The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 15

Card for Thu, Oct 15

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
22
Settled
10–11
Units
-3.37
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Guo @ Svitolina Guo +720 Moneyline Set at line Guo 11.6% · model 13.7%
    14%win chance 12%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Guo 5, Svitolina 12
  2. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Kartal @ Paolini Kartal +108 Moneyline Set at line Kartal 45.8% · model 64.1%
    64%win chance 46%market
    ✓ Won +1.08 Kartal 12, Paolini 2
  3. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Ostapenko @ Shnaider Shnaider -242 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 67.5% · model 72.1%
    72%win chance 67%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Ostapenko 13, Shnaider 7

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.