The Forecast Card

All sports · Sunday, October 18

Card for Sun, Oct 18

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
17
Settled
5–12
Units
-6.60
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NFL 9:30 AM ET
    HOU @ JAX JAX -3.0 Spread Set at line JAX -3.0 · model JAX -4.9
    57%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 HOU 34, JAX 31
  2. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    BAL @ CLE BAL -4.5 Spread Set at line BAL -4.5 · model BAL -8.1
    63%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BAL 10, CLE 13
  3. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CAR @ PHI PHI -1.5 Spread Set at line PHI -1.5 · model PHI -3.8
    59%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CAR 25, PHI 14
  4. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    CHI @ ATL ATL +3.0 Spread Set at line CHI -3.0 · model CHI -2.4
    52%win chance 48%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CHI 31, ATL 23
  5. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    NO @ NYG NYG +1.5 Spread Set at line NO -1.5 · model NYG -4.2
    70%win chance 52%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NO 34, NYG 27
  6. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    NYJ @ NE NE -7.5 Spread Set at line NE -7.5 · model NE -9.4
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 NYJ 19, NE 26
  7. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    PIT @ TB TB +2.5 Spread Set at line PIT -2.5 · model TB -1.2
    64%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 PIT 26, TB 19
  8. NFL 1:00 PM ET
    TEN @ IND IND -7.0 Spread Set at line IND -7.0 · model IND -9.8
    60%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TEN 26, IND 20
  9. NFL 4:05 PM ET
    ARI @ LA ARI +12.5 Spread Set at line LA -12.5 · model LA -10.2
    59%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 ARI 18, LA 16
  10. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    BUF @ LV BUF -5.5 Spread Set at line BUF -5.5 · model BUF -8.2
    60%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 BUF 33, LV 30
  11. NFL 4:25 PM ET
    LAC @ KC LAC +8.5 Spread Set at line KC -8.5 · model KC -7.5
    54%win chance 51%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 LAC 6, KC 22
  12. NFL 8:20 PM ET
    DAL @ GB GB -1.5 Spread Set at line GB -1.5 · model GB -5.8
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 DAL 13, GB 23

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.