The Forecast Card

All sports · Sunday, October 25

Card for Sun, Oct 25

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
42
Settled
24–17
Units
+3.73
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Putintseva @ Ishii Putintseva -1250 Moneyline Set at line Putintseva 87.0% · model 95.3%
    95%win chance 87%market
    ✓ Won +0.08 Putintseva 16, Ishii 11
  2. WTA 1:00 AM ET
    Garland @ Prozorova Prozorova -156 Moneyline Set at line Prozorova 56.9% · model 70.7%
    71%win chance 57%market
    ✓ Won +0.64 Garland 13, Prozorova 15
  3. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Zhang @ Valentova Valentova -227 Moneyline Set at line Valentova 65.0% · model 69.9%
    70%win chance 65%market
    ✓ Won +0.44 Zhang 7, Valentova 13
  4. WTA 2:30 AM ET
    Yamaguchi @ Dart Yamaguchi +395 Moneyline Set at line Yamaguchi 19.0% · model 29.1%
    29%win chance 19%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Yamaguchi 3, Dart 12
  5. WTA 2:30 AM ET
    Kostovic @ Zakharova Zakharova -161 Moneyline Set at line Zakharova 57.6% · model 64.8%
    65%win chance 58%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kostovic 12, Zakharova 5
  6. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Basilashvili @ Medvedev Medvedev -435 Moneyline Set at line Medvedev 76.8% · model 81.4%
    81%win chance 77%market
    ✓ Won +0.23 Basilashvili 11, Medvedev 18
  7. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Hanfmann @ Hijikata Hanfmann -172 Moneyline Set at line Hanfmann 59.3% · model 64.0%
    64%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.58 Hanfmann 13, Hijikata 13
  8. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Fearnley @ Sonego Sonego +119 Moneyline Set at line Sonego 42.8% · model 43.4%
    43%win chance 43%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fearnley 18, Sonego 12
  9. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Droguet @ Neumayer Droguet -278 Moneyline Set at line Droguet 69.1% · model 71.0%
    71%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Droguet 9, Neumayer 13
  10. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Altmaier @ Cerundolo Cerundolo -108 Moneyline Set at line Cerundolo 48.5% · model 53.0%
    53%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 Altmaier 9, Cerundolo 13
  11. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Kovacevic @ Mpetshi Perricard Mpetshi Perricard +117 Moneyline Set at line Mpetshi Perricard 43.1% · model 54.1%
    54%win chance 43%market
    ✓ Won +1.17 Kovacevic 12, Mpetshi Perricard 14
  12. NFL 9:30 AM ET
    PIT @ NO NO +3.0 Spread Set at line PIT -3.0 · model PIT -2.6 · before kickoff
    52%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PIT 16, NO 10
  13. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Fritz @ Musetti Musetti +160 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 36.4% · model 36.6%
    37%win chance 36%market
    ✓ Won +1.60 Fritz 7, Musetti 12
  14. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Machac @ Marozsan Marozsan +204 Moneyline Set at line Marozsan 30.7% · model 52.9%
    53%win chance 31%market
    No action
  15. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Molcan @ Mannarino Molcan -152 Moneyline Set at line Molcan 55.6% · model 59.3%
    59%win chance 56%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Molcan 7, Mannarino 13
  16. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Bertola @ Brunold Brunold -161 Moneyline Set at line Brunold 57.7% · model 59.4%
    59%win chance 58%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bertola 13, Brunold 10
  17. ATP 11:30 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Struff Griekspoor -127 Moneyline Set at line Griekspoor 52.8% · model 54.9%
    55%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.79 Griekspoor 16, Struff 13
  18. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CIN @ BAL BAL +3.0 Spread Set at line CIN -3.0 · model BAL -2.7 · before kickoff
    70%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CIN 35, BAL 13
  19. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CLE @ TEN TEN +2.5 Spread Set at line CLE -2.5 · model CLE -1.4 · before kickoff
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 27, TEN 24
  20. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    IND @ MIN IND +6.5 Spread Set at line MIN -6.5 · model MIN -4.2 · before kickoff
