The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 22

Card for Thu, Oct 22

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
17–16
Units
-6.44
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    JMU @ APP JMU -10.5 Spread Set at line JMU -10.5 · model JMU -16.9
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 JMU 31, APP 34
  2. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    LIB @ KENN LIB -8.5 Spread Set at line LIB -8.5 · model LIB -14.2
    65%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 LIB 34, KENN 6
  3. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ECU @ MEM ECU +9.5 Spread Set at line MEM -9.5 · model MEM -8.8
    52%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 ECU 34, MEM 41

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.