The Forecast Card

All sports · Saturday, October 24

Card for Sat, Oct 24

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
77
Settled
38–38
Units
-4.74
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    LSU @ AUB LSU -6.5 Spread Set at line LSU -6.5 · model LSU -6.6
    50%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 LSU 38, AUB 17
  2. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    TTU @ CIN CIN +11.5 Spread Set at line TTU -11.5 · model TTU -6.1
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 TTU 24, CIN 37
  3. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    WVU @ TCU TCU -6.5 Spread Set at line TCU -6.5 · model TCU -18.3
    78%win chance 53%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 WVU 24, TCU 20
  4. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    CAL @ SMU SMU -17.5 Spread Set at line SMU -17.5 · model SMU -20.3
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 CAL 20, SMU 59
  5. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    PITT @ MIA PITT +23.5 Spread Set at line MIA -23.5 · model MIA -19.4
    61%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PITT 23, MIA 52
  6. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    IU @ MICH MICH +8.5 Spread Set at line IU -8.5 · model IU -7.0
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 IU 13, MICH 6
  7. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    RUTG @ NU RUTG +16.5 Spread Set at line NU -16.5 · model NU -14.9
    54%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 RUTG 14, NU 42
  8. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    RICE @ FAU RICE +10.0 Spread Set at line FAU -10.0 · model FAU -7.4
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 RICE 49, FAU 51
  9. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    WMU @ TOL TOL -3.0 Spread Set at line TOL -3.0 · model TOL -10.4
    69%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 WMU 38, TOL 45
  10. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    BAY @ KU KU +2.5 Spread Set at line BAY -2.5 · model KU -6.8
    73%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 BAY 24, KU 25
  11. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    AKR @ KENT AKR +3.0 Spread Set at line KENT -3.0 · model KENT -2.8
    50%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 AKR 20, KENT 35
  12. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    M-OH @ CMU CMU +2.5 Spread Set at line M-OH -2.5 · model CMU -1.7
    61%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 M-OH 28, CMU 27
  13. CFB 3:00 PM ET
    ORE @ ILL ILL +11.5 Spread Set at line ORE -11.5 · model ORE -9.2
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 ORE 10, ILL 21
  14. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TA&M @ ALA ALA -15.5 Spread Set at line ALA -15.5 · model ALA -19.1
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TA&M 20, ALA 31
  15. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    OU @ MSST OU -2.5 Spread Set at line OU -2.5 · model OU -5.1
    57%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 OU 23, MSST 15
  16. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TENN @ SC TENN -1.5 Spread Set at line TENN -1.5 · model TENN -2.1
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TENN 24, SC 27
  17. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BYU @ UCF BYU -7.5 Spread Set at line BYU -7.5 · model BYU -13.0
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BYU 31, UCF 39
  18. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BC @ GT GT -4.5 Spread Set at line GT -4.5 · model GT -5.7
    53%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BC 49, GT 27
  19. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    IOWA @ MINN IOWA -4.5 Spread Set at line IOWA -4.5 · model IOWA -13.1
    72%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 IOWA 10, MINN 13
  20. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    MSU @ UCLA UCLA -13.5 Spread Set at line UCLA -13.5 · model UCLA -18.1
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 MSU 10, UCLA 28
  21. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    UNT @ NAVY NAVY +1.5 Spread Set at line UNT -1.5 · model NAVY -3.3
    62%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UNT 49, NAVY 39
  22. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    HAW @ NIU HAW -4.5 Spread Set at line HAW -4.5 · model HAW -8.4
    60%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 HAW 56, NIU 21
  23. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BGSU @ BUF BUF -3.5 Spread Set at line BUF -3.5 · model BUF -4.3
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 BGSU 24, BUF 31
  24. CFB 3:45 PM ET
    KSU @ ASU KSU -3.5 Spread Set at line KSU -3.5 · model KSU -8.7
    63%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 KSU 17, ASU 28
  25. CFB 4:00 PM ET
    EMU @ OHIO OHIO -11.5 Spread Set at line OHIO -11.5 · model OHIO -18.7
    68%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EMU 20, OHIO 24
  26. CFB 4:00 PM ET
    ULM @ TROY ULM +16.5 Spread Set at line TROY -16.5 · model TROY -13.9
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 ULM 21, TROY 14
  27. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    SJSU @ NEV SJSU +5.5 Spread Set at line NEV -5.5 · model NEV -3.9
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SJSU 13, NEV 28
  28. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    UL @ USM UL -10.0 Spread Set at line UL -10.0 · model UL -10.0
    50%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UL 31, USM 35
  29. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    ODU @ LT ODU +11.5 Spread Set at line LT -11.5 · model LT -4.4
    68%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ODU 0, LT 26
  30. CFB 6:00 PM ET
    BOIS @ WSU WSU +13.5 Spread Set at line BOIS -13.5 · model BOIS -12.6
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BOIS 31, WSU 10
  31. CFB 6:30 PM ET
    SDSU @ CSU CSU +3.5 Spread Set at line SDSU -3.5 · model SDSU -0.3
    58%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 SDSU 49, CSU 56
  32. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    COLO @ OKST COLO +13.5 Spread Set at line OKST -13.5 · model OKST -2.1
    77%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 COLO 24, OKST 57
  33. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    VT @ CLEM CLEM +1.5 Spread Set at line VT -1.5 · model CLEM -3.9
    64%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 VT 20, CLEM 16
  34. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    GAST @ ARST GAST -2.5 Spread Set at line GAST -2.5 · model GAST -5.6
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 GAST 32, ARST 38
  35. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    VAN @ UK VAN +9.5 Spread Set at line UK -9.5 · model UK -9.1
    51%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 VAN 17, UK 34
  36. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    MISS @ TEX MISS +6.5 Spread Set at line TEX -6.5 · model TEX -4.9
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MISS 27, TEX 34
  37. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ISU @ ARIZ ARIZ -10.0 Spread Set at line ARIZ -10.0 · model ARIZ -12.3
    56%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 ISU 3, ARIZ 39
  38. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    SYR @ UNC UNC -9.5 Spread Set at line UNC -9.5 · model UNC -11.0
    54%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SYR 31, UNC 30
  39. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USC @ WIS WIS +1.5 Spread Set at line USC -1.5 · model WIS -1.3
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 USC 7, WIS 24
  40. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USU @ TXST TXST -8.5 Spread Set at line TXST -8.5 · model TXST -13.0
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 USU 17, TXST 20
  41. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    UTSA @ TULN UTSA -2.5 Spread Set at line UTSA -2.5 · model UTSA -3.1
    51%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 UTSA 42, TULN 19
  42. CFB 10:15 PM ET
    HOU @ UTAH UTAH -6.5 Spread Set at line UTAH -6.5 · model UTAH -17.5
    77%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 HOU 13, UTAH 21

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.