The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 20

Card for Tue, Oct 20

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
51
Settled
23–25
Units
-0.90
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    SJS @ MTL SJS +185 Moneyline Set at line SJS 33.6% · model 45.6% · at the close
    46%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.85 SJS 4, MTL 3
  2. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    COL @ NJD COL +100 Moneyline Set at line COL 47.8% · model 50.5% · at the close
    51%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 COL 3, NJD 4
  3. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    ANA @ NYI ANA +130 Moneyline Set at line ANA 41.7% · model 42.6% · at the close
    43%win chance 42%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ANA 2, NYI 3
  4. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    LAK @ WSH LAK +136 Moneyline Set at line LAK 40.7% · model 41.8% · at the close
    42%win chance 41%market
    ✓ Won +1.36 LAK 5, WSH 2
  5. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ CBJ TOR +140 Moneyline Set at line TOR 40.0% · model 40.5% · at the close
    41%win chance 40%market
    ✓ Won +1.40 TOR 6, CBJ 2
  6. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    WPG @ STL STL -135 Moneyline Set at line STL 55.1% · model 55.7% · at the close
    56%win chance 55%market
    ✓ Won +0.74 WPG 1, STL 2
  7. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    BOS @ DAL BOS +142 Moneyline Set at line BOS 39.6% · model 39.9% · at the close
    40%win chance 40%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BOS 2, DAL 3
  8. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    MIN @ EDM MIN +114 Moneyline Set at line MIN 44.9% · model 55.3% · at the close
    55%win chance 45%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIN 3, EDM 4
  9. NHL 9:40 PM ET
    DET @ SEA DET -118 Moneyline Set at line DET 51.7% · model 54.0% · at the close
    54%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DET 3, SEA 4
  10. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    CAR @ VAN CAR -298 Moneyline Set at line CAR 71.8% · model 72.9% · at the close
    73%win chance 72%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 CAR 6, VAN 3
  11. NHL 10:30 PM ET
    TBL @ VGK VGK -110 Moneyline Set at line VGK 50.0% · model 54.2% · at the close
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TBL 6, VGK 2

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.