All sports · Monday, October 26

Yesterday's card

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
36
Settled
10–6
Units
-0.61
  1. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Fearnley @ Fery Fearnley -103 Moneyline Set at line Fearnley 47.9% · model 51.9%
    52%win chance 48%market
    +4.0 pts
  2. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    WAS @ CHA CHA -1.5 Spread Set at line CHA -1.5 · model CHA -3.5
    55%win chance 51%market
    +4.3 pts
  3. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    MIN @ CLE MIN +4.5 Spread Set at line CLE -4.5 · model CLE -1.1
    59%win chance 51%market
    +7.8 pts
  4. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    LAK @ NYR NYR -130 Moneyline Set at line NYR 54.3% · model 58.1% · at the close
    58%win chance 54%market
    +3.8 pts
  5. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    CHI @ BOS CHI +14.5 Spread Set at line BOS -14.5 · model BOS -9.9
    62%win chance 51%market
    +11.0 pts
  6. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    DAL @ MIA DAL +8.5 Spread Set at line MIA -8.5 · model MIA -3.5
    63%win chance 52%market
    +11.4 pts
  7. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    MIL @ TB TB -118 Moneyline Set at line TB 51.7% · model 52.9%
    53%win chance 52%market
    +1.2 pts
  8. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    IND @ MIL MIL +4.5 Spread Set at line IND -4.5 · model MIL -2.2
    67%win chance 50%market
    +16.9 pts
  9. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    PHX @ OKC PHX +10.5 Spread Set at line OKC -10.5 · model OKC -4.0
    67%win chance 50%market
    +16.7 pts
  10. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    DAL @ PHI PHI +4.5 Spread Set at line DAL -4.5 · model PHI -2.8 · before kickoff
    75%win chance 51%market
    +24.3 pts
  11. NBA 8:30 PM ET
    ATL @ HOU ATL +4.5 Spread Set at line HOU -4.5 · model HOU -1.0
    59%win chance 49%market
    +10.3 pts
  12. NHL 8:30 PM ET
    TOR @ CGY CGY +114 Moneyline Set at line CGY 44.9% · model 51.5% · at the close
    52%win chance 45%market
    +6.7 pts
  13. NBA 9:00 PM ET
    MEM @ UTA MEM -1.5 Spread Set at line MEM -1.5 · model MEM -2.9
    54%win chance 48%market
    +5.9 pts
  14. NHL 9:30 PM ET
    DET @ EDM DET +150 Moneyline Set at line DET 38.4% · model 51.6% · at the close
    52%win chance 38%market
    +13.2 pts
  15. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    GSW @ DEN GSW +7.5 Spread Set at line DEN -7.5 · model DEN -6.9
    52%win chance 50%market
    +2.0 pts
  16. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Kenin @ Quevedo Quevedo -128 Moneyline Set at line Quevedo 53.0% · model 63.5%
    63%win chance 53%market
    +10.4 pts
  17. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Teichmann @ Waltert Teichmann -101 Moneyline Set at line Teichmann 47.3% · model 53.9%
    54%win chance 47%market
    +6.6 pts
  18. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Sakkari @ Putintseva Putintseva +142 Moneyline Set at line Putintseva 39.4% · model 40.7%
    41%win chance 39%market
    +1.4 pts
  19. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Linette @ Zakharova Zakharova -103 Moneyline Set at line Zakharova 48.0% · model 60.1%
    60%win chance 48%market
    +12.1 pts
  20. WTA 11:30 PM ET
    Bucsa @ Parry Bucsa -118 Moneyline Set at line Bucsa 51.6% · model 53.1%
    53%win chance 52%market
    +1.4 pts

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.