The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 20

Card for Tue, Oct 20

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
51
Settled
23–25
Units
-0.90
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Ruzic @ Badosa Badosa -294 Moneyline Set at line Badosa 70.5% · model 72.1%
    72%win chance 70%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Ruzic 15, Badosa 13
  2. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Stoiana @ Oliynykova Oliynykova +189 Moneyline Set at line Oliynykova 32.6% · model 49.7%
    50%win chance 33%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Stoiana 12, Oliynykova 5
  3. WTA 1:00 AM ET
    Shnaider @ Putintseva Shnaider -327 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 73.1% · model 79.1%
    79%win chance 73%market
    ✓ Won +0.31 Shnaider 14, Putintseva 11
  4. WTA 1:00 AM ET
    Parks @ Bejlek Parks +390 Moneyline Set at line Parks 19.5% · model 20.2%
    20%win chance 19%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Parks 12, Bejlek 16
  5. WTA 1:30 AM ET
    Sonmez @ Joint Joint -104 Moneyline Set at line Joint 48.1% · model 50.2%
    50%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Sonmez 15, Joint 13
  6. WTA 1:30 AM ET
    Birrell @ Day Day +137 Moneyline Set at line Day 39.7% · model 50.1%
    50%win chance 40%market
    No action
  7. WTA 1:45 AM ET
    Stearns @ Siniakova Stearns +112 Moneyline Set at line Stearns 44.5% · model 46.5%
    46%win chance 44%market
    No action Stearns 10, Siniakova 10
  8. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Hijikata @ Atmane Atmane -103 Moneyline Set at line Atmane 47.9% · model 59.0%
    59%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +0.97 Hijikata 8, Atmane 13
  9. ATP 2:30 AM ET
    Safiullin @ Shimabukuro Shimabukuro +431 Moneyline Set at line Shimabukuro 17.8% · model 18.4%
    18%win chance 18%market
    ✓ Won +4.31 Safiullin 15, Shimabukuro 18
  10. WTA 2:30 AM ET
    Kudermetova @ Bucsa Kudermetova +107 Moneyline Set at line Kudermetova 46.1% · model 47.0%
    47%win chance 46%market
    ✓ Won +1.07 Kudermetova 13, Bucsa 8
  11. WTA 2:30 AM ET
    Kalinina @ Paolini Kalinina +188 Moneyline Set at line Kalinina 33.1% · model 42.2%
    42%win chance 33%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kalinina 7, Paolini 13
  12. ATP 4:00 AM ET
    Kovacevic @ Tsitsipas Kovacevic +321 Moneyline Set at line Kovacevic 22.5% · model 22.9%
    23%win chance 22%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Kovacevic 15, Tsitsipas 16
  13. WTA 4:00 AM ET
    Bencic @ Ostapenko Bencic -149 Moneyline Set at line Bencic 57.1% · model 60.0%
    60%win chance 57%market
    No action Bencic 7, Ostapenko 4
  14. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Cerundolo @ Navone Navone -169 Moneyline Set at line Navone 59.4% · model 64.0%
    64%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.59 Cerundolo 8, Navone 13
  15. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Schoenhaus @ Griekspoor Schoenhaus +288 Moneyline Set at line Schoenhaus 24.4% · model 25.2%
    25%win chance 24%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Schoenhaus 18, Griekspoor 20
  16. ATP 5:30 AM ET
    Skatov @ Marozsan Marozsan -345 Moneyline Set at line Marozsan 73.1% · model 74.5%
    74%win chance 73%market
    ✓ Won +0.29 Skatov 11, Marozsan 14
  17. WTA 5:30 AM ET
    Snigur @ Kawa Snigur -292 Moneyline Set at line Snigur 71.1% · model 84.3%
    84%win chance 71%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Snigur 12, Kawa 13
  18. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Baez @ Herbert Baez +118 Moneyline Set at line Baez 43.4% · model 71.5%
    71%win chance 43%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Baez 7, Herbert 12
  19. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Giron @ Struff Giron +128 Moneyline Set at line Giron 41.4% · model 50.5%
    50%win chance 41%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Giron 12, Struff 14
  20. ATP 7:00 AM ET
    Chidekh @ Van De Zandschulp Van De Zandschulp -156 Moneyline Set at line Van De Zandschulp 57.5% · model 61.3%
    61%win chance 57%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Chidekh 12, Van De Zandschulp 5
  21. WTA 7:00 AM ET
    Alexandrova @ Guo Alexandrova -383 Moneyline Set at line Alexandrova 75.7% · model 75.9%
    76%win chance 76%market
    ✓ Won +0.26 Alexandrova 12, Guo 5
  22. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Gojo @ Fery Fery -175 Moneyline Set at line Fery 60.1% · model 66.6%
    67%win chance 60%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Gojo 13, Fery 9
  23. ATP 8:00 AM ET
    Moutet @ Humbert Moutet +219 Moneyline Set at line Moutet 29.6% · model 40.5%
    40%win chance 30%market
    ✓ Won +2.19 Moutet 19, Humbert 15
  24. ATP 9:00 AM ET
    Droguet @ Altmaier Altmaier +168 Moneyline Set at line Altmaier 35.3% · model 39.0%
    39%win chance 35%market
    ✓ Won +1.68 Droguet 19, Altmaier 19
  25. ATP 9:30 AM ET
    Norrie @ Bonzi Norrie -128 Moneyline Set at line Norrie 53.0% · model 61.1%
    61%win chance 53%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Norrie 12, Bonzi 15
  26. ATP 10:00 AM ET
