The Forecast Card

All sports · Sunday, October 11

Card for Sun, Oct 11

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
29
Settled
15–13–1
Units
+1.10
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NHL 5:00 PM ET
    SEA @ WSH SEA +180 Moneyline Set at line SEA 34.3% · model 36.1%
    36%win chance 34%market
    ✓ Won +1.80 SEA 5, WSH 3
  2. NHL 6:00 PM ET
    VAN @ NYR NYR -265 Moneyline Set at line NYR 69.6% · model 77.2%
    77%win chance 70%market
    ✓ Won +0.38 VAN 2, NYR 6
  3. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    CAR @ PHI CAR -218 Moneyline Set at line CAR 65.7% · model 68.1%
    68%win chance 66%market
    ✓ Won +0.46 CAR 4, PHI 1

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.