The Forecast Card

All sports · Saturday, October 24

Card for Sat, Oct 24

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
77
Settled
38–38
Units
-4.74
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Siniakova @ Boulter Siniakova -179 Moneyline Set at line Siniakova 60.4% · model 68.5%
    68%win chance 60%market
    ✓ Won +0.56 Siniakova 12, Boulter 5
  2. WTA 5:30 AM ET
    Shnaider @ Rybakina Shnaider +158 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 37.0% · model 43.2%
    43%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Shnaider 8, Rybakina 13
  3. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Tsitsipas @ Basilashvili Tsitsipas -270 Moneyline Set at line Tsitsipas 68.8% · model 70.1%
    70%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tsitsipas 14, Basilashvili 18
  4. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Fritz @ Paul Paul +160 Moneyline Set at line Paul 36.3% · model 39.1%
    39%win chance 36%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fritz 13, Paul 8
  5. ATP 9:00 AM ET
    Bublik @ Medvedev Medvedev -213 Moneyline Set at line Medvedev 64.2% · model 65.9%
    66%win chance 64%market
    No action Bublik 3, Medvedev 6
  6. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Musetti @ Cobolli Musetti -109 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 49.3% · model 66.3%
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.92 Musetti 17, Cobolli 13
  7. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Cerundolo Cerundolo -169 Moneyline Set at line Cerundolo 59.3% · model 66.0%
    66%win chance 59%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Griekspoor 15, Cerundolo 15
  8. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    LSU @ AUB LSU -6.5 Spread Set at line LSU -6.5 · model LSU -6.6
    50%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 LSU 38, AUB 17
  9. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    TTU @ CIN CIN +11.5 Spread Set at line TTU -11.5 · model TTU -6.1
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 TTU 24, CIN 37
  10. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    WVU @ TCU TCU -6.5 Spread Set at line TCU -6.5 · model TCU -18.3
    78%win chance 53%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 WVU 24, TCU 20
  11. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    CAL @ SMU SMU -17.5 Spread Set at line SMU -17.5 · model SMU -20.3
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 CAL 20, SMU 59
  12. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    PITT @ MIA PITT +23.5 Spread Set at line MIA -23.5 · model MIA -19.4
    61%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PITT 23, MIA 52
  13. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    IU @ MICH MICH +8.5 Spread Set at line IU -8.5 · model IU -7.0
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 IU 13, MICH 6
  14. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    RUTG @ NU RUTG +16.5 Spread Set at line NU -16.5 · model NU -14.9
    54%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 RUTG 14, NU 42
  15. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    RICE @ FAU RICE +10.0 Spread Set at line FAU -10.0 · model FAU -7.4
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 RICE 49, FAU 51
  16. CFB 12:00 PM ET
    WMU @ TOL TOL -3.0 Spread Set at line TOL -3.0 · model TOL -10.4
    69%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 WMU 38, TOL 45
  17. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Struff @ Fils Fils -526 Moneyline Set at line Fils 79.3% · model 85.3%
    85%win chance 79%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Struff 19, Fils 17
  18. ATP 12:30 PM ET
    Mannarino @ Tirante Tirante -175 Moneyline Set at line Tirante 59.6% · model 65.2%
    65%win chance 60%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Mannarino 13, Tirante 10
  19. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    BAY @ KU KU +2.5 Spread Set at line BAY -2.5 · model KU -6.8
    73%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 BAY 24, KU 25
  20. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    AKR @ KENT AKR +3.0 Spread Set at line KENT -3.0 · model KENT -2.8
    50%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 AKR 20, KENT 35
  21. CFB 1:00 PM ET
    M-OH @ CMU CMU +2.5 Spread Set at line M-OH -2.5 · model CMU -1.7
    61%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 M-OH 28, CMU 27
  22. NHL 1:00 PM ET
    ANA @ PHI PHI -122 Moneyline Set at line PHI 52.6% · model 53.2% · at the close
    53%win chance 53%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ANA 5, PHI 4
  23. CFB 3:00 PM ET
    ORE @ ILL ILL +11.5 Spread Set at line ORE -11.5 · model ORE -9.2
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 ORE 10, ILL 21
  24. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TA&M @ ALA ALA -15.5 Spread Set at line ALA -15.5 · model ALA -19.1
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TA&M 20, ALA 31
  25. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    OU @ MSST OU -2.5 Spread Set at line OU -2.5 · model OU -5.1
    57%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 OU 23, MSST 15
  26. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    TENN @ SC TENN -1.5 Spread Set at line TENN -1.5 · model TENN -2.1
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TENN 24, SC 27
  27. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BYU @ UCF BYU -7.5 Spread Set at line BYU -7.5 · model BYU -13.0
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BYU 31, UCF 39
  28. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BC @ GT GT -4.5 Spread Set at line GT -4.5 · model GT -5.7
    53%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BC 49, GT 27
  29. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    IOWA @ MINN IOWA -4.5 Spread Set at line IOWA -4.5 · model IOWA -13.1
    72%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 IOWA 10, MINN 13
  30. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    MSU @ UCLA UCLA -13.5 Spread Set at line UCLA -13.5 · model UCLA -18.1
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 MSU 10, UCLA 28
  31. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    UNT @ NAVY NAVY +1.5 Spread Set at line UNT -1.5 · model NAVY -3.3
    62%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UNT 49, NAVY 39
  32. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    HAW @ NIU HAW -4.5 Spread Set at line HAW -4.5 · model HAW -8.4
    60%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 HAW 56, NIU 21
  33. CFB 3:30 PM ET
    BGSU @ BUF BUF -3.5 Spread Set at line BUF -3.5 · model BUF -4.3
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 BGSU 24, BUF 31
  34. NHL 3:30 PM ET
    LAK @ NJD LAK +154 Moneyline Set at line LAK 37.8% · model 38.4% · at the close
    38%win chance 38%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LAK 1, NJD 3
  35. CFB 3:45 PM ET
    KSU @ ASU KSU -3.5 Spread Set at line KSU -3.5 · model KSU -8.7
    63%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 KSU 17, ASU 28
  36. CFB 4:00 PM ET
    EMU @ OHIO OHIO -11.5 Spread Set at line OHIO -11.5 · model OHIO -18.7
    68%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EMU 20, OHIO 24
  37. CFB 4:00 PM ET
    ULM @ TROY ULM +16.5 Spread Set at line TROY -16.5 · model TROY -13.9
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 ULM 21, TROY 14
  38. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    SJSU @ NEV SJSU +5.5 Spread Set at line NEV -5.5 · model NEV -3.9
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SJSU 13, NEV 28
  39. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    UL @ USM UL -10.0 Spread Set at line UL -10.0 · model UL -10.0
    50%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UL 31, USM 35
  40. CFB 5:00 PM ET
    ODU @ LT ODU +11.5 Spread Set at line LT -11.5 · model LT -4.4
    68%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ODU 0, LT 26
  41. CFB 6:00 PM ET
    BOIS @ WSU WSU +13.5 Spread Set at line BOIS -13.5 · model BOIS -12.6
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BOIS 31, WSU 10
  42. NBA 6:00 PM ET
    MIA @ CHA CHA +3.5 Spread Set at line MIA -3.5 · model CHA -2.7
    66%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 MIA 110, CHA 115
  43. CFB 6:30 PM ET
    SDSU @ CSU CSU +3.5 Spread Set at line SDSU -3.5 · model SDSU -0.3
    58%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 SDSU 49, CSU 56
  44. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    COLO @ OKST COLO +13.5 Spread Set at line OKST -13.5 · model OKST -2.1
    77%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 COLO 24, OKST 57
  45. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    VT @ CLEM CLEM +1.5 Spread Set at line VT -1.5 · model CLEM -3.9
    64%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 VT 20, CLEM 16
  46. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    GAST @ ARST GAST -2.5 Spread Set at line GAST -2.5 · model GAST -5.6
    58%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 GAST 32, ARST 38
  47. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    SJS @ BOS SJS +160 Moneyline Set at line SJS 36.9% · model 37.6% · at the close
    38%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SJS 4, BOS 6
  48. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NYR @ OTT OTT -125 Moneyline Set at line OTT 53.2% · model 54.9% · at the close
    55%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.80 NYR 4, OTT 7
  49. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NSH @ PIT PIT -125 Moneyline Set at line PIT 53.2% · model 56.4% · at the close
    56%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.80 NSH 2, PIT 3
  50. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    BUF @ WSH WSH -120 Moneyline Set at line WSH 52.2% · model 56.5% · at the close
    56%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.83 BUF 3, WSH 4
  51. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    VGK @ CBJ CBJ +114 Moneyline Set at line CBJ 44.9% · model 45.3% · at the close
    45%win chance 45%market
    ✓ Won +1.14 VGK 1, CBJ 2
  52. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    CAR @ STL CAR -155 Moneyline Set at line CAR 58.3% · model 61.2% · at the close
    61%win chance 58%market
    ✓ Won +0.65 CAR 4, STL 0
  53. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ EDM EDM -148 Moneyline Set at line EDM 57.2% · model 59.6% · at the close
    60%win chance 57%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TOR 7, EDM 2
  54. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    VAN @ UK VAN +9.5 Spread Set at line UK -9.5 · model UK -9.1
    51%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 VAN 17, UK 34
  55. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    MISS @ TEX MISS +6.5 Spread Set at line TEX -6.5 · model TEX -4.9
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MISS 27, TEX 34
  56. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ISU @ ARIZ ARIZ -10.0 Spread Set at line ARIZ -10.0 · model ARIZ -12.3
    56%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 ISU 3, ARIZ 39
  57. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    SYR @ UNC UNC -9.5 Spread Set at line UNC -9.5 · model UNC -11.0
    54%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SYR 31, UNC 30
  58. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USC @ WIS WIS +1.5 Spread Set at line USC -1.5 · model WIS -1.3
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 USC 7, WIS 24
  59. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USU @ TXST TXST -8.5 Spread Set at line TXST -8.5 · model TXST -13.0
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 USU 17, TXST 20
  60. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    BKN @ CLE BKN +11.5 Spread Set at line CLE -11.5 · model CLE -5.8
    65%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 BKN 121, CLE 125
  61. NBA 7:30 PM ET
    MIL @ PHI MIL +12.5 Spread Set at line PHI -12.5 · model PHI -7.0
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.93 MIL 116, PHI 127
  62. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    UTSA @ TULN UTSA -2.5 Spread Set at line UTSA -2.5 · model UTSA -3.1
    51%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 UTSA 42, TULN 19
  63. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    TB @ MIL MIL -120 Moneyline Set at line MIL 52.2% · model 52.8%
    53%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.83 TB 4, MIL 5
  64. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    WAS @ CHI WAS +1.5 Spread Set at line CHI -1.5 · model CHI -0.5
    53%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 WAS 124, CHI 120
  65. NBA 8:00 PM ET
    SAS @ DAL DAL +12.5 Spread Set at line SAS -12.5 · model SAS -0.7
    78%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 SAS 122, DAL 106
  66. NBA 8:30 PM ET
    HOU @ ATL ATL -1.5 Spread Set at line ATL -1.5 · model ATL -3.1
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 HOU 121, ATL 114
  67. WTA 8:30 PM ET
    Rakhimova @ Sasnovich Rakhimova +101 Moneyline Set at line Rakhimova 46.6% · model 48.9%
    49%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Rakhimova 8, Sasnovich 12
  68. WTA 8:30 PM ET
    Parks @ Watson Parks -130 Moneyline Set at line Parks 52.9% · model 55.1%
    55%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.77 Parks 12, Watson 3
  69. NBA 9:00 PM ET
    NOP @ DEN NOP +11.5 Spread Set at line DEN -11.5 · model DEN -5.7
    65%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 NOP 135, DEN 141
  70. NBA 10:00 PM ET
    GSW @ PHX GSW +9.5 Spread Set at line PHX -9.5 · model PHX -3.0
    67%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.89 GSW 122, PHX 131
  71. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    DET @ CGY CGY +110 Moneyline Set at line CGY 45.7% · model 47.5% · at the close
    48%win chance 46%market
    ✓ Won +1.10 DET 1, CGY 4
  72. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    MIN @ SEA MIN -175 Moneyline Set at line MIN 60.9% · model 66.1% · at the close
    66%win chance 61%market
    ✓ Won +0.57 MIN 5, SEA 1
  73. WTA 10:00 PM ET
    Joint @ Hontama Joint -345 Moneyline Set at line Joint 72.9% · model 74.8%
    75%win chance 73%market
    ✓ Won +0.29 Joint 13, Hontama 8
  74. CFB 10:15 PM ET
    HOU @ UTAH UTAH -6.5 Spread Set at line UTAH -6.5 · model UTAH -17.5
    77%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 HOU 13, UTAH 21
  75. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Iatcenko @ Ibragimova Ibragimova +149 Moneyline Set at line Ibragimova 37.6% · model 49.6%
    50%win chance 38%market
    ✓ Won +1.49 Iatcenko 6, Ibragimova 12
  76. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Pridankina @ Lee Pridankina -104 Moneyline Set at line Pridankina 47.7% · model 48.2%
    48%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Pridankina 6, Lee 12
  77. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Kasatkina @ Birrell Birrell -127 Moneyline Set at line Birrell 52.2% · model 62.2%
    62%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kasatkina 12, Birrell 7

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.