The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 20

Card for Tue, Oct 20

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
51
Settled
23–25
Units
-0.90
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NBA 3:00 PM ET
    BOS @ DET DET +1.5 Spread Set at line BOS -1.5 · model DET -1.9
    59%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 BOS 113, DET 121
  2. NBA 7:00 PM ET
    PHI @ NYK PHI +4.5 Spread Set at line NYK -4.5 · model NYK -3.8
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 PHI 106, NYK 100
  3. NBA 9:30 PM ET
    OKC @ SAS SAS +1.5 Spread Set at line OKC -1.5 · model SAS -1.0
    57%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 OKC 116, SAS 104

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.