The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 13

Card for Tue, Oct 13

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
19–15–1
Units
+1.74
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. CFB 7:00 PM ET
    DEL @ MTSU DEL -1.5 Spread Set at line DEL -1.5 · model DEL -1.7
    51%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DEL 30, MTSU 33
  2. CFB 8:00 PM ET
    FIU @ JXST JXST -3.0 Spread Set at line JXST -3.0 · model JXST -5.2
    56%win chance 51%market
    Push FIU 24, JXST 27

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.