The Forecast Card

All sports · Wednesday, October 14

Card for Wed, Oct 14

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
16
Settled
5–10
Units
-2.56
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    MTL @ WSH WSH -125 Moneyline Set at line WSH 53.2% · model 60.7%
    61%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.80 MTL 4, WSH 5
  2. NHL 8:30 PM ET
    DAL @ COL COL -135 Moneyline Set at line COL 55.1% · model 62.1%
    62%win chance 55%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DAL 3, COL 2

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.