NBA predictions Sat, Nov 14

Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NBA game, plus player box-score lines. Methodology →

5 games on this slate · 27–8 since Nov 8 (model V6) →

Power rankings: every team's model rating →

‹

Updated 2h ago

Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET

#9 Nuggets

70.2% 118.7

#25 Pelicans

29.8% 111.6

Projected total 230.3

Biggest factor: Back-to-back (NOP) · DEN +2.0 pts

Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET

#18 Mavericks

43.3% 112.8

#15 Cavaliers

56.7% 115.0

Projected total 227.8

Biggest factor: Back-to-back (CLE) · DAL +2.0 pts

Sat, Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET

#6 Pistons

63.5% 116.1

#10 Heat

36.5% 111.4

Projected total 227.5

Biggest factor: Back-to-back (MIA) · DET +2.0 pts

Sat, Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET

#24 Nets

34.8% 110.1

#11 Grizzlies

65.2% 115.4

Projected total 225.5

Biggest factor: Back-to-back (MEM) · BKN +2.0 pts

Sat, Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET

#26 Bulls

9.8% 108.2

#5 Timberwolves

90.2% 126.0

Projected total 234.2

Biggest factor: Back-to-back (CHI) · MIN +2.0 pts

	DEN	NOP
Offensive ratingpts/100	116.85th of 30	112.619th of 30
Defensive ratingpts/100	115.123rd of 30	117.928th of 30
Net ratingpts/100	1.712th of 30	-5.325th of 30
Paceposs/48	98.026th of 30	100.84th of 30

	DAL	CLE
Offensive ratingpts/100	112.321st of 30	116.09th of 30
Defensive ratingpts/100	113.917th of 30	114.018th of 30
Net ratingpts/100	-1.620th of 30	1.911th of 30
Paceposs/48	100.76th of 30	99.319th of 30

	DET	MIA
Offensive ratingpts/100	114.811th of 30	113.217th of 30
Defensive ratingpts/100	110.04th of 30	113.816th of 30
Net ratingpts/100	4.85th of 30	-0.617th of 30
Paceposs/48	99.417th of 30	102.13rd of 30

	BKN	MEM
Offensive ratingpts/100	110.325th of 30	114.812th of 30
Defensive ratingpts/100	115.424th of 30	114.320th of 30
Net ratingpts/100	-5.124th of 30	0.415th of 30
Paceposs/48	99.418th of 30	100.013th of 30

	CHI	MIN
Offensive ratingpts/100	111.423rd of 30	116.08th of 30
Defensive ratingpts/100	119.030th of 30	109.61st of 30
Net ratingpts/100	-7.527th of 30	6.43rd of 30
Paceposs/48	102.12nd of 30	100.75th of 30

Points leaders

Cade Cunningham25.9 pts
Giannis Antetokounmpo23.9 pts
Nikola Jokić23.9 pts
Jamal Murray23.0 pts
Ty Jerome21.4 pts

Rank by


DEN @ NOP	23.9	8.1	1.28	3.9	1.81	8.1	8.7	1.36	1.07	3.13
DET @ MIA	25.9	6.9	2.24	5.5	0.51	4.5	7.7	1.38	0.74	3.30
DET @ MIA	23.9	8.5	0.72	4.8	3.04	7.7	4.3	0.89	0.95	3.17
DAL @ CLE	21.3	6.1	1.33	5.0	0.95	5.1	5.5	1.46	0.54	2.52
DEN @ NOP	23.0	4.8	2.98	4.4	0.74	4.1	5.2	0.83	0.89	2.25
CHI @ MIN	20.4	3.4	3.75	2.3	0.75	3.0	6.3	1.52	0.09	3.37
BKN @ MEM	21.4	5.2	2.23	4.2	0.69	2.2	4.0	0.75	0.17	2.17
DET @ MIA	16.6	5.0	0.90	3.9	2.22	5.2	2.9	1.71	0.79	1.86
CHI @ MIN	19.1	5.7	1.76	2.3	0.78	3.3	3.8	1.22	0.54	1.98
DAL @ CLE	18.3	4.1	2.14	3.6	0.44	3.2	4.5	1.06	0.37	2.34
BKN @ MEM	15.3	3.4	1.82	3.2	1.46	5.9	4.5	0.62	0.47	2.70
BKN @ MEM	16.6	4.3	1.21	4.4	1.30	3.9	4.0	0.68	0.20	2.56
CHI @ MIN	17.7	5.7	1.56	1.7	1.58	3.9	3.4	0.91	0.83	1.76
DAL @ CLE	18.8	4.2	2.69	2.3	0.78	2.2	3.8	0.90	0.38	1.63
DET @ MIA	11.8	4.7	0.13	1.9	1.79	6.1	5.0	1.19	0.77	2.50
BKN @ MEM	17.3	2.7	2.89	3.3	0.66	4.6	1.3	0.97	0.35	1.55
DET @ MIA	14.3	3.4	1.95	1.8	0.54	1.9	7.0	1.19	0.54	2.72
DEN @ NOP	15.1	5.1	0.17	4.4	1.22	2.6	2.2	1.17	0.38	1.34
DET @ MIA	14.6	2.7	2.17	2.7	0.99	3.0	4.6	1.00	0.05	1.88
DAL @ CLE	13.9	2.1	2.08	3.5	0.43	3.2	4.5	0.76	0.38	2.24
DET @ MIA	17.4	1.5	3.78	3.1	0.25	2.2	2.3	1.30	0.15	1.20
DAL @ CLE	12.4	3.4	1.24	2.0	1.62	4.2	3.0	0.62	0.81	1.39
DET @ MIA	11.0	4.3	0.25	1.6	2.94	4.8	2.2	0.93	0.93	1.72
DEN @ NOP	12.7	3.9	1.07	1.6	0.87	2.8	4.2	0.73	0.29	2.15
CHI @ MIN	13.0	3.1	1.63	1.9	1.12	3.7	2.7	1.07	0.67	1.12
CHI @ MIN	14.5	2.4	1.66	4.7	0.33	1.7	1.4	0.95	0.00	1.32
DEN @ NOP	12.1	2.6	1.40	2.7	1.06	3.2	2.3	0.82	0.55	1.42
CHI @ MIN	8.9	3.1	0.08	2.5	3.03	6.2	1.5	0.63	1.05	1.07
CHI @ MIN	12.5	3.0	1.54	1.9	1.01	2.7	1.4	1.00	0.41	1.61
DEN @ NOP	11.6	2.8	1.57	1.3	1.02	3.2	2.5	1.41	0.20	1.35
BKN @ MEM	12.7	2.3	1.90	2.3	0.20	1.7	3.2	0.63	0.22	1.63
CHI @ MIN	8.7	2.4	0.93	1.2	0.67	3.2	6.3	0.56	0.20	2.60
DAL @ CLE	11.5	1.9	1.83	2.1	1.28	4.2	1.1	0.58	0.65	1.24
BKN @ MEM	10.3	2.2	1.64	1.0	1.26	4.9	2.4	1.10	0.18	1.36
DEN @ NOP	11.5	2.2	1.65	2.1	0.64	2.8	2.9	0.74	0.18	1.27
CHI @ MIN	11.8	2.3	1.46	2.7	0.40	3.0	2.6	0.58	0.08	1.09
CHI @ MIN	11.1	2.1	1.42	2.7	0.70	3.1	1.8	0.52	0.41	2.00
DEN @ NOP	11.7	2.3	2.01	1.0	1.07	2.9	2.2	0.94	0.00	1.27
DET @ MIA	13.2	1.1	3.44	0.7	0.19	2.2	1.8	0.48	0.92	1.21
DAL @ CLE	10.7	2.9	1.16	1.5	0.90	2.5	2.3	0.71	1.32	1.23
CHI @ MIN	12.0	1.8	2.17	1.8	0.34	1.3	3.3	0.76	0.44	1.03
DEN @ NOP	11.8	2.5	1.46	2.4	0.69	2.2	2.0	0.63	0.11	0.88
DEN @ NOP	9.9	3.0	0.73	1.8	0.47	2.7	3.3	0.86	0.27	1.54
DET @ MIA	9.9	3.1	0.88	1.0	1.51	4.2	1.0	0.63	0.82	1.11
DET @ MIA	9.4	1.8	0.98	2.8	1.00	2.5	2.8	1.03	0.07	1.74
BKN @ MEM	9.6	1.4	1.59	2.0	0.91	4.1	2.2	0.59	0.44	1.30
DAL @ CLE	9.1	3.3	0.13	2.1	1.67	4.1	1.3	0.59	0.92	0.82
BKN @ MEM	11.0	2.9	1.29	1.3	0.46	1.4	2.4	0.95	0.50	1.41
BKN @ MEM	6.8	1.9	0.43	1.6	2.33	3.5	3.2	0.57	1.85	1.40
DAL @ CLE	9.7	2.9	0.90	1.3	0.70	2.1	3.5	0.84	0.18	1.42
DEN @ NOP	10.6	3.4	0.47	2.3	0.39	2.2	2.2	0.57	0.22	0.91
CHI @ MIN	9.1	1.8	1.51	1.0	1.48	4.0	1.7	0.45	0.92	0.86
DET @ MIA	9.7	1.7	1.73	1.1	0.49	2.1	2.2	0.88	0.84	1.04
DAL @ CLE	10.7	2.3	1.91	0.4	0.76	2.0	1.3	0.89	0.28	0.93
DEN @ NOP	7.9	2.4	0.21	2.6	0.75	3.5	1.7	0.51	0.45	1.27
CHI @ MIN	8.9	2.8	0.31	2.3	0.68	1.2	2.5	0.70	0.07	1.14
BKN @ MEM	6.5	2.4	0.03	1.7	2.16	4.0	0.9	0.36	1.11	0.97
DAL @ CLE	6.3	2.3	0.02	1.5	1.86	3.2	1.6	0.51	1.46	0.95
DAL @ CLE	7.3	1.3	1.18	1.2	0.53	2.2	3.4	0.61	0.16	1.42
CHI @ MIN	6.1	2.3	0.00	1.6	2.46	3.2	0.8	0.42	1.27	0.64
BKN @ MEM	9.1	1.4	1.72	1.3	0.78	1.7	1.2	0.77	0.12	0.72
BKN @ MEM	8.3	0.9	1.47	2.1	0.46	1.6	1.9	0.64	0.00	1.14
BKN @ MEM	8.6	2.1	1.10	1.2	0.65	1.1	1.6	0.51	0.65	0.94
BKN @ MEM	6.7	1.3	1.16	0.6	0.60	1.8	3.9	0.63	0.11	1.38
DAL @ CLE	6.8	2.3	0.31	1.4	1.83	2.9	1.2	0.44	0.07	0.97
BKN @ MEM	8.0	2.2	0.68	1.7	0.75	2.0	1.2	0.52	0.09	0.78
DAL @ CLE	7.1	1.8	0.97	0.6	1.21	2.9	1.2	0.79	0.63	0.72
DEN @ NOP	7.6	1.2	0.95	2.3	0.38	1.0	2.2	0.56	0.46	0.97
CHI @ MIN	5.8	1.9	0.00	2.0	1.09	3.2	1.5	0.38	0.98	0.70
DET @ MIA	7.5	1.8	1.15	0.5	0.90	1.8	1.2	0.54	0.71	0.99
DAL @ CLE	7.1	1.3	1.30	0.5	0.78	1.8	2.1	0.55	0.35	0.97
BKN @ MEM	7.0	1.2	1.09	1.3	0.48	1.4	2.6	0.42	0.33	0.89
BKN @ MEM	7.1	2.2	0.57	1.0	1.30	2.1	0.8	0.41	0.44	0.65
DAL @ CLE	7.3	1.6	1.07	1.0	1.07	1.8	1.0	0.39	0.33	0.96
