College Basketball predictions Fri, Nov 6
Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for Division I men's college basketball. Methodology →
59 games on this slate · 139–24 since Nov 1 (model V1) →
Games
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Boston College Eagles -3.8
- First line
- Boston College Eagles -5.5
- Latest
- Boston College Eagles -5.5
Boston College Eagles -5.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Baylor Bears -27.3
- First line
- Baylor Bears -34.5
- Latest
- Baylor Bears -35.5
Baylor Bears -35.5 at -114 · opened Baylor Bears -34.5
- First line
- FanDuel · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- FanDuel · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Virginia Cavaliers -27.8
- First line
- Virginia Cavaliers -33.5
- Latest
- Virginia Cavaliers -33.5
Virginia Cavaliers -33.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Oregon Ducks -11.5
- First line
- Oregon Ducks -15.5
- Latest
- Oregon Ducks -15.5
Oregon Ducks -15.5 at -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Ohio State Buckeyes -16.6
- First line
- Ohio State Buckeyes -25.5
- Latest
- Ohio State Buckeyes -25.5
Ohio State Buckeyes -25.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Purdue Boilermakers -20.5
- First line
- Purdue Boilermakers -19.5
- Latest
- Purdue Boilermakers -19.5
Purdue Boilermakers -19.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Xavier Musketeers -17.0
- First line
- Xavier Musketeers -20.5
- Latest
- Xavier Musketeers -20.5
Xavier Musketeers -20.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Florida State Seminoles -16.1
- First line
- Florida State Seminoles -20.5
- Latest
- Florida State Seminoles -20.5
Florida State Seminoles -20.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Indiana State Sycamores -2.7
- First line
- Ball State Cardinals -2.5
- Latest
- Ball State Cardinals -2.5
Ball State Cardinals -2.5 at -115
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Missouri Tigers -0.8
- First line
- Missouri Tigers -2.5
- Latest
- Missouri Tigers -2.5
Missouri Tigers -2.5 at -105
- First line
- DraftKings · 8:24 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Clemson Tigers -19.7
- First line
- Clemson Tigers -17.5
- Latest
- Clemson Tigers -17.5
Clemson Tigers -17.5 at -110
- First line
- FanDuel · 8:24 PM ET
- Latest
- FanDuel · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- North Carolina Tar Heels -21.8
- First line
- North Carolina Tar Heels -22.5
- Latest
- North Carolina Tar Heels -22.5
North Carolina Tar Heels -22.5 at -115
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Kennesaw State Owls -4.8
- First line
- Kennesaw State Owls -6.5
- Latest
- Kennesaw State Owls -5.5
Kennesaw State Owls -5.5 at -118 · opened Kennesaw State Owls -6.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NC State Wolfpack -16.4
- First line
- NC State Wolfpack -16.5
- Latest
- NC State Wolfpack -16.5
NC State Wolfpack -16.5 at -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -9.5
- First line
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -16.5
- Latest
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -16.5
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -16.5 at -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Elon Phoenix -9.3
- First line
- Elon Phoenix -7.5
- Latest
- Elon Phoenix -7.5
Elon Phoenix -7.5 at -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UCF Knights -4.8
- First line
- UCF Knights -9.5
- Latest
- UCF Knights -9.5
UCF Knights -9.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Kentucky Wildcats -21.1
- First line
- Kentucky Wildcats -25.5
- Latest
- Kentucky Wildcats -25.5
Kentucky Wildcats -25.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Alabama Crimson Tide -21.4
- First line
- Alabama Crimson Tide -25.5
- Latest
- Alabama Crimson Tide -25.5
Alabama Crimson Tide -25.5 at -105
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Wisconsin Badgers -22.1
- First line
- Wisconsin Badgers -24.5
- Latest
- Wisconsin Badgers -25.5
