The Forecast Card

All sports · Wednesday, October 21

Card for Wed, Oct 21

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
23
Settled
8–13
Units
-4.45
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Tagger @ Valentova Valentova -104 Moneyline Set at line Valentova 48.3% · model 52.6%
    53%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tagger 13, Valentova 8
  2. WTA 1:00 AM ET
    Zakharova @ Bouzkova Zakharova +340 Moneyline Set at line Zakharova 21.7% · model 28.2%
    28%win chance 22%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Zakharova 7, Bouzkova 13
  3. WTA 1:30 AM ET
    Golubic @ Boulter Golubic -110 Moneyline Set at line Golubic 49.6% · model 55.4%
    55%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Golubic 3, Boulter 12
  4. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Etcheverry @ Bellucci Etcheverry -101 Moneyline Set at line Etcheverry 47.3% · model 52.8%
    53%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Etcheverry 16, Bellucci 15
  5. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Darderi @ Duckworth Darderi -120 Moneyline Set at line Darderi 51.6% · model 60.3%
    60%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Darderi 11, Duckworth 14
  6. ATP 4:00 AM ET
    Basilashvili @ Diaz Acosta Diaz Acosta +174 Moneyline Set at line Diaz Acosta 34.5% · model 52.5%
    53%win chance 34%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Basilashvili 12, Diaz Acosta 6
  7. WTA 4:00 AM ET
    Bejlek @ Cirstea Bejlek +190 Moneyline Set at line Bejlek 32.9% · model 36.5%
    36%win chance 33%market
    ✓ Won +1.90 Bejlek 13, Cirstea 10
  8. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Dzumhur @ Prizmic Prizmic -270 Moneyline Set at line Prizmic 69.0% · model 78.4%
    78%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Dzumhur 15, Prizmic 14
  9. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Rublev @ Mannarino Rublev -357 Moneyline Set at line Rublev 73.9% · model 79.6%
    80%win chance 74%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Rublev 13, Mannarino 15
  10. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Griekspoor @ Navone Navone +132 Moneyline Set at line Navone 40.7% · model 55.6%
    56%win chance 41%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Griekspoor 14, Navone 11
  11. WTA 7:00 AM ET
    Kostyuk @ Alexandrova Kostyuk -154 Moneyline Set at line Kostyuk 57.8% · model 68.0%
    68%win chance 58%market
    No action Kostyuk 4, Alexandrova 6
  12. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Landaluce @ Wawrinka Landaluce -179 Moneyline Set at line Landaluce 60.5% · model 64.0%
    64%win chance 61%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Landaluce 16, Wawrinka 19
  13. ATP 8:30 AM ET
    Fearnley @ Chidekh Fearnley -123 Moneyline Set at line Fearnley 52.0% · model 58.9%
    59%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Fearnley 8, Chidekh 13
  14. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Balshaw @ Moutet Moutet -104 Moneyline Set at line Moutet 48.1% · model 66.0%
    66%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.96 Balshaw 8, Moutet 12
  15. ATP 10:30 AM ET
    Kukushkin @ Tsitsipas Kukushkin +972 Moneyline Set at line Kukushkin 8.8% · model 16.7%
    17%win chance 9%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kukushkin 3, Tsitsipas 12
  16. ATP 12:00 PM ET
    Bertola @ Goffin Goffin +156 Moneyline Set at line Goffin 36.9% · model 55.0%
    55%win chance 37%market
    ✓ Won +1.56 Bertola 13, Goffin 15
  17. ATP 1:00 PM ET
    Musetti @ Kouame Musetti -357 Moneyline Set at line Musetti 73.8% · model 86.1%
    86%win chance 74%market
    ✓ Won +0.28 Musetti 12, Kouame 8
  18. ATP 1:30 PM ET
    Struff @ Onclin Onclin +258 Moneyline Set at line Onclin 26.3% · model 27.5%
    28%win chance 26%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Struff 12, Onclin 6
  19. ATP 2:30 PM ET
    Paul @ Bonzi Paul -312 Moneyline Set at line Paul 71.5% · model 74.5%
    75%win chance 71%market
    ✓ Won +0.32 Paul 18, Bonzi 14
  20. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    PHI @ BUF PHI +180 Moneyline Set at line PHI 34.3% · model 41.1% · at the close
    41%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.80 PHI 3, BUF 1
  21. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    FLA @ OTT OTT -110 Moneyline Set at line OTT 50.0% · model 62.0% · at the close
    62%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 FLA 1, OTT 5
  22. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    NMSU @ SHSU NMSU -2.5 Spread Set at line NMSU -2.5 · model NMSU -6.6
    61%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.82 NMSU 30, SHSU 24
  23. WTA 10:30 PM ET
    Day @ Ruzic Day -111 Moneyline Set at line Day 49.7% · model 62.1%
    62%win chance 50%market
    No action Day 4, Ruzic 6

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.