The Forecast Card

All sports · Wednesday, October 21

Card for Wed, Oct 21

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
23
Settled
8–13
Units
-4.45
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    PHI @ BUF PHI +180 Moneyline Set at line PHI 34.3% · model 41.1% · at the close
    41%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.80 PHI 3, BUF 1
  2. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    FLA @ OTT OTT -110 Moneyline Set at line OTT 50.0% · model 62.0% · at the close
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 FLA 1, OTT 5

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.