The Forecast Card

All sports · Sunday, October 25

Card for Sun, Oct 25

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
42
Settled
24–17
Units
+3.73
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NFL 9:30 AM ET
    PIT @ NO NO +3.0 Spread Set at line PIT -3.0 · model PIT -2.6 · before kickoff
    52%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PIT 16, NO 10
  2. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CIN @ BAL BAL +3.0 Spread Set at line CIN -3.0 · model BAL -2.7 · before kickoff
    70%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CIN 35, BAL 13
  3. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CLE @ TEN TEN +2.5 Spread Set at line CLE -2.5 · model CLE -1.4 · before kickoff
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 27, TEN 24
  4. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    IND @ MIN IND +6.5 Spread Set at line MIN -6.5 · model MIN -4.2 · before kickoff
    59%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +1.00 IND 10, MIN 16
  5. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    MIA @ NYJ NYJ -3.5 Spread Set at line NYJ -3.5 · model NYJ -4.6 · before kickoff
    54%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIA 28, NYJ 25
  6. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    NYG @ HOU NYG +10.0 Spread Set at line HOU -10.0 · model HOU -7.9 · before kickoff
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 NYG 27, HOU 21
  7. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    SF @ ATL SF -2.5 Spread Set at line SF -2.5 · model SF -5.4 · before kickoff
    61%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SF 20, ATL 29
  8. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    TB @ CAR TB +3.0 Spread Set at line CAR -3.0 · model CAR -2.7 · before kickoff
    51%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 TB 43, CAR 13
  9. NFL 4:05 PM ET
    DEN @ ARI DEN -4.5 Spread Set at line DEN -4.5 · model DEN -6.2 · before kickoff
    56%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 DEN 30, ARI 16
  10. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    GB @ DET GB +3.5 Spread Set at line DET -3.5 · model DET -2.8 · before kickoff
    53%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 GB 17, DET 20
  11. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    LA @ LV LV +3.5 Spread Set at line LA -3.5 · model LA -2.1 · before kickoff
    55%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LA 35, LV 21
  12. NFL 8:20 PM ET
    KC @ SEA SEA -3.0 Spread Set at line SEA -3.0 · model SEA -3.4 · before kickoff
    52%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.98 KC 3, SEA 20

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.