All sports · Monday, October 19

Card for Mon, Oct 19

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
14
Settled
8–6
Units
+0.76
  1. WTA 1:30 AM ET
    Shi @ Cirstea Cirstea -325 Moneyline Set at line Cirstea 73.0% · model 83.3%
    83%win chance 73%market
    ✓ Won +0.31 Shi 5, Cirstea 12
  2. WTA 4:00 AM ET
    Sasnovich @ Kasatkina Sasnovich -143 Moneyline Set at line Sasnovich 56.1% · model 61.2%
    61%win chance 56%market
    ✓ Won +0.70 Sasnovich 12, Kasatkina 6
  3. WTA 5:30 AM ET
    Bouzkova @ Rakhimova Rakhimova +214 Moneyline Set at line Rakhimova 30.4% · model 30.6%
    31%win chance 30%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bouzkova 12, Rakhimova 8
  4. WTA 7:30 AM ET
    Parry @ Eala Parry +243 Moneyline Set at line Parry 27.8% · model 29.3%
    29%win chance 28%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Parry 4, Eala 12
  5. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    ANA @ NYR NYR -155 Moneyline Set at line NYR 58.3% · model 59.0% · at the close
    59%win chance 58%market
    ✓ Won +0.65 ANA 2, NYR 5
  6. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    COL @ PHI PHI +205 Moneyline Set at line PHI 31.5% · model 36.4% · at the close
    36%win chance 31%market
    ✓ Won +2.05 COL 2, PHI 3
  7. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    SJS @ TOR TOR -135 Moneyline Set at line TOR 55.1% · model 60.9% · at the close
    61%win chance 55%market
    ✓ Won +0.74 SJS 1, TOR 3
  8. MLB 8:08 PM ET
    CLE @ TB CLE +125 Moneyline Set at line CLE 42.5% · model 53.8%
    54%win chance 42%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CLE 3, TB 7
  9. NFL 8:15 PM ET
    WAS @ SF SF -7.5 Spread Set at line SF -7.5 · model SF -9.5
    57%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 WAS 17, SF 23
  10. NHL 9:00 PM ET
    PIT @ UTA UTA -185 Moneyline Set at line UTA 62.2% · model 64.5% · at the close
    65%win chance 62%market
    ✓ Won +0.54 PIT 4, UTA 5
  11. WTA 10:30 PM ET
    Zhang @ Valentova Valentova -256 Moneyline Set at line Valentova 67.8% · model 74.8%
    75%win chance 68%market
    ✓ Won +0.39 Zhang 12, Valentova 13
  12. WTA 10:30 PM ET
    Linette @ Liu Linette +139 Moneyline Set at line Linette 39.5% · model 55.5%
    56%win chance 39%market
    ✓ Won +1.39 Linette 12, Liu 7
  13. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Ruzic @ Badosa Badosa -294 Moneyline Set at line Badosa 70.5% · model 72.1%
    72%win chance 70%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Ruzic 15, Badosa 13
  14. WTA 12:00 AM ET
    Stoiana @ Oliynykova Oliynykova +189 Moneyline Set at line Oliynykova 32.6% · model 49.7%
    50%win chance 33%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Stoiana 12, Oliynykova 5

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.