The Forecast Card

All sports · Wednesday, October 14

Card for Wed, Oct 14

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
16
Settled
5–10
Units
-2.56
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:30 PM ET
    KENN @ MOST MOST +3.0 Spread Set at line KENN -3.0 · model MOST -1.6
    62%win chance 49%market
    ✓ Won +0.95 KENN 21, MOST 24
  2. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    WKU @ SHSU WKU -1.5 Spread Set at line WKU -1.5 · model WKU -9.2
    69%win chance 51%market
    ✓ Won +0.87 WKU 16, SHSU 3

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.