    Gaston @ Fearnley Fearnley -175 Moneyline Set at line Fearnley 59.9% · model 68.1%
    68%win chance 60%market
    ✓ Won +0.57 Gaston 3, Fearnley 12
  27. ATP 10:30 AM ET
    Khachanov @ Sakamoto Khachanov -250 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 67.5% · model 72.2%
    72%win chance 68%market
    ✓ Won +0.40 Khachanov 12, Sakamoto 6
  28. ATP 10:30 AM ET
    Tabur @ Van Assche Tabur +137 Moneyline Set at line Tabur 39.9% · model 40.6%
    41%win chance 40%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tabur 9, Van Assche 13
  29. ATP 12:00 PM ET
    Bergs @ Samuel Samuel +191 Moneyline Set at line Samuel 32.3% · model 47.9%
    48%win chance 32%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bergs 13, Samuel 9
  30. ATP 1:00 PM ET
    Jacquet @ Berrettini Berrettini -147 Moneyline Set at line Berrettini 56.4% · model 68.0%
    68%win chance 56%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Jacquet 14, Berrettini 11
  31. ATP 1:30 PM ET
    Collignon @ Basavareddy Collignon +121 Moneyline Set at line Collignon 42.7% · model 54.0%
    54%win chance 43%market
    ✓ Won +1.21 Collignon 15, Basavareddy 13
  32. ATP 2:30 PM ET
    Nakashima @ Medjedovic Nakashima -278 Moneyline Set at line Nakashima 69.3% · model 74.1%
    74%win chance 69%market
    ✓ Won +0.36 Nakashima 19, Medjedovic 15
  33. NBA 3:00 PM ET
    BOS @ DET DET +1.5 Spread Set at line BOS -1.5 · model DET -1.9
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 BOS 113, DET 121
  34. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    MTSU @ FIU FIU -10.5 Spread Set at line FIU -10.5 · model FIU -10.9
    51%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MTSU 26, FIU 23
  35. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    MOST @ DEL DEL -2.5 Spread Set at line DEL -2.5 · model DEL -4.8
    56%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 MOST 38, DEL 61
  36. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    PHI @ NYK PHI +4.5 Spread Set at line NYK -4.5 · model NYK -3.8
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 PHI 106, NYK 100
  37. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    SJS @ MTL SJS +185 Moneyline Set at line SJS 33.6% · model 45.6% · at the close
    46%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.85 SJS 4, MTL 3
  38. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    COL @ NJD COL +100 Moneyline Set at line COL 47.8% · model 50.5% · at the close
    51%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 COL 3, NJD 4
  39. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    ANA @ NYI ANA +130 Moneyline Set at line ANA 41.7% · model 42.6% · at the close
    43%win chance 42%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ANA 2, NYI 3
  40. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    LAK @ WSH LAK +136 Moneyline Set at line LAK 40.7% · model 41.8% · at the close
    42%win chance 41%market
    ✓ Won +1.36 LAK 5, WSH 2
  41. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ CBJ TOR +140 Moneyline Set at line TOR 40.0% · model 40.5% · at the close
    41%win chance 40%market
    ✓ Won +1.40 TOR 6, CBJ 2
  42. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USA @ MRSH MRSH +2.5 Spread Set at line USA -2.5 · model MRSH -9.0
    77%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 USA 13, MRSH 20
  43. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    WPG @ STL STL -135 Moneyline Set at line STL 55.1% · model 55.7% · at the close
    56%win chance 55%market
    ✓ Won +0.74 WPG 1, STL 2
  44. NHL 8:00 PM ET
    BOS @ DAL BOS +142 Moneyline Set at line BOS 39.6% · model 39.9% · at the close
    40%win chance 40%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BOS 2, DAL 3
  45. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    MIN @ EDM MIN +114 Moneyline Set at line MIN 44.9% · model 55.3% · at the close
    55%win chance 45%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIN 3, EDM 4
  46. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    OKC @ SAS SAS +1.5 Spread Set at line OKC -1.5 · model SAS -1.0
    57%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 OKC 116, SAS 104
  47. NHL 9:40 PM ET
    DET @ SEA DET -118 Moneyline Set at line DET 51.7% · model 54.0% · at the close
    54%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DET 3, SEA 4
  48. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    CAR @ VAN CAR -298 Moneyline Set at line CAR 71.8% · model 72.9% · at the close
    73%win chance 72%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 CAR 6, VAN 3
  49. NHL 10:30 PM ET
    TBL @ VGK VGK -110 Moneyline Set at line VGK 50.0% · model 54.2% · at the close
    54%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TBL 6, VGK 2
  50. WTA 10:30 PM ET
    Kraus @ Gibson Gibson -159 Moneyline Set at line Gibson 57.9% · model 62.1%
    62%win chance 58%market
    ✓ Won +0.63 Kraus 3, Gibson 12
  51. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Tagger @ Valentova Valentova -104 Moneyline Set at line Valentova 48.3% · model 52.6%
    53%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tagger 13, Valentova 8

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.