Wisconsin Badgers -25.5 at -105 · opened Wisconsin Badgers -24.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Wright State Raiders -2.2
- First line
- Wright State Raiders -3.5
- Latest
- Wright State Raiders -3.5
Wright State Raiders -3.5 at -102
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Marquette Golden Eagles -16.1
- First line
- Marquette Golden Eagles -30.5
- Latest
- Marquette Golden Eagles -30.5
Marquette Golden Eagles -30.5 at -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Iowa State Cyclones -24.0
- First line
- Iowa State Cyclones -30.5
- Latest
- Iowa State Cyclones -31.5
Iowa State Cyclones -31.5 at -110 · opened Iowa State Cyclones -30.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Minnesota Golden Gophers -10.1
- First line
- Minnesota Golden Gophers -15.5
- Latest
- Minnesota Golden Gophers -14.5
Minnesota Golden Gophers -14.5 at -118 · opened Minnesota Golden Gophers -15.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Michigan Wolverines -4.7
- First line
- UConn Huskies -5.5
- Latest
- UConn Huskies -7.5
UConn Huskies -7.5 at -115 · opened UConn Huskies -5.5
- Model
- 65.9%
- First line
- 33.1%
- Latest
- 33.1%
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines +190 / UConn Huskies -230 (vig removed)
- Model
- 143.1
- First line
- 146.5
- Latest
- 146.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 33.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Northwestern Wildcats -15.7
- First line
- Northwestern Wildcats -14.5
- Latest
- Northwestern Wildcats -14.5
Northwestern Wildcats -14.5 at -102
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Texas A&M Aggies -16.5
- First line
- Texas A&M Aggies -24.5
- Latest
- Texas A&M Aggies -27.5
Texas A&M Aggies -27.5 at -105 · opened Texas A&M Aggies -24.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UIC Flames -9.9
- First line
- UIC Flames -11.5
- Latest
- UIC Flames -11.5
UIC Flames -11.5 at +100
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Ole Miss Rebels -10.6
- First line
- Ole Miss Rebels -19.5
- Latest
- Ole Miss Rebels -19.5
Ole Miss Rebels -19.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Iowa Hawkeyes -28.9
- First line
- Iowa Hawkeyes -35.5
- Latest
- Iowa Hawkeyes -35.5
Iowa Hawkeyes -35.5 at -105
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Southern Illinois Salukis -13.7
- First line
- Southern Illinois Salukis -3.5
- Latest
- Southern Illinois Salukis -2.5
Southern Illinois Salukis -2.5 at -118 · opened Southern Illinois Salukis -3.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Wyoming Cowboys -15.1
- First line
- Wyoming Cowboys -19.5
- Latest
- Wyoming Cowboys -19.5
Wyoming Cowboys -19.5 at -102
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Kansas Jayhawks -19.8
- First line
- Kansas Jayhawks -27.5
- Latest
- Kansas Jayhawks -27.5
Kansas Jayhawks -27.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BYU Cougars -25.2
- First line
- BYU Cougars -29.5
- Latest
- BYU Cougars -31.5
BYU Cougars -31.5 at -115 · opened BYU Cougars -29.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Colorado State Rams -9.9
- First line
- Colorado State Rams -17.5
- Latest
- Colorado State Rams -17.5
Colorado State Rams -17.5 at -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- San Diego Toreros -3.6
- First line
- San Diego Toreros -4.5
- Latest
- San Diego Toreros -5.5
San Diego Toreros -5.5 at -115 · opened San Diego Toreros -4.5
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- San Francisco Dons -8.8
- First line
- San Francisco Dons -7.5
- Latest
- San Francisco Dons -7.5
San Francisco Dons -7.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Stanford Cardinal -11.0
- First line
- Stanford Cardinal -14.5
- Latest
- Stanford Cardinal -14.5
Stanford Cardinal -14.5 at -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UT Arlington Mavericks -1.1
- First line
- Portland Pilots -1.5
- Latest
- Portland Pilots -1.5
Portland Pilots -1.5 at -102
- First line
- FanDuel · 7:13 PM ET
- Latest
- FanDuel · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →