Card for Sat, Oct 24

Bets

77

Settled

38–38

Units

-4.74

1. NBA 6:00 PM ET
   MIA @ CHA CHA +3.5 Spread Set at line MIA -3.5 · model CHA -2.7
   66%win chance 51%market
   ✓ Won +0.87 MIA 110, CHA 115
2. NBA 7:30 PM ET
   BKN @ CLE BKN +11.5 Spread Set at line CLE -11.5 · model CLE -5.8
   65%win chance 50%market
   ✓ Won +0.89 BKN 121, CLE 125
3. NBA 7:30 PM ET
   MIL @ PHI MIL +12.5 Spread Set at line PHI -12.5 · model PHI -7.0
   64%win chance 50%market
   ✓ Won +0.93 MIL 116, PHI 127
4. NBA 8:00 PM ET
   WAS @ CHI WAS +1.5 Spread Set at line CHI -1.5 · model CHI -0.5
   53%win chance 51%market
   ✓ Won +0.87 WAS 124, CHI 120
5. NBA 8:00 PM ET
   SAS @ DAL DAL +12.5 Spread Set at line SAS -12.5 · model SAS -0.7
   78%win chance 50%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 SAS 122, DAL 106
6. NBA 8:30 PM ET
   HOU @ ATL ATL -1.5 Spread Set at line ATL -1.5 · model ATL -3.1
   54%win chance 50%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 HOU 121, ATL 114
7. NBA 9:00 PM ET
   NOP @ DEN NOP +11.5 Spread Set at line DEN -11.5 · model DEN -5.7
   65%win chance 51%market
   ✓ Won +0.87 NOP 135, DEN 141
8. NBA 10:00 PM ET
   GSW @ PHX GSW +9.5 Spread Set at line PHX -9.5 · model PHX -3.0
   67%win chance 50%market
   ✓ Won +0.89 GSW 122, PHX 131

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.