All sports · Monday, October 26

Yesterday's card

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
36
Settled
10–6
Units
-0.61
  1. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Etcheverry @ Berrettini Etcheverry +144 Moneyline Set at line Etcheverry 38.7% · model 44.0%
    44%win chance 39%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Etcheverry 7, Berrettini 12
  2. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Navone @ Vacherot Navone +157 Moneyline Set at line Navone 36.7% · model 50.3%
    50%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Navone 9, Vacherot 13
  3. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Borges @ Brunold Borges -213 Moneyline Set at line Borges 64.5% · model 76.8%
    77%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.47 Borges 12, Brunold 4
  4. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Halys @ Rune Rune -116 Moneyline Set at line Rune 50.8% · model 56.6%
    57%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.86 Halys 17, Rune 19
  5. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    De Minaur @ Machac De Minaur -286 Moneyline Set at line De Minaur 69.8% · model 76.4%
    76%win chance 70%market
    ✓ Won +0.35 De Minaur 13, Machac 13
  6. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Cerundolo @ Altmaier Altmaier +125 Moneyline Set at line Altmaier 41.7% · model 46.9%
    47%win chance 42%market
    ✓ Won +1.25 Cerundolo 17, Altmaier 19
  7. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Neumayer @ Mensik Mensik -769 Moneyline Set at line Mensik 83.6% · model 89.4%
    89%win chance 84%market
    ✓ Won +0.13 Neumayer 4, Mensik 12
  8. ATP 2:00 PM ET
    Arnaldi @ Darderi Darderi +101 Moneyline Set at line Darderi 47.0% · model 50.7%
    51%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.01 Arnaldi 7, Darderi 13
  9. ATP 3:00 PM ET
    Tien @ Van Assche Tien -217 Moneyline Set at line Tien 64.8% · model 71.0%
    71%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.46 Tien 12, Van Assche 4
  10. ATP 3:00 PM ET
    Ruud @ Stricker Ruud -294 Moneyline Set at line Ruud 70.6% · model 79.5%
    80%win chance 71%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 Ruud 17, Stricker 14

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.