All sports · Saturday, October 24

Card for Sat, Oct 24

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
77
Settled
38–38
Units
-4.74
  1. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Tsitsipas @ Basilashvili Tsitsipas -270 Moneyline Set at line Tsitsipas 68.8% · model 70.1%
    70%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tsitsipas 14, Basilashvili 18
  2. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Fritz @ Paul Paul +160 Moneyline Set at line Paul 36.3% · model 39.1%
    39%win chance 36%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fritz 13, Paul 8
  3. ATP 9:00 AM ET
    Bublik @ Medvedev Medvedev -213 Moneyline Set at line Medvedev 64.2% · model 65.9%
    66%win chance 64%market
    No action Bublik 3, Medvedev 6
  4. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Musetti @ Cobolli Musetti -109 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 49.3% · model 66.3%
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.92 Musetti 17, Cobolli 13
  5. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Cerundolo Cerundolo -169 Moneyline Set at line Cerundolo 59.3% · model 66.0%
    66%win chance 59%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Griekspoor 15, Cerundolo 15
  6. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Struff @ Fils Fils -526 Moneyline Set at line Fils 79.3% · model 85.3%
    85%win chance 79%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Struff 19, Fils 17
  7. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Mannarino @ Tirante Tirante -175 Moneyline Set at line Tirante 59.6% · model 65.2%
    65%win chance 60%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Mannarino 13, Tirante 10

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.