All sports · Wednesday, October 14

Card for Wed, Oct 14

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
16
Settled
5–10
Units
-2.56
  1. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    McNally @ Muchova McNally +342 Moneyline Set at line McNally 21.6% · model 24.4%
    24%win chance 22%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 McNally 18, Muchova 17
  2. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Shnaider @ Putintseva Putintseva +279 Moneyline Set at line Putintseva 25.2% · model 25.3%
    25%win chance 25%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Shnaider 12, Putintseva 4
  3. WTA 12:30 AM ET
    Bartunkova @ Paolini Bartunkova -140 Moneyline Set at line Bartunkova 55.6% · model 72.9%
    73%win chance 56%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Bartunkova 9, Paolini 13
  4. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Guo @ Volynets Guo +387 Moneyline Set at line Guo 19.6% · model 26.7%
    27%win chance 20%market
    ✓ Won +3.87 Guo 17, Volynets 16
  5. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Pegula @ Ostapenko Pegula -258 Moneyline Set at line Pegula 68.7% · model 75.9%
    76%win chance 69%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Pegula 15, Ostapenko 15
  6. WTA 2:00 AM ET
    Snigur @ Tjen Snigur -181 Moneyline Set at line Snigur 61.4% · model 71.7%
    72%win chance 61%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Snigur 8, Tjen 13
  7. WTA 11:00 PM ET
    Shnaider @ Muchova Shnaider -106 Moneyline Set at line Shnaider 49.0% · model 59.2%
    59%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.94 Shnaider 13, Muchova 8

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.