All sports · Wednesday, October 21

Card for Wed, Oct 21

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
23
Settled
8–13
Units
-4.45
  1. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Etcheverry @ Bellucci Etcheverry -101 Moneyline Set at line Etcheverry 47.3% · model 52.8%
    53%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Etcheverry 16, Bellucci 15
  2. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Darderi @ Duckworth Darderi -120 Moneyline Set at line Darderi 51.6% · model 60.3%
    60%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Darderi 11, Duckworth 14
  3. ATP 4:00 AM ET
    Basilashvili @ Diaz Acosta Diaz Acosta +174 Moneyline Set at line Diaz Acosta 34.5% · model 52.5%
    53%win chance 34%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Basilashvili 12, Diaz Acosta 6
  4. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Dzumhur @ Prizmic Prizmic -270 Moneyline Set at line Prizmic 69.0% · model 78.4%
    78%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Dzumhur 15, Prizmic 14
  5. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Rublev @ Mannarino Rublev -357 Moneyline Set at line Rublev 73.9% · model 79.6%
    80%win chance 74%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Rublev 13, Mannarino 15
  6. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Navone Navone +132 Moneyline Set at line Navone 40.7% · model 55.6%
    56%win chance 41%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Griekspoor 14, Navone 11
  7. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Landaluce @ Wawrinka Landaluce -179 Moneyline Set at line Landaluce 60.5% · model 64.0%
    64%win chance 61%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Landaluce 16, Wawrinka 19
  8. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Fearnley @ Chidekh Fearnley -123 Moneyline Set at line Fearnley 52.0% · model 58.9%
    59%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fearnley 8, Chidekh 13
  9. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Balshaw @ Moutet Moutet -104 Moneyline Set at line Moutet 48.1% · model 66.0%
    66%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.96 Balshaw 8, Moutet 12
  10. ATP 10:30 AM ET
    Kukushkin @ Tsitsipas Kukushkin +972 Moneyline Set at line Kukushkin 8.8% · model 16.7%
    17%win chance 9%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kukushkin 3, Tsitsipas 12
  11. ATP 12:00 PM ET
    Bertola @ Goffin Goffin +156 Moneyline Set at line Goffin 36.9% · model 55.0%
    55%win chance 37%market
    ✓ Won +1.56 Bertola 13, Goffin 15
  12. ATP 1:00 PM ET
    Musetti @ Kouame Musetti -357 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 73.8% · model 86.1%
    86%win chance 74%market
    ✓ Won +0.28 Musetti 12, Kouame 8
  13. ATP 1:30 PM ET
    Struff @ Onclin Onclin +258 Moneyline Set at line Onclin 26.3% · model 27.5%
    28%win chance 26%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Struff 12, Onclin 6
  14. ATP 2:30 PM ET
    Paul @ Bonzi Paul -312 Moneyline Set at line Paul 71.5% · model 74.5%
    75%win chance 71%market
    ✓ Won +0.32 Paul 18, Bonzi 14

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.