUF @ TOL TOL -18.5 Spread Set at line TOL -18.5 · model TOL -20.4
    55%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BUF 23, TOL 8
  17. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    CMU @ OHIO OHIO -2.5 Spread Set at line OHIO -2.5 · model OHIO -5.1
    57%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 CMU 14, OHIO 31
  18. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    KENT @ WMU WMU -14.0 Spread Set at line WMU -14.0 · model WMU -14.2
    50%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 KENT 7, WMU 38
  19. NHL 3:30 PM ET
    VAN @ NJD NJD -298 Moneyline Set at line NJD 71.8% · model 73.7%
    74%win chance 72%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 VAN 1, NJD 4
  20. CFB 3:45 PM ET
    CONN @ TEM TEM -3.5 Spread Set at line TEM -3.5 · model TEM -6.5
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CONN 34, TEM 20
  21. NHL 4:00 PM ET
    EDM @ SJS SJS +130 Moneyline Set at line SJS 41.7% · model 42.5%
    43%win chance 42%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EDM 3, SJS 1
  22. CFB 4:15 PM ET
    TENN @ ARK ARK +13.5 Spread Set at line TENN -13.5 · model TENN -6.5
    68%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 TENN 24, ARK 17
  23. CFB 4:15 PM ET
    MD @ OSU OSU -33.5 Spread Set at line OSU -33.5 · model OSU -35.6
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MD 16, OSU 45
  24. CFB 6:00 PM ET
    SDSU @ ORST SDSU +16.5 Spread Set at line ORST -16.5 · model ORST -11.9
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SDSU 14, ORST 66
  25. NHL 6:00 PM ET
    MIN @ FLA MIN +114 Moneyline Set at line MIN 44.9% · model 46.6%
    47%win chance 45%market
    ✓ Won +1.14 MIN 4, FLA 1
  26. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    LSU @ UK UK +9.5 Spread Set at line LSU -9.5 · model LSU -9.3
    50%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 LSU 34, UK 35
  27. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    UAB @ MEM UAB +14.5 Spread Set at line MEM -14.5 · model MEM -11.3
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UAB 13, MEM 38
  28. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    NEV @ UTEP NEV -10.0 Spread Set at line NEV -10.0 · model NEV -13.6
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 NEV 30, UTEP 13
  29. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    CCU @ MRSH MRSH -4.5 Spread Set at line MRSH -4.5 · model MRSH -9.1
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CCU 27, MRSH 21
  30. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    UTA @ BUF BUF -108 Moneyline Set at line BUF 49.6% · model 51.9%
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UTA 4, BUF 1
  31. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    DET @ MTL DET +164 Moneyline Set at line DET 36.3% · model 48.1%
    48%win chance 36%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DET 0, MTL 1
  32. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NSH @ OTT OTT -162 Moneyline Set at line OTT 59.3% · model 66.5%
    67%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 NSH 2, OTT 3
  33. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    DAL @ PIT PIT +150 Moneyline Set at line PIT 38.4% · model 43.1%
    43%win chance 38%market
    ✓ Won +1.50 DAL 1, PIT 2
  34. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    CBJ @ STL CBJ +105 Moneyline Set at line CBJ 46.8% · model 50.1%
    50%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CBJ 3, STL 5
  35. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ COL COL -218 Moneyline Set at line COL 65.7% · model 68.8%
    69%win chance 66%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TOR 6, COL 3
  36. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    UGA @ ALA ALA -2.5 Spread Set at line ALA -2.5 · model ALA -5.2
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UGA 20, ALA 17
  37. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    SYR @ UVA SYR +13.5 Spread Set at line UVA -13.5 · model UVA -11.5
    55%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 SYR 25, UVA 28
  38. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    AF @ NIU AF -7.0 Spread Set at line AF -7.0 · model AF -12.2
    63%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 AF 28, NIU 7
  39. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    JMU @ GASO JMU -7.5 Spread Set at line JMU -7.5 · model JMU -16.0
    71%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 JMU 27, GASO 24
  40. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    UL @ LT UL +3.0 Spread Set at line LT -3.0 · model UL -3.1
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 UL 31, LT 32
  41. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    TBL @ NYI NYI +142 Moneyline Set at line NYI 39.6% · model 45.4%
    45%win chance 40%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TBL 5, NYI 3
  42. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    KU @ UTAH KU +15.5 Spread Set at line UTAH -15.5 · model UTAH -9.1
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 KU 24, UTAH 41
  43. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    MINN @ PUR PUR +2.5 Spread Set at line MINN -2.5 · model MINN -1.8
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 MINN 13, PUR 41
  44. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    CWS @ CLE CLE -143 Moneyline Set at line CLE 56.2% · model 63.2%
    63%win chance 56%market
    ✓ Won +0.70 CWS 0, CLE 2
  45. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    ANA @ CGY ANA -122 Moneyline Set at line ANA 52.6% · model 58.5%
    58%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.82 ANA 4, CGY 2
  46. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    LAK @ VGK VGK -162 Moneyline Set at line VGK 59.3% · model 66.8%
    67%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 LAK 1, VGK 2
  47. CFB 10:30 PM ET
    HAW @ ASU HAW +21.0 Spread Set at line ASU -21.0 · model ASU -15.3
    65%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 HAW 12, ASU 30
  48. CFB 10:30 PM ET
    BOIS @ FRES BOIS -7.5 Spread Set at line BOIS -7.5 · model BOIS -8.6
    53%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BOIS 38, FRES 31
  49. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Gea @ Shelton Gea +241 Moneyline Set at line Gea 28.0% · model 29.7%
    30%win chance 28%market
    ✓ Won +2.41 Gea 14, Shelton 12
  50. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Mannarino @ Khachanov Khachanov -363 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 74.8% · model 77.1%
    77%win chance 75%market
    ✓ Won +0.28 Mannarino 6, Khachanov 12

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.