All sports · Sunday, October 25

Card for Sun, Oct 25

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
42
Settled
24–17
Units
+3.73
  1. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Basilashvili @ Medvedev Medvedev -435 Moneyline Set at line Medvedev 76.8% · model 81.4%
    81%win chance 77%market
    ✓ Won +0.23 Basilashvili 11, Medvedev 18
  2. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Hanfmann @ Hijikata Hanfmann -172 Moneyline Set at line Hanfmann 59.3% · model 64.0%
    64%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.58 Hanfmann 13, Hijikata 13
  3. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Fearnley @ Sonego Sonego +119 Moneyline Set at line Sonego 42.8% · model 43.4%
    43%win chance 43%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fearnley 18, Sonego 12
  4. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Droguet @ Neumayer Droguet -278 Moneyline Set at line Droguet 69.1% · model 71.0%
    71%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Droguet 9, Neumayer 13
  5. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Altmaier @ Cerundolo Cerundolo -108 Moneyline Set at line Cerundolo 48.5% · model 53.0%
    53%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 Altmaier 9, Cerundolo 13
  6. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Kovacevic @ Mpetshi Perricard Mpetshi Perricard +117 Moneyline Set at line Mpetshi Perricard 43.1% · model 54.1%
    54%win chance 43%market
    ✓ Won +1.17 Kovacevic 12, Mpetshi Perricard 14
  7. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Fritz @ Musetti Musetti +160 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 36.4% · model 36.6%
    37%win chance 36%market
    ✓ Won +1.60 Fritz 7, Musetti 12
  8. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Machac @ Marozsan Marozsan +204 Moneyline Set at line Marozsan 30.7% · model 52.9%
    53%win chance 31%market
    No action
  9. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Molcan @ Mannarino Molcan -152 Moneyline Set at line Molcan 55.6% · model 59.3%
    59%win chance 56%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Molcan 7, Mannarino 13
  10. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Bertola @ Brunold Brunold -161 Moneyline Set at line Brunold 57.7% · model 59.4%
    59%win chance 58%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bertola 13, Brunold 10
  11. ATP 11:30 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Struff Griekspoor -127 Moneyline Set at line Griekspoor 52.8% · model 54.9%
    55%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.79 Griekspoor 16, Struff 13

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.