The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 20

Card for Tue, Oct 20

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
51
Settled
23–25
Units
-0.90
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    MTSU @ FIU FIU -10.5 Spread Set at line FIU -10.5 · model FIU -10.9
    51%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MTSU 26, FIU 23
  2. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    MOST @ DEL DEL -2.5 Spread Set at line DEL -2.5 · model DEL -4.8
    56%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.85 MOST 38, DEL 61
  3. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    USA @ MRSH MRSH +2.5 Spread Set at line USA -2.5 · model MRSH -9.0
    77%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 USA 13, MRSH 20

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.