The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 22

Card for Thu, Oct 22

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
17–16
Units
-6.44
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    CLE @ PHI CLE +3.5 Spread Set at line PHI -3.5 · model PHI -1.3
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 106, PHI 114
  2. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    DEN @ OKC DEN +8.5 Spread Set at line OKC -8.5 · model OKC -4.6
    60%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DEN 84, OKC 96

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.