The Forecast Card

All sports · Thursday, October 15

Card for Thu, Oct 15

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
22
Settled
10–11
Units
-3.37
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    ECU @ UAB ECU -5.5 Spread Set at line ECU -5.5 · model ECU -8.0
    56%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 ECU 17, UAB 30
  2. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    GASO @ ODU ODU +3.5 Spread Set at line GASO -3.5 · model ODU -2.6
    66%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 GASO 23, ODU 15
  3. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    CSU @ TXST TXST -12.5 Spread Set at line TXST -12.5 · model TXST -18.6
    66%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 CSU 27, TXST 66

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.