The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 15

Card for Thu, Oct 15

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
22
Settled
10–11
Units
-3.37
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. MLB 1:00 PM ET
    TB @ CLE CLE -127 Moneyline Set at line CLE 53.4% · model 59.5%
    60%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.79 TB 2, CLE 3
  2. MLB 8:00 PM ET
    MIL @ LAD LAD -157 Moneyline Set at line LAD 58.4% · model 61.7%
    62%win chance 58%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 MIL 6, LAD 4

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.