The Forecast Card

All sports · Friday, October 16

Card for Fri, Oct 16

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
9
Settled
4–5
Units
-0.12
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    MEM @ TULN TULN +7.0 Spread Set at line MEM -7.0 · model MEM -6.4
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✓ Won +0.91 MEM 17, TULN 31
  2. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    WASH @ PUR WASH +2.5 Spread Set at line PUR -2.5 · model WASH -2.7
    63%win chance 48%market
    ✓ Won +1.00 WASH 38, PUR 26
  3. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    APP @ CCU CCU +1.5 Spread Set at line APP -1.5 · model CCU -1.3
    57%win chance 49%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 APP 35, CCU 32

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.