    59%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +1.00 IND 10, MIN 16
  21. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    MIA @ NYJ NYJ -3.5 Spread Set at line NYJ -3.5 · model NYJ -4.6 · before kickoff
    54%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIA 28, NYJ 25
  22. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    NYG @ HOU NYG +10.0 Spread Set at line HOU -10.0 · model HOU -7.9 · before kickoff
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 NYG 27, HOU 21
  23. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    SF @ ATL SF -2.5 Spread Set at line SF -2.5 · model SF -5.4 · before kickoff
    61%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SF 20, ATL 29
  24. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    TB @ CAR TB +3.0 Spread Set at line CAR -3.0 · model CAR -2.7 · before kickoff
    51%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 TB 43, CAR 13
  25. NHL 3:00 PM ET
    FLA @ CHI CHI +164 Moneyline Set at line CHI 36.3% · model 42.9% · at the close
    43%win chance 36%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 FLA 3, CHI 2
  26. NFL 4:05 PM ET
    DEN @ ARI DEN -4.5 Spread Set at line DEN -4.5 · model DEN -6.2 · before kickoff
    56%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 DEN 30, ARI 16
  27. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    GB @ DET GB +3.5 Spread Set at line DET -3.5 · model DET -2.8 · before kickoff
    53%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 GB 17, DET 20
  28. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    LA @ LV LV +3.5 Spread Set at line LA -3.5 · model LA -2.1 · before kickoff
    55%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LA 35, LV 21
  29. NBA 5:00 PM ET
    LAL @ UTA UTA +6.5 Spread Set at line LAL -6.5 · model LAL -4.3
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LAL 132, UTA 123
  30. NBA 6:00 PM ET
    IND @ BKN BKN +6.5 Spread Set at line IND -6.5 · model IND -0.5
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 IND 136, BKN 109
  31. NHL 6:00 PM ET
    NYI @ DAL DAL -185 Moneyline Set at line DAL 62.2% · model 66.3% · at the close
    66%win chance 62%market
    ✓ Won +0.54 NYI 3, DAL 6
  32. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    ORL @ NYK ORL +7.5 Spread Set at line NYK -7.5 · model NYK -4.2
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 ORL 111, NYK 102
  33. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ MIN MIN -1.5 Spread Set at line MIN -1.5 · model MIN -1.7
    51%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 TOR 94, MIN 117
  34. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    LAC @ OKC LAC +15.5 Spread Set at line OKC -15.5 · model OKC -5.0
    76%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 LAC 101, OKC 108
  35. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    MTL @ WPG MTL -118 Moneyline Set at line MTL 51.7% · model 55.7% · at the close
    56%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 MTL 2, WPG 1
  36. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    DET @ PHI DET -1.5 Spread Set at line DET -1.5 · model DET -4.8
    59%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 DET 106, PHI 93
  37. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    COL @ NSH NSH +195 Moneyline Set at line NSH 32.5% · model 39.2% · at the close
    39%win chance 32%market
    ✓ Won +1.95 COL 2, NSH 6
  38. NFL 8:20 PM ET
    KC @ SEA SEA -3.0 Spread Set at line SEA -3.0 · model SEA -3.4 · before kickoff
    52%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.98 KC 3, SEA 20
  39. NBA 9:00 PM ET
    MEM @ SAC SAC +3.5 Spread Set at line MEM -3.5 · model MEM -3.2
    51%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MEM 123, SAC 112
  40. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    MIN @ VAN MIN -205 Moneyline Set at line MIN 64.5% · model 66.4% · at the close
    66%win chance 64%market
    ✓ Won +0.49 MIN 4, VAN 2
  41. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Kraus @ Udvardy Udvardy +159 Moneyline Set at line Udvardy 36.5% · model 50.0%
    50%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kraus 12, Udvardy 6
  42. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Gibson @ Kasatkina Gibson +109 Moneyline Set at line Gibson 45.3% · model 63.0%
    63%win chance 45%market
    ✓ Won +1.09 Gibson 13, Kasatkina 5

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.