The Forecast Card

All sports · Tuesday, October 13

Card for Tue, Oct 13

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
35
Settled
19–15–1
Units
+1.74
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Khachanov @ De Minaur Khachanov +112 Moneyline Set at line Khachanov 45.0% · model 51.6%
    52%win chance 45%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Khachanov 7, De Minaur 12
  2. ATP 1:30 AM ET
    Mensik @ Gea Gea +148 Moneyline Set at line Gea 38.4% · model 44.9%
    45%win chance 38%market
    ✓ Won +1.48 Mensik 10, Gea 13
  3. ATP 6:00 AM ET
    Bublik @ Zverev Zverev -269 Moneyline Set at line Zverev 69.5% · model 72.0%
    72%win chance 70%market
    ✓ Won +0.37 Bublik 18, Zverev 18
  4. ATP 7:30 AM ET
    Davidovich Fokina @ Hurkacz Davidovich Fokina +104 Moneyline Set at line Davidovich Fokina 46.7% · model 53.2%
    53%win chance 47%market
    ✓ Won +1.04 Davidovich Fokina 14, Hurkacz 15
  5. ATP 12:00 AM ET
    Jodar @ Van De Zandschulp Van De Zandschulp +157 Moneyline Set at line Van De Zandschulp 37.1% · model 45.7%
    46%win chance 37%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 Jodar 18, Van De Zandschulp 13

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.