Card for Fri, Oct 23

Bets

37

Settled

21–16

Units

-0.87

1. ATP 2:30 AM ET
   Mannarino @ Basilashvili Basilashvili -139 Moneyline Set at line Basilashvili 55.0% · model 57.4%
   57%win chance 55%market
   ✓ Won +0.72 Mannarino 4, Basilashvili 12
2. ATP 4:00 AM ET
   Duckworth @ Tsitsipas Duckworth +328 Moneyline Set at line Duckworth 22.0% · model 25.5%
   26%win chance 22%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Duckworth 7, Tsitsipas 12
3. ATP 5:30 AM ET
   Atmane @ Medvedev Atmane +429 Moneyline Set at line Atmane 17.9% · model 18.7%
   19%win chance 18%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Atmane 8, Medvedev 12
4. ATP 8:00 AM ET
   Cerundolo @ Chidekh Cerundolo -179 Moneyline Set at line Cerundolo 60.4% · model 67.1%
   67%win chance 60%market
   ✓ Won +0.56 Cerundolo 12, Chidekh 6
5. ATP 8:00 AM ET
   Paul @ Moutet Moutet +271 Moneyline Set at line Moutet 25.5% · model 31.0%
   31%win chance 26%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Paul 15, Moutet 13
6. ATP 9:30 AM ET
   Fritz @ Altmaier Fritz -370 Moneyline Set at line Fritz 74.3% · model 86.3%
   86%win chance 74%market
   ✓ Won +0.27 Fritz 13, Altmaier 8
7. ATP 10:00 AM ET
   Lehecka @ Griekspoor Lehecka -286 Moneyline Set at line Lehecka 69.9% · model 75.0%
   75%win chance 70%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Lehecka 13, Griekspoor 16
8. ATP 10:30 AM ET
   Khachanov @ Bublik Khachanov +106 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 46.0% · model 55.2%
   55%win chance 46%market
   ✗ Lost -1.00 Khachanov 18, Bublik 18
9. ATP 12:30 PM ET
   Michelsen @ Fils Fils -192 Moneyline Set at line Fils 61.9% · model 63.1%
   63%win chance 62%market
   ✓ Won +0.52 Michelsen 10, Fils 13
10. ATP 1:00 PM ET
    Nakashima @ Cobolli Nakashima -196 Moneyline Set at line Nakashima 62.5% · model 69.3%
    69%win chance 63%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Nakashima 14, Cobolli 16
11. ATP 2:00 PM ET
    Bergs @ Struff Bergs -222 Moneyline Set at line Bergs 65.1% · model 67.3%
    67%win chance 65%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bergs 9, Struff 13
12. ATP 2:30 PM ET
    Musetti @ Van Assche Musetti -238 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 66.4% · model 72.8%
    73%win chance 66%market
    ✓ Won +0.42 Musetti 19, Van Assche 17

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.