All sports · Monday, October 26

Yesterday's card

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
36
Settled
10–6
Units
-0.61
  1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Bondar @ Snigur Snigur -222 Moneyline Set at line Snigur 65.1% · model 69.1%
    69%win chance 65%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bondar 12, Snigur 6
  2. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Ibragimova @ Shi Ibragimova +145 Moneyline Set at line Ibragimova 38.4% · model 41.4%
    41%win chance 38%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Ibragimova 8, Shi 12
  3. WTA 4:00 AM ET
    Stojsavljevic @ Eala Eala -922 Moneyline Set at line Eala 87.1% · model 91.1%
    91%win chance 87%market
    ✓ Won +0.11 Stojsavljevic 3, Eala 12
  4. WTA 5:00 AM ET
    Lee @ Badosa Badosa -244 Moneyline Set at line Badosa 66.8% · model 74.0%
    74%win chance 67%market
    ✓ Won +0.41 Lee 5, Badosa 12
  5. WTA 5:00 AM ET
    Prozorova @ Dart Prozorova -118 Moneyline Set at line Prozorova 51.0% · model 71.8%
    72%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Prozorova 12, Dart 14
  6. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Etcheverry @ Berrettini Etcheverry +144 Moneyline Set at line Etcheverry 38.7% · model 44.0%
    44%win chance 39%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Etcheverry 7, Berrettini 12
  7. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Navone @ Vacherot Navone +157 Moneyline Set at line Navone 36.7% · model 50.3%
    50%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Navone 9, Vacherot 13
  8. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Borges @ Brunold Borges -213 Moneyline Set at line Borges 64.5% · model 76.8%
    77%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.47 Borges 12, Brunold 4
  9. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Halys @ Rune Rune -116 Moneyline Set at line Rune 50.8% · model 56.6%
    57%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.86 Halys 17, Rune 19
  10. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    De Minaur @ Machac De Minaur -286 Moneyline Set at line De Minaur 69.8% · model 76.4%
    76%win chance 70%market
    ✓ Won +0.35 De Minaur 13, Machac 13
  11. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Cerundolo @ Altmaier Altmaier +125 Moneyline Set at line Altmaier 41.7% · model 46.9%
    47%win chance 42%market
    ✓ Won +1.25 Cerundolo 17, Altmaier 19
  12. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Fearnley @ Fery Fearnley -103 Moneyline Set at line Fearnley 47.9% · model 51.9%
    52%win chance 48%market
    +4.0 pts
  13. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Neumayer @ Mensik Mensik -769 Moneyline Set at line Mensik 83.6% · model 89.4%
    89%win chance 84%market
    ✓ Won +0.13 Neumayer 4, Mensik 12
  14. ATP 2:00 PM ET
    Arnaldi @ Darderi Darderi +101 Moneyline Set at line Darderi 47.0% · model 50.7%
    51%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.01 Arnaldi 7, Darderi 13
  15. ATP 3:00 PM ET
    Tien @ Van Assche Tien -217 Moneyline Set at line Tien 64.8% · model 71.0%
    71%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.46 Tien 12, Van Assche 4
  16. ATP 3:00 PM ET
    Ruud @ Stricker Ruud -294 Moneyline Set at line Ruud 70.6% · model 79.5%
    80%win chance 71%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 Ruud 17, Stricker 14
  17. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    WAS @ CHA CHA -1.5 Spread Set at line CHA -1.5 · model CHA -3.5
    55%win chance 51%market
    +4.3 pts
  18. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    MIN @ CLE MIN +4.5 Spread Set at line CLE -4.5 · model CLE -1.1
    59%win chance 51%market
    +7.8 pts
  19. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    LAK @ NYR NYR -130 Moneyline Set at line NYR 54.3% · model 58.1% · at the close
    58%win chance 54%market
    +3.8 pts
  20. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    CHI @ BOS CHI +14.5 Spread Set at line BOS -14.5 · model BOS -9.9
    62%win chance 51%market
    +11.0 pts
  21. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    DAL @ MIA DAL +8.5 Spread Set at line MIA -8.5 · model MIA -3.5
    63%win chance 52%market
    +11.4 pts
  22. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    MIL @ TB TB -118 Moneyline Set at line TB 51.7% · model 52.9%
    53%win chance 52%market
    +1.2 pts
  23. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    IND @ MIL MIL +4.5 Spread Set at line IND -4.5 · model MIL -2.2
    67%win chance 50%market
    +16.9 pts
  24. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    PHX @ OKC PHX +10.5 Spread Set at line OKC -10.5 · model OKC -4.0
    67%win chance 50%market
    +16.7 pts
  25. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    DAL @ PHI PHI +4.5 Spread Set at line DAL -4.5 · model PHI -2.8 · before kickoff
    75%win chance 51%market
    +24.3 pts
  26. NBA 8:30 PM ET
    ATL @ HOU ATL +4.5 Spread Set at line HOU -4.5 · model HOU -1.0
    59%win chance 49%market
    +10.3 pts
  27. NHL 8:30 PM ET
    TOR @ CGY CGY +114 Moneyline Set at line CGY 44.9% · model 51.5% · at the close
    52%win chance 45%market
    +6.7 pts
  28. NBA 9:00 PM ET
    MEM @ UTA MEM -1.5 Spread Set at line MEM -1.5 · model MEM -2.9
    54%win chance 48%market
    +5.9 pts
  29. NHL 9:30 PM ET
    DET @ EDM DET +150 Moneyline Set at line DET 38.4% · model 51.6% · at the close
    52%win chance 38%market
    +13.2 pts
  30. WTA 9:30 PM ET
    Cirstea @ Joint Cirstea -246 Moneyline Set at line Cirstea 67.9% · model 75.0%
    75%win chance 68%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Cirstea 9, Joint 13
  31. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    GSW @ DEN GSW +7.5 Spread Set at line DEN -7.5 · model DEN -6.9
    52%win chance 50%market
    +2.0 pts
  32. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Kenin @ Quevedo Quevedo -128 Moneyline Set at line Quevedo 53.0% · model 63.5%
    63%win chance 53%market
    +10.4 pts
  33. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Teichmann @ Waltert Teichmann -101 Moneyline Set at line Teichmann 47.3% · model 53.9%
    54%win chance 47%market
    +6.6 pts
  34. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Sakkari @ Putintseva Putintseva +142 Moneyline Set at line Putintseva 39.4% · model 40.7%
    41%win chance 39%market
    +1.4 pts
  35. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Linette @ Zakharova Zakharova -103 Moneyline Set at line Zakharova 48.0% · model 60.1%
    60%win chance 48%market
    +12.1 pts
  36. WTA 11:30 PM ET
    Bucsa @ Parry Bucsa -118 Moneyline Set at line Bucsa 51.6% · model 53.1%
    53%win chance 52%market
    +1.4 pts

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.