CHI @ MIN	6.4	1.0	1.08	1.2	0.84	3.2	1.1	0.61	0.23	0.65
DAL @ CLE	7.9	1.3	1.13	1.9	0.98	1.2	0.7	0.34	0.29	0.50
CHI @ MIN	7.0	1.3	1.05	1.3	0.68	1.8	1.2	0.90	0.18	0.67
DET @ MIA	5.9	1.1	1.08	0.4	0.62	3.9	1.3	0.57	0.31	0.85
DAL @ CLE	6.4	1.4	0.98	0.7	0.53	2.4	2.2	0.56	0.00	0.68
DET @ MIA	6.9	0.9	1.43	0.8	0.68	2.0	1.5	0.68	0.00	0.82
CHI @ MIN	5.7	1.3	0.75	0.8	0.66	2.0	2.0	0.57	0.48	0.76
DAL @ CLE	6.0	1.4	0.93	0.4	0.89	2.6	1.2	0.49	0.34	0.69
DET @ MIA	5.5	1.2	0.78	0.8	0.86	2.1	1.5	0.47	0.86	0.83
DEN @ NOP	5.9	2.0	0.13	1.5	1.09	2.0	0.8	0.29	0.51	0.57
DEN @ NOP	5.6	1.1	0.95	0.6	0.70	3.1	1.2	0.51	0.29	0.86
DEN @ NOP	5.1	1.1	0.29	1.9	0.44	2.7	1.1	0.48	0.36	0.73
DAL @ CLE	6.1	0.7	1.28	0.9	0.58	1.9	1.5	0.70	0.09	0.52
BKN @ MEM	5.6	1.5	0.49	1.2	0.80	0.9	1.7	0.56	0.15	1.21
DEN @ NOP	5.1	1.2	0.64	0.7	0.92	2.9	0.5	0.45	0.37	0.51
DEN @ NOP	5.4	1.5	0.66	0.3	0.45	1.9	1.1	0.63	0.34	0.91
BKN @ MEM	5.2	1.0	0.72	1.1	0.64	2.2	0.7	0.40	0.40	0.58
CHI @ MIN	5.0	0.9	0.53	1.6	0.80	1.1	1.2	0.46	0.23	0.61
BKN @ MEM	4.4	0.7	0.85	0.5	0.37	1.5	1.7	0.83	0.85	0.66
BKN @ MEM	5.2	1.2	0.66	0.8	0.45	1.8	0.8	0.32	0.35	0.80
DET @ MIA	5.5	0.7	1.04	1.0	0.32	2.0	0.6	0.58	0.23	0.31
DEN @ NOP	4.7	0.7	0.97	0.4	1.21	1.3	1.0	0.44	1.02	0.53
DEN @ NOP	5.5	1.5	0.54	0.9	0.55	1.0	1.1	0.32	0.00	0.66
CHI @ MIN	5.8	0.9	1.16	0.5	0.14	1.6	0.8	0.39	0.19	0.50
CHI @ MIN	4.8	1.0	0.57	1.1	0.93	1.5	0.7	0.35	0.23	0.55
DAL @ CLE	3.5	0.8	0.53	0.3	0.84	2.1	1.5	0.53	0.00	0.61
DEN @ NOP	5.0	1.9	0.10	0.9	0.44	1.1	0.6	0.29	0.00	0.41
BKN @ MEM	4.0	0.8	0.56	0.7	0.79	1.2	0.8	0.44	0.34	0.62
DEN @ NOP	5.4	1.2	0.81	0.6	0.85	0.4	0.5	0.16	0.00	0.27
DAL @ CLE	4.4	0.6	0.97	0.3	0.55	1.7	0.6	0.31	0.00	0.36
CHI @ MIN	3.8	0.9	0.62	0.2	0.45	1.0	1.1	0.33	0.10	0.66
DEN @ NOP	3.4	0.7	0.24	1.4	0.36	0.8	0.8	0.51	0.13	0.45
BKN @ MEM	3.7	0.4	0.69	0.8	0.37	1.4	0.5	0.26	0.11	0.36
DET @ MIA	3.0	0.6	0.44	0.5	0.48	1.6	0.8	0.31	0.31	0.49
CHI @ MIN	3.2	0.7	0.47	0.4	0.67	1.4	0.7	0.23	0.28	0.56
DEN @ NOP	1.6	0.3	0.00	1.0	0.77	2.4	0.8	0.31	0.74	0.41
DET @ MIA	4.0	0.4	0.85	0.6	0.22	0.8	0.4	0.23	0.12	0.42
BKN @ MEM	2.5	0.3	0.55	0.2	0.54	1.3	1.4	0.57	0.22	0.51
DAL @ CLE	3.7	0.7	0.68	0.3	0.14	0.7	1.0	0.20	0.03	0.50
DEN @ NOP	3.1	0.6	0.42	0.6	0.08	0.4	1.7	0.37	0.23	0.57
BKN @ MEM	3.2	0.6	0.54	0.3	0.50	1.2	0.4	0.25	0.09	0.35
DAL @ CLE	3.0	0.3	0.74	0.2	0.12	1.4	0.7	0.26	0.22	0.51
CHI @ MIN	2.4	0.6	0.28	0.4	0.43	1.0	0.9	0.29	0.00	0.63
CHI @ MIN	1.1	0.3	0.00	0.6	1.53	1.1	0.5	0.25	0.90	0.31
CHI @ MIN	2.6	0.8	0.32	0.2	0.36	1.2	0.6	0.20	0.00	0.33
CHI @ MIN	3.2	0.4	0.67	0.3	0.27	0.3	0.7	0.17	0.06	0.38
DAL @ CLE	1.3	0.3	0.14	0.2	0.62	1.1	1.3	0.36	0.25	0.63
DET @ MIA	2.5	0.1	0.56	0.5	0.10	0.9	0.8	0.24	0.00	0.46
DET @ MIA	2.2	0.8	0.00	0.5	0.69	0.9	0.3	0.15	0.28	0.22
DAL @ CLE	2.5	0.5	0.43	0.2	0.66	0.7	0.4	0.16	0.00	0.17
DET @ MIA	2.9	0.2	0.71	0.4	0.07	0.5	0.3	0.13	0.20	0.22
BKN @ MEM	2.2	0.3	0.42	0.4	0.25	1.0	0.4	0.24	0.11	0.26
BKN @ MEM	2.3	0.9	0.10	0.1	0.16	0.9	0.5	0.14	0.00	0.25
DET @ MIA	1.9	0.0	0.45	0.6	0.23	1.2	0.5	0.26	0.00	0.31
DEN @ NOP	1.8	0.7	0.08	0.2	0.20	0.7	0.7	0.17	0.30	0.32
BKN @ MEM	1.8	0.1	0.45	0.3	0.55	0.6	0.5	0.28	0.37	0.24
BKN @ MEM	1.6	0.3	0.19	0.5	0.20	0.8	0.8	0.19	0.00	0.36
DAL @ CLE	1.5	0.5	0.00	0.5	0.45	0.8	0.3	0.11	0.09	0.16
DAL @ CLE	2.4	0.5	0.38	0.2	0.05	0.3	0.3	0.09	0.00	0.17
DAL @ CLE	0.6	0.0	0.11	0.3	0.47	1.1	0.7	0.23	0.00	0.28
CHI @ MIN	1.7	0.8	0.00	0.2	0.15	0.5	0.3	0.09	0.00	0.18
DEN @ NOP	1.1	0.4	0.00	0.4	0.56	0.4	0.3	0.16	0.32	0.15
DET @ MIA	0.8	0.0	0.03	0.7	0.29	0.6	0.4	0.13	0.21	0.26
DEN @ NOP	1.0	0.2	0.16	0.2	0.20	0.6	0.5	0.16	0.00	0.28
CHI @ MIN	1.4	0.1	0.35	0.2	0.06	0.4	0.4	0.13	0.00	0.16
DEN @ NOP	1.1	0.0	0.16	0.7	0.09	0.4	0.3	0.10	0.00	0.17
BKN @ MEM	1.0	0.1	0.13	0.3	0.14	0.3	0.2	0.11	0.25	0.15
DET @ MIA	0.5	0.1	0.09	0.1	0.22	0.5	0.3	0.09	0.24	0.15
CHI @ MIN	0.5	0.1	0.06	0.2	0.24	0.4	0.3	0.14	0.00	0.15
BKN @ MEM	0.6	0.2	0.00	0.1	0.06	0.2	0.3	0.09	0.00	0.15
DET @ MIA	0.3	0.1	0.03	0.1	0.10	0.4	0.2	0.05	0.00	0.11
DET @ MIA	0.2	0.0	0.00	0.2	0.09	0.3	0.2	0.08	0.00	0.12
CHI @ MIN	0.1	0.0	0.00	0.1	0.13	0.2	0.2	0.06	0.00	0.09

NBA predictions Sat, Nov 14

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