All sports · Wednesday, October 14

Card for Wed, Oct 14

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
16
Settled
5–10
Units
-2.56
  1. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Jodar @ Van De Zandschulp Van De Zandschulp +157 Moneyline Set at line Van De Zandschulp 37.1% · model 45.7%
    46%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Jodar 18, Van De Zandschulp 13
  2. ATP 1:30 AM ET
    Auger Aliassime @ Ruud Ruud +125 Moneyline Set at line Ruud 42.4% · model 52.8%
    53%win chance 42%market
    No action Auger Aliassime 2, Ruud 5
  3. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Tsitsipas @ Medvedev Tsitsipas +191 Moneyline Set at line Tsitsipas 32.8% · model 34.2%
    34%win chance 33%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Tsitsipas 9, Medvedev 13
  4. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Bergs @ Paul Bergs +190 Moneyline Set at line Bergs 32.9% · model 44.8%
    45%win chance 33%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bergs 10, Paul 13

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.