The Forecast Card

All sports · Wednesday, October 21

Card for Wed, Oct 21

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
23
Settled
8–13
Units
-4.45
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    NMSU @ SHSU NMSU -2.5 Spread Set at line NMSU -2.5 · model NMSU -6.6
    61%win chance 52%market
    ✓ Won +0.82 NMSU 30, SHSU 24

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.