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Model vs market

The model's number above the market's for every upcoming game. A gap is a disagreement, not a pick: against past closing lines, these models showed no edge.

By start Biggest gap

2 of 2 upcoming games have a market line.

MLB 2 of 2 with a line

Game	Run line	Win %	Total	Gap
LAD @ MIL Mon, Oct 12 · 5:00 PM ET	39.1%42.1%	52.0%56.1%	8.57.0	3.0 pp toward MIL +1.5
CLE @ TB Mon, Oct 12 · 8:00 PM ET	34.8%41.5%	51.1%60.0%	7.96.5	6.7 pp toward CLE +1.5

DraftKings first · updated 10:47 